Idioma:Español
Cleveland Guardians v New York Mets
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cleveland Guardians (Local)
Predicción 53.64%1.86momio equitativo
EV -0.227%
Ventaja -0.122%
Kelly -0.264%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.86
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.59%53.85%53.52%55.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.681.781.791.8659.52%56.09%55.87%53.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
New York Mets (Visitante)
Predicción 46.36%2.16momio equitativo
EV -0.329%
Ventaja -0.153%
Kelly -0.286%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.01%46.15%46.48%48.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.952.052.052.1551.28%48.66%48.78%46.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 53.64%; New York Mets (Visitante): 46.36%. Para Cleveland Guardians (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.864. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 1.860, con un valor esperado de -0.227%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%EV -0.227%E -0.122%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%EV -3.57%E -1.72%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-06 17:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -0.763%E -0.412%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -3.11%E -1.49%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-06 15:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -0.763%E -0.412%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-06 17:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.84%E -1.00%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-06 17:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.84%E -1.00%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-06 17:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.84%E -1.00%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-06 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.84%E -1.00%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 17:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.84%E -1.00%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 17:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.84%E -1.00%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.60%E -4.92%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 17:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57%EV -2.37%E -1.30%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-06 17:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -2.91%E -1.61%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -0.793%E -0.371%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-06 16:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.91%E -1.61%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.26%E -0.590%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-06 17:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -2.91%E -1.61%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -3.11%E -1.49%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-06 17:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.45%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.329%E -0.153%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-06 17:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.45%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.329%E -0.153%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-06 16:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -3.45%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -2.18%E -1.03%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-06 17:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.45%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -4.50%E -2.19%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-06 17:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.45%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -4.50%E -2.19%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-06 17:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.45%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -4.50%E -2.19%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-06 17:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.45%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-06 15:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.45%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-06 17:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.45%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-06 15:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.45%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-06 17:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.45%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.45%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-06 17:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.45%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.36%E -3.15%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 17:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.45%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.36%E -3.15%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 17:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.45%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.36%E -3.15%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 15:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.45%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.36%E -3.15%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 16:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.45%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 17:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.45%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.60%E -4.92%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-06 17:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.98%E -2.22%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.57%E -1.72%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-06 16:58 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.98%E -2.22%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 17:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.98%E -2.22%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 17:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.98%E -2.22%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 17:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.98%E -2.22%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 17:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.98%E -2.22%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 17:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.98%E -2.22%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.36%E -3.15%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 17:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.52%E -2.54%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 17:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.52%E -2.54%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 17:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.52%E -2.54%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.43%E -2.66%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 17:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.52%E -2.54%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.89%E -2.90%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.52%E -2.54%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.89%E -2.90%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.05%E -2.86%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 15:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.05%E -2.86%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-06 17:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.59%E -3.18%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.04%E -1.95%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 17:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.59%E -3.18%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 16:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.59%E -3.18%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.36%E -3.15%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 17:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -2.18%E -1.03%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-06 17:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 15:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 15:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 15:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 17:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -6.66%E -3.83%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -8.21%E -4.15%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-06 17:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10%EV -6.66%E -3.83%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90%EV -8.67%E -4.40%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-06 17:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26%EV -7.74%E -4.50%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.74%EV -9.14%E -4.66%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-06 17:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -8.81%E -5.18%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -0.329%E -0.153%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 17:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.81%E -5.18%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-06 17:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.81%E -5.18%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-06 17:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.81%E -5.18%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-06 17:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -9.35%E -5.53%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -0.329%E -0.153%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-06 17:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -9.88%E -5.88%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 17:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 0.5% | 2026-08-06 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 0.8% | 2026-08-06 17:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-08-06 17:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-06 17:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23% | 1.1% | 2026-08-06 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10% | 1.4% | 2026-08-06 17:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.16% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.84% | 1.5% | 2026-08-06 17:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96% | 1.7% | 2026-08-06 17:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19% | 2.1% | 2026-08-06 17:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09% | 3.9% | 2026-08-06 17:09 |