Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cleveland Guardians v New York Mets

Início: 2026-08-06 17:11 UTC

Final: Cleveland Guardians 6–13 New York Mets

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Previsão 53.64%1.86odd justa
EV -0.227%
Vantagem -0.122%
Kelly -0.264%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.86

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.59%53.85%53.52%55.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.681.781.791.8659.52%56.09%55.87%53.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Mets (Visitante)

Previsão 46.36%2.16odd justa
EV -0.329%
Vantagem -0.153%
Kelly -0.286%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.01%46.15%46.48%48.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.952.052.052.1551.28%48.66%48.78%46.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 53.64%; New York Mets (Visitante): 46.36%. Para Cleveland Guardians (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.864. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.860, com valor esperado de -0.227%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
FanDuel🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%EV -0.227%E -0.122%K -0.264%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%EV -3.57%E -1.72%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-06 17:10
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -0.763%E -0.412%K -0.898%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -3.11%E -1.49%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-06 15:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -0.763%E -0.412%K -0.898%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 17:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.84%E -1.00%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-06 17:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.84%E -1.00%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-06 17:10
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.84%E -1.00%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-06 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.84%E -1.00%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 17:09
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.84%E -1.00%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 17:09
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.84%E -1.00%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.60%E -4.92%K -10.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 17:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57%EV -2.37%E -1.30%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-06 17:10
DraftKings🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -2.91%E -1.61%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -0.793%E -0.371%K -0.696%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-06 16:20
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.91%E -1.61%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.26%E -0.590%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-06 17:10
BetAnything🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -2.91%E -1.61%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -3.11%E -1.49%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-06 17:10
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.45%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.329%E -0.153%K -0.286%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-06 17:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.45%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.329%E -0.153%K -0.286%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-06 16:55
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -3.45%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -2.18%E -1.03%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-06 17:10
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.45%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -4.50%E -2.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 17:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.45%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -4.50%E -2.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 17:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.45%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -4.50%E -2.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 17:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.45%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 15:10
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.45%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 17:09
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.45%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 15:55
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.45%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 17:10
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.45%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 16:25
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.45%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 17:10
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.45%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.36%E -3.15%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 17:10
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.45%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.36%E -3.15%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 17:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.45%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.36%E -3.15%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 15:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.45%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.36%E -3.15%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 16:30
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.45%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 17:10
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.45%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.60%E -4.92%K -10.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-06 17:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.98%E -2.22%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.57%E -1.72%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 16:58
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.98%E -2.22%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 17:10
Casumo🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.98%E -2.22%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 17:10
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.98%E -2.22%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 17:10
Bally Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.98%E -2.22%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 17:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.98%E -2.22%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 17:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.98%E -2.22%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.36%E -3.15%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 17:05
Bet Right🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.52%E -2.54%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 17:09
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.52%E -2.54%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 17:09
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.52%E -2.54%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.43%E -2.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 17:10
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.52%E -2.54%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.89%E -2.90%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 16:25
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.52%E -2.54%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.89%E -2.90%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 16:25
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.05%E -2.86%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 15:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.05%E -2.86%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 17:09
GTbets🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.59%E -3.18%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.04%E -1.95%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 17:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.59%E -3.18%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 16:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.59%E -3.18%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.36%E -3.15%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 17:10
Bovada🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -2.18%E -1.03%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 17:09
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 15:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 15:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 15:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 17:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 17:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -6.66%E -3.83%K -9.00%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -8.21%E -4.15%K -8.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-06 17:09
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10%EV -6.66%E -3.83%K -9.00%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90%EV -8.67%E -4.40%K -8.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-06 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26%EV -7.74%E -4.50%K -10.75%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.74%EV -9.14%E -4.66%K -9.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-06 17:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -8.81%E -5.18%K -12.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -0.329%E -0.153%K -0.286%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 17:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.81%E -5.18%K -12.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 17:10
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.81%E -5.18%K -12.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 17:00
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.81%E -5.18%K -12.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 17:00
Betway🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -9.35%E -5.53%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -0.329%E -0.153%K -0.286%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 17:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -9.88%E -5.88%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 17:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-08-06 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-08-06 17:00
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-06 17:05
Polymarket◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-08-06 17:10
Matchbook◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-08-06 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.4%2026-08-06 17:10
Novig◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.16%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.84%1.5%2026-08-06 17:10
ProphetX◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96%1.7%2026-08-06 17:10
Smarkets◎1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%2.1%2026-08-06 17:10
BetOpenly◎1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%3.9%2026-08-06 17:09