La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.87
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.10
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| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.80%E -0.961%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.66%E -1.30%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-09 23:09 |
| GTbets | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.23%E -0.592%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-09 23:34 |
| Pinnacle | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.23%E -0.592%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-09 21:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.71%E -0.824%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-09 23:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.71%E -0.824%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-09 23:34 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -4.08%E -2.02%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-09 22:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-09 18:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| TAB | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-09 21:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -3.37%E -1.83%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -4.08%E -2.02%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| Everygame | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.282%E -0.134%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-09 22:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 00:49 |
| Bet Right | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 19:29 |
| theScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 12:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 18:39 |
| LeoVegas | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 18:39 |
| Unibet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 18:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 18:39 |
| Casumo | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 18:39 |
| Bally Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 18:39 |
| betPARX | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 18:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 18:39 |
| SportsBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.98%E -3.02%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 18:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.98%E -3.02%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.98%E -3.02%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| NordicBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.98%E -3.02%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:29 |
| Betsson | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.98%E -3.02%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.45%E -3.28%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 00:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.45%E -3.28%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| Fliff | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 19:34 |
| Paddy Power | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.30%E -4.87%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 19:44 |
| PlayUp | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.42%E -2.43%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 23:59 |
| Neds | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.42%E -2.43%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 23:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.42%E -2.43%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 23:34 |
| Coolbet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.42%E -2.43%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 19:24 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.42%E -2.43%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 22:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.42%E -2.43%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.51%E -2.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 19:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.42%E -2.43%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.98%E -3.02%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| Bovada | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -4.95%E -2.73%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -3.61%E -1.78%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-09 20:58 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.66%E -1.30%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 22:35 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.66%E -1.30%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.66%E -1.30%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 23:59 |
| Caesars | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.66%E -1.30%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 00:08 |
| BetMGM | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.66%E -1.30%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 00:00 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-09 05:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-09 05:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-09 05:20 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 00:08 |
| DraftKings | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -6.52%E -3.66%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -2.18%E -1.06%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 00:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%EV -8.62%E -4.96%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.80%EV -9.78%E -5.15%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 07:00 |
| Polymarket | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 12:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 1.2% | 2026-05-09 23:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 1.2% | 2026-05-09 23:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 1.2% | 2026-05-09 23:44 |
| Novig | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.41% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.59% | 1.5% | 2026-05-10 00:04 |
| ProphetX | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.41% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.59% | 1.5% | 2026-05-09 22:29 |