La escuela de los momios

Cleveland Guardians v New York Yankees

Inicio: 2026-06-09 22:41 UTC

Final: Cleveland Guardians 2–3 New York Yankees

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Predicción 47.22%2.12momio equitativo
EV -0.828%
Ventaja -0.394%
Kelly -0.753%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.05%47.24%47.31%48.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.942.012.002.1051.55%49.72%50.00%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

New York Yankees (Visitante)

Predicción 52.78%1.89momio equitativo
EV -0.783%
Ventaja -0.416%
Kelly -0.889%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.55%52.76%52.69%53.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.751.821.811.8857.14%55.02%55.25%53.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV -0.828%E -0.394%K -0.753%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV -2.89%E -1.57%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-09 22:29
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.828%E -0.394%K -0.753%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.42%E -1.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-09 22:40
BetUS2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.24%E -1.08%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.37%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-09 22:29
GTbets2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.24%E -1.08%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.37%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-09 20:59
BetOnline.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -2.72%E -1.32%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -2.37%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-09 20:59
LowVig.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -2.72%E -1.32%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -2.37%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-09 20:59
1xBet2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -0.783%E -0.416%K -0.889%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-09 22:08
MyBookie.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -4.48%E -2.47%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-09 22:38
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 22:28
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 22:39
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 22:39
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 14:09
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 14:20
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 22:40
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 22:39
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.06%E -3.40%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 22:40
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.06%E -3.40%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 22:40
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.64%E -4.37%K -10.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-09 14:19
DraftKings2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.53%E -3.09%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-09 22:39
FanDuel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.61%E -2.28%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.42%E -1.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-09 16:59
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.61%E -2.28%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.42%E -1.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-09 20:49
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.61%E -2.28%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.95%E -2.17%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-09 22:40
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.61%E -2.28%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 22:39
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.61%E -2.28%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 22:39
Dabble (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.61%E -2.28%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 18:59
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.61%E -2.28%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.53%E -3.09%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 22:39
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.61%E -2.28%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.53%E -3.09%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 22:39
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -0.783%E -0.416%K -0.889%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-09 21:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.37%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-09 15:09
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.42%E -1.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 14:09
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.42%E -1.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 14:26
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.48%E -2.47%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 16:59
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 16:39
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 19:59
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 22:39
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 16:39
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 16:39
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 14:59
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 22:39
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 14:09
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.06%E -3.40%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-09 22:38
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.06%E -3.40%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-09 22:38
Marathon Bet1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -6.02%E -3.03%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -3.95%E -2.17%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 21:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.97%E -3.54%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.37%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 21:59
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.97%E -3.54%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.37%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 21:59
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.97%E -3.54%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.37%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 21:59
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.97%E -3.54%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.37%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 21:59
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.97%E -3.54%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.37%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 21:59
Unibet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.97%E -3.54%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.37%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 21:59
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.97%E -3.54%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.37%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 21:59
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.97%E -3.54%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.37%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 21:59
Bally Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.97%E -3.54%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.37%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 22:00
Everygame1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.97%E -3.54%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.37%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 20:59
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -6.97%E -3.54%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -2.89%E -1.57%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 22:00
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -6.97%E -3.54%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -2.89%E -1.57%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 21:59
Betclic (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -6.97%E -3.54%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -7.64%E -4.37%K -10.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-09 22:37
TABtouch1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.44%E -3.80%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.42%E -1.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-09 22:00
BetRivers1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.44%E -3.80%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.42%E -1.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-09 22:00
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.91%E -4.06%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-09 20:19
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.91%E -4.06%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-09 22:28
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -8.38%E -4.32%K -8.92%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -3.95%E -2.17%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-09 21:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX2.13I 46.95%NM 46.75%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.25%0.4%2026-06-09 22:39
Novig2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-06-09 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-06-09 22:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-06-09 22:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-06-09 22:20
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-06-09 17:40
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-06-09 22:20
BetOpenly2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%1.1%2026-06-09 22:40
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%1.4%2026-06-09 22:40
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-06-09 22:39