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Cleveland Guardians v New York Mets
Resultado del partido
Cleveland Guardians (Local)
Predicción 49.78%2.01momio equitativo
EV -2.43%
Ventaja -1.24%
Kelly -2.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.96
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.34%49.76%49.74%52.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.801.911.911.9655.56%52.31%52.36%51.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
New York Mets (Visitante)
Predicción 50.22%1.99momio equitativo
EV +0.435%
Ventaja +0.218%
Kelly +0.435%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.37%50.24%50.26%50.66%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.821.911.902.0054.95%52.46%52.49%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 49.78%; New York Mets (Visitante): 50.22%. Para New York Mets (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.99. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.00, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.435%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (30 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -10.39%E -5.77%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +0.435%E +0.218%K +0.435%G +0.002% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 19:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.43%E -1.24%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.57%E -0.803%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-05 20:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.92%E -1.50%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.08%E -1.06%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-05 18:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.92%E -1.50%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.08%E -1.06%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-05 20:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.91%E -3.69%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.08%E -1.06%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 20:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.43%E -1.24%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.58%E -1.33%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-05 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.43%E -1.24%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.58%E -1.33%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-05 19:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.43%E -1.24%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.58%E -1.33%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-05 20:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -5.41%E -2.85%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -2.58%E -1.33%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 19:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.08%E -2.14%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-05 18:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.92%E -2.57%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.08%E -2.14%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 20:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.92%E -2.57%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.08%E -2.14%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 20:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.92%E -2.57%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.08%E -2.14%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 20:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.92%E -2.57%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.08%E -2.14%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 20:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.92%E -2.57%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.08%E -2.14%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 20:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.42%E -2.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.59%E -2.41%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 20:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.42%E -2.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.59%E -2.41%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 20:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.41%E -2.85%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.41%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 18:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.41%E -2.85%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.41%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 18:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.41%E -2.85%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.41%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 18:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.92%E -2.03%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.09%E -2.69%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 20:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.92%E -2.57%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.09%E -2.69%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 20:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.92%E -2.03%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.59%E -2.97%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 20:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.41%E -2.85%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.59%E -2.97%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 20:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.92%E -2.57%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.09%E -3.26%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 20:38 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.92%E -2.57%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.09%E -3.26%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 20:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.92%E -2.57%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.09%E -3.26%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 20:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.41%E -2.85%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.09%E -3.26%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 20:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.46%EV -7.40%E -3.98%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.54%EV -8.60%E -4.73%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-05 20:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -7.90%E -4.27%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -8.60%E -4.73%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-05 20:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00% | 0.0% | 2026-08-05 20:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-08-05 19:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75% | 1.5% | 2026-08-05 20:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.27% | 9.9% | 2026-08-05 20:40 |