StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Cleveland Guardians v Minnesota Twins

Matchstart: 2026-05-10 00:15 UTC

Slutresultat: Cleveland Guardians 1–2 Minnesota Twins

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

51 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Cleveland Guardians (Hemma)

Prognos 52.52%1.90rättvist odds
EV -1.80%
Fördel -0.961%
Kelly -2.06%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.87

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
51.07%52.59%52.49%53.65%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.741.821.831.8757.47%54.80%54.64%53.48%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Minnesota Twins (Borta)

Prognos 47.48%2.11rättvist odds
EV -0.282%
Fördel -0.134%
Kelly -0.256%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
46.35%47.41%47.51%48.93%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.902.012.002.1052.63%49.80%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Cleveland Guardians (Hemma): 52.52%; Minnesota Twins (Borta): 47.48%. För Minnesota Twins (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.11. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 2.10, med väntevärdet -0.282%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (51 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.80%E -0.961%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.66%E -1.30%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-09 23:09
GTbets🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.23%E -0.592%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-09 23:34
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.23%E -0.592%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-09 21:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.71%E -0.824%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-09 23:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.71%E -0.824%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-09 23:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -4.08%E -2.02%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-09 22:49
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 18:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 00:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 00:09
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 21:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -3.37%E -1.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -4.08%E -2.02%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-10 00:09
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.282%E -0.134%K -0.256%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-09 22:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 00:49
Bet Right🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 19:29
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 12:49
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 18:39
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 18:39
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 18:39
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 18:39
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 18:39
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 18:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 18:39
SportsBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.98%E -3.02%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 18:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.98%E -3.02%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 00:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.98%E -3.02%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 00:09
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.98%E -3.02%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:29
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.98%E -3.02%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:29
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.45%E -3.28%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 00:10
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.45%E -3.28%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 00:09
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 19:34
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.30%E -4.87%K -10.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 19:44
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.42%E -2.43%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 23:59
Neds🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.42%E -2.43%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 23:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.42%E -2.43%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 23:34
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.42%E -2.43%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 19:24
Dabble (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.42%E -2.43%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 22:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.42%E -2.43%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.51%E -2.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 19:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.42%E -2.43%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.98%E -3.02%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 00:09
Bovada🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -4.95%E -2.73%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -3.61%E -1.78%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-09 20:58
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.66%E -1.30%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 22:35
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.66%E -1.30%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.66%E -1.30%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 23:59
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.66%E -1.30%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 00:08
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.66%E -1.30%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 00:00
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 05:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 05:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 05:20
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 00:08
DraftKings🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -6.52%E -3.66%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -2.18%E -1.06%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 00:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%EV -8.62%E -4.96%K -11.65%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.80%EV -9.78%E -5.15%K -10.87%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-10 00:09
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-05-09 07:00
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-05-09 12:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-05-09 23:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-05-09 23:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-05-09 23:44
Novig1.88I 53.19%NM 52.41%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.59%1.5%2026-05-10 00:04
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 52.41%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.59%1.5%2026-05-09 22:29