La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Cleveland Guardians v Minnesota Twins
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cleveland Guardians (Local)
Predicción 52.52%1.90momio equitativo
EV -1.80%
Ventaja -0.961%
Kelly -2.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.07%52.59%52.49%53.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.741.821.831.8757.47%54.80%54.64%53.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Minnesota Twins (Visitante)
Predicción 47.48%2.11momio equitativo
EV -0.282%
Ventaja -0.134%
Kelly -0.256%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.35%47.41%47.51%48.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.902.012.002.1052.63%49.80%50.00%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.80%E -0.961%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.66%E -1.30%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-09 23:09 |
| GTbets | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.23%E -0.592%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-09 23:34 |
| Pinnacle | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.23%E -0.592%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-09 21:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.71%E -0.824%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-09 23:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.71%E -0.824%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-09 23:34 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -4.08%E -2.02%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-09 22:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-09 18:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| TAB | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-09 21:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -3.37%E -1.83%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -4.08%E -2.02%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| Everygame | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.282%E -0.134%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-09 22:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 00:49 |
| Bet Right | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 19:29 |
| theScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 12:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 18:39 |
| LeoVegas | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 18:39 |
| Unibet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 18:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 18:39 |
| Casumo | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 18:39 |
| Bally Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 18:39 |
| betPARX | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 18:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 18:39 |
| SportsBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.98%E -3.02%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 18:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.98%E -3.02%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.98%E -3.02%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| NordicBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.98%E -3.02%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:29 |
| Betsson | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.98%E -3.02%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.45%E -3.28%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 00:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.45%E -3.28%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| Fliff | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 19:34 |
| Paddy Power | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.30%E -4.87%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 19:44 |
| PlayUp | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.42%E -2.43%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 23:59 |
| Neds | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.42%E -2.43%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 23:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.42%E -2.43%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 23:34 |
| Coolbet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.42%E -2.43%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 19:24 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.42%E -2.43%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 22:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.42%E -2.43%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.51%E -2.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 19:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.42%E -2.43%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.98%E -3.02%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| Bovada | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -4.95%E -2.73%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -3.61%E -1.78%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-09 20:58 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.66%E -1.30%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 22:35 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.66%E -1.30%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.66%E -1.30%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 23:59 |
| Caesars | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.66%E -1.30%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 00:08 |
| BetMGM | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.66%E -1.30%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 00:00 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-09 05:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-09 05:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-09 05:20 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 00:08 |
| DraftKings | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -6.52%E -3.66%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -2.18%E -1.06%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 00:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%EV -8.62%E -4.96%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.80%EV -9.78%E -5.15%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 07:00 |
| Polymarket | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 12:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 1.2% | 2026-05-09 23:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 1.2% | 2026-05-09 23:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 1.2% | 2026-05-09 23:44 |
| Novig | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.41% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.59% | 1.5% | 2026-05-10 00:04 |
| ProphetX | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.41% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.59% | 1.5% | 2026-05-09 22:29 |