Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cleveland Guardians v New York Mets

2026-08-06 17:11 UTC — MLB

Frente a frente

30 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Previsão 49.78%2.01odd justa
EV -2.43%
Vantagem -1.24%
Kelly -2.53%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.96

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.34%49.76%49.74%52.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.801.911.911.9655.56%52.31%52.36%51.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Mets (Visitante)

Previsão 50.22%1.99odd justa
EV +0.435%
Vantagem +0.218%
Kelly +0.435%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.37%50.24%50.26%50.66%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.821.911.902.0054.95%52.46%52.49%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 49.78%; New York Mets (Visitante): 50.22%. Para New York Mets (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 1.99. 1 casa de apostas oferece odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 2.00, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +0.435%.

Odds das casas de apostas (30 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -10.39%E -5.77%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +0.435%E +0.218%K +0.435%G +0.002%5.6%2026-08-05 19:35
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.43%E -1.24%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.57%E -0.803%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-05 20:40
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.92%E -1.50%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.08%E -1.06%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-05 18:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.92%E -1.50%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.08%E -1.06%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-05 20:25
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.91%E -3.69%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.08%E -1.06%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 20:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.43%E -1.24%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.58%E -1.33%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-05 19:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.43%E -1.24%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.58%E -1.33%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-05 19:00
GTbets🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.43%E -1.24%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.58%E -1.33%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-05 20:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -5.41%E -2.85%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -2.58%E -1.33%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 19:04
FanDuel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.08%E -2.14%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 18:30
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.92%E -2.57%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.08%E -2.14%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 20:40
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.92%E -2.57%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.08%E -2.14%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 20:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.92%E -2.57%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.08%E -2.14%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 20:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.92%E -2.57%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.08%E -2.14%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 20:40
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.92%E -2.57%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.08%E -2.14%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 20:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.42%E -2.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.59%E -2.41%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 20:39
Bet Right🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.42%E -2.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.59%E -2.41%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 20:40
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.41%E -2.85%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.41%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 18:30
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.41%E -2.85%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.41%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 18:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.41%E -2.85%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.41%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 18:35
DraftKings🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.92%E -2.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.09%E -2.69%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 20:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.92%E -2.57%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.09%E -2.69%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 20:40
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.92%E -2.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.59%E -2.97%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 20:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.41%E -2.85%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.59%E -2.97%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 20:39
Bet Victor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.92%E -2.57%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.09%E -3.26%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 20:38
betano_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.92%E -2.57%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.09%E -3.26%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 20:40
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.92%E -2.57%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.09%E -3.26%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 20:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.41%E -2.85%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.09%E -3.26%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 20:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.46%EV -7.40%E -3.98%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.54%EV -8.60%E -4.73%K -10.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-05 20:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -7.90%E -4.27%K -9.30%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -8.60%E -4.73%K -10.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-05 20:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%0.0%2026-08-05 20:00
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-05 19:55
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75%1.5%2026-08-05 20:45
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.27%9.9%2026-08-05 20:40