La scuola delle quote

Cleveland Guardians v Minnesota Twins

Inizio: 2026-05-10 00:15 UTC

Finale: Cleveland Guardians 1–2 Minnesota Twins

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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51 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Cleveland Guardians (Casa)

Previsione 52.52%1.90quota equa
EV -1.80%
Vantaggio -0.961%
Kelly -2.06%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.87

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.07%52.59%52.49%53.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.741.821.831.8757.47%54.80%54.64%53.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Minnesota Twins (Trasferta)

Previsione 47.48%2.11quota equa
EV -0.282%
Vantaggio -0.134%
Kelly -0.256%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.35%47.41%47.51%48.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.902.012.002.1052.63%49.80%50.00%47.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (51 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.80%E -0.961%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.66%E -1.30%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-09 23:09
GTbets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.23%E -0.592%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-09 23:34
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.23%E -0.592%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-09 21:09
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.71%E -0.824%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-09 23:34
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.71%E -0.824%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-09 23:34
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -4.08%E -2.02%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-09 22:49
FanDuel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 18:24
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 00:09
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 00:09
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 21:09
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -3.37%E -1.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -4.08%E -2.02%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-10 00:09
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.282%E -0.134%K -0.256%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-09 22:34
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 00:49
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 19:29
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 12:49
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 18:39
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 18:39
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 18:39
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 18:39
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 18:39
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 18:39
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 18:39
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.98%E -3.02%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 18:24
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.98%E -3.02%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 00:09
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.98%E -3.02%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 00:09
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.98%E -3.02%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:29
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.98%E -3.02%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:29
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.45%E -3.28%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 00:10
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.45%E -3.28%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 00:09
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 19:34
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.30%E -4.87%K -10.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 19:44
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.42%E -2.43%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 23:59
Neds1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.42%E -2.43%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 23:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.42%E -2.43%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 23:34
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.42%E -2.43%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 19:24
Dabble (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.42%E -2.43%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 22:30
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.42%E -2.43%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.51%E -2.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 19:29
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.42%E -2.43%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.98%E -3.02%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 00:09
Bovada1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -4.95%E -2.73%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -3.61%E -1.78%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-09 20:58
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.66%E -1.30%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 22:35
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.66%E -1.30%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.66%E -1.30%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 23:59
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.66%E -1.30%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 00:08
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.66%E -1.30%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 00:00
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 05:19
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 05:19
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 05:20
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 00:08
DraftKings1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -6.52%E -3.66%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -2.18%E -1.06%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 00:10
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%EV -8.62%E -4.96%K -11.65%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.80%EV -9.78%E -5.15%K -10.87%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-10 00:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-05-09 07:00
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-05-09 12:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-05-09 23:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-05-09 23:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-05-09 23:44
Novig1.88I 53.19%NM 52.41%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.59%1.5%2026-05-10 00:04
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 52.41%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.59%1.5%2026-05-09 22:29