A Escola das Odds

Cleveland Guardians v Minnesota Twins

Início: 2026-07-21 22:41 UTC

Final: Cleveland Guardians 5–2 Minnesota Twins

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Previsão 58.14%1.72odd justa
EV -1.16%
Vantagem -0.680%
Kelly -1.65%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.26%57.94%58.22%59.80%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.601.641.641.7062.50%60.95%60.98%58.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Minnesota Twins (Visitante)

Previsão 41.86%2.39odd justa
EV +0.873%
Vantagem +0.362%
Kelly +0.619%
Crescimento +0.005%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.41

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.20%42.06%41.78%44.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.052.282.302.4148.78%43.93%43.48%41.49%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -5.81%E -3.58%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV +0.873%E +0.362%K +0.619%G +0.005%3.2%2026-07-21 22:39
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV +0.455%E +0.189%K +0.325%G +0.001%2.3%2026-07-21 22:20
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV +0.036%E +0.015%K +0.026%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-21 22:20
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV +0.036%E +0.015%K +0.026%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-21 22:20
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -0.383%E -0.161%K -0.277%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-21 22:35
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -0.801%E -0.338%K -0.585%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 22:39
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -6.97%E -4.36%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -0.801%E -0.338%K -0.585%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 22:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -6.97%E -4.36%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -0.801%E -0.338%K -0.585%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 22:40
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -2.32%E -1.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -1.64%E -0.697%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-21 22:20
BetUS1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -3.48%E -2.10%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -1.64%E -0.697%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-21 22:25
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.81%E -3.58%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.64%E -0.697%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 22:39
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.81%E -3.58%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.64%E -0.697%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 22:00
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.64%E -0.697%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 22:40
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.81%E -3.58%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -2.06%E -0.879%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-21 22:35
1xBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.74%E -1.03%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.48%E -1.06%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-21 21:55
MyBookie.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.64%E -2.83%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -2.48%E -1.06%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-21 22:40
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -3.31%E -1.43%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 22:39
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -2.32%E -1.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-21 21:00
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.90%E -1.74%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-21 20:55
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.90%E -1.74%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-21 22:00
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-21 20:50
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-21 21:00
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-21 22:05
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-21 06:45
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.23%E -3.21%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 22:30
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.23%E -3.21%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 22:25
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.81%E -3.58%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 21:50
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.81%E -3.58%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 22:30
Mr Green (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.81%E -3.58%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 22:30
888sport (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.81%E -3.58%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 22:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.81%E -3.58%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 22:40
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.81%E -3.58%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 22:40
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.81%E -3.58%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 22:39
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 22:39
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.97%E -4.36%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-21 06:00
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.48%E -2.10%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-21 21:00
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-21 21:00
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-21 21:00
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-21 21:00
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-21 20:59
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.64%E -2.83%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.99%E -2.20%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 20:50
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.23%E -3.21%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.99%E -2.20%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 22:04
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.23%E -3.21%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.99%E -2.20%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 22:04
Unibet (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.32%E -1.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-21 22:40
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.64%E -2.83%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 20:55
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.64%E -2.83%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 20:55
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.97%E -4.36%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-21 20:49
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.97%E -4.36%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-21 22:40
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -5.23%E -3.21%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -6.66%E -2.99%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 22:40
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -1.16%E -0.680%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 22:40
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.90%E -1.74%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 11:55
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.90%E -1.74%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 22:40
Dabble (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.90%E -1.74%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 22:20
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.81%E -3.58%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 22:40
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-21 22:40
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -2.32%E -1.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -9.17%E -4.23%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 22:40
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -2.32%E -1.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -9.17%E -4.23%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 22:40
betano_uk1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -10.01%E -4.66%K -8.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 22:29
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -10.01%E -4.66%K -8.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-21 22:40
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -1.16%E -0.680%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -12.10%E -5.76%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 22:40
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -1.16%E -0.680%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -12.10%E -5.76%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -5.23%E -3.21%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -12.10%E -5.76%K -11.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-21 22:40
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -5.81%E -3.58%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -14.20%E -6.92%K -13.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-21 22:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-07-21 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-07-21 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-07-21 22:40
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-07-21 19:50
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-07-21 20:00
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-07-21 22:40
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-07-21 22:40
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%2.3%2026-07-21 22:40
BetOpenly1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%3.0%2026-07-21 22:39
ProphetX1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%4.5%2026-07-21 22:40