Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cleveland Guardians v Minnesota Twins

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-21 22:41 UTC

Score final : Cleveland Guardians 5–2 Minnesota Twins

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Prévision 58.14%1.72cote équitable
EV -1.16%
Avantage -0.680%
Kelly -1.65%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.26%57.94%58.22%59.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.601.641.641.7062.50%60.95%60.98%58.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Minnesota Twins (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.86%2.39cote équitable
EV +0.873%
Avantage +0.362%
Kelly +0.619%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 2.41

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.20%42.06%41.78%44.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.052.282.302.4148.78%43.93%43.48%41.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Cleveland Guardians (Local) : 58.14% ; Minnesota Twins (Visiteur) : 41.86%. Pour Minnesota Twins (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.39. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.41, soit une espérance positive de +0.873%.

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -5.81%E -3.58%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV +0.873%E +0.362%K +0.619%G +0.005%3.2%2026-07-21 22:39
GTbets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV +0.455%E +0.189%K +0.325%G +0.001%2.3%2026-07-21 22:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV +0.036%E +0.015%K +0.026%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-21 22:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV +0.036%E +0.015%K +0.026%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-21 22:20
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -0.383%E -0.161%K -0.277%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-21 22:35
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -0.801%E -0.338%K -0.585%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 22:39
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -6.97%E -4.36%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -0.801%E -0.338%K -0.585%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 22:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -6.97%E -4.36%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -0.801%E -0.338%K -0.585%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 22:40
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -2.32%E -1.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -1.64%E -0.697%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-21 22:20
BetUS🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -3.48%E -2.10%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -1.64%E -0.697%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-21 22:25
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.81%E -3.58%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.64%E -0.697%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 22:39
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.81%E -3.58%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.64%E -0.697%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 22:00
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.64%E -0.697%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 22:40
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.81%E -3.58%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -2.06%E -0.879%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-21 22:35
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.74%E -1.03%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.48%E -1.06%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-21 21:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.64%E -2.83%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -2.48%E -1.06%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-21 22:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -3.31%E -1.43%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 22:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -2.32%E -1.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-21 21:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.90%E -1.74%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-21 20:55
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.90%E -1.74%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-21 22:00
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-21 20:50
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-21 21:00
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-21 22:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-21 06:45
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.23%E -3.21%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 22:30
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.23%E -3.21%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 22:25
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.81%E -3.58%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 21:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.81%E -3.58%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 22:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.81%E -3.58%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 22:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.81%E -3.58%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 22:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.81%E -3.58%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 22:40
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.81%E -3.58%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 22:40
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.81%E -3.58%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 22:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 22:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.97%E -4.36%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-21 06:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.48%E -2.10%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-21 21:00
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-21 21:00
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-21 21:00
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-21 21:00
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-21 20:59
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.64%E -2.83%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.99%E -2.20%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 20:50
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.23%E -3.21%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.99%E -2.20%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 22:04
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.23%E -3.21%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.99%E -2.20%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 22:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.32%E -1.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-21 22:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.64%E -2.83%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 20:55
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.64%E -2.83%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 20:55
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.97%E -4.36%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-21 20:49
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.97%E -4.36%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-21 22:40
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -5.23%E -3.21%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -6.66%E -2.99%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 22:40
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -1.16%E -0.680%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 22:40
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.90%E -1.74%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 11:55
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.90%E -1.74%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 22:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.90%E -1.74%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 22:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.81%E -3.58%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 22:40
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-21 22:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -2.32%E -1.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -9.17%E -4.23%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 22:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -2.32%E -1.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -9.17%E -4.23%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 22:40
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -10.01%E -4.66%K -8.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 22:29
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -10.01%E -4.66%K -8.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-21 22:40
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -1.16%E -0.680%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -12.10%E -5.76%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 22:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -1.16%E -0.680%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -12.10%E -5.76%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -5.23%E -3.21%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -12.10%E -5.76%K -11.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-21 22:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -5.81%E -3.58%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -14.20%E -6.92%K -13.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-21 22:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-07-21 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-07-21 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-07-21 22:40
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-07-21 19:50
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-07-21 20:00
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-07-21 22:40
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-07-21 22:40
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%2.3%2026-07-21 22:40
BetOpenly1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%3.0%2026-07-21 22:39
ProphetX1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%4.5%2026-07-21 22:40