La escuela de los momiosCleveland Guardians v Minnesota Twins
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cleveland Guardians (Local)
Predicción 58.14%1.72momio equitativo
EV -1.16%
Ventaja -0.680%
Kelly -1.65%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.26%57.94%58.22%59.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.641.641.7062.50%60.95%60.98%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Minnesota Twins (Visitante)
Predicción 41.86%2.39momio equitativo
EV +0.873%
Ventaja +0.362%
Kelly +0.619%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.41
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.20%42.06%41.78%44.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.282.302.4148.78%43.93%43.48%41.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -5.81%E -3.58%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV +0.873%E +0.362%K +0.619%G +0.005% | 3.2% | 2026-07-21 22:39 |
| GTbets | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV +0.455%E +0.189%K +0.325%G +0.001% | 2.3% | 2026-07-21 22:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV +0.036%E +0.015%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-21 22:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV +0.036%E +0.015%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-21 22:20 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -0.383%E -0.161%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-21 22:35 |
| Bovada | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -0.801%E -0.338%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-21 22:39 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -6.97%E -4.36%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -0.801%E -0.338%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-21 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -6.97%E -4.36%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -0.801%E -0.338%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-21 22:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -2.32%E -1.38%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -1.64%E -0.697%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-21 22:20 |
| BetUS | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -3.48%E -2.10%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -1.64%E -0.697%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-21 22:25 |
| ReBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.81%E -3.58%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.64%E -0.697%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-21 22:39 |
| Caesars | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.81%E -3.58%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.64%E -0.697%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-21 22:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.64%E -0.697%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-21 22:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.81%E -3.58%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -2.06%E -0.879%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-21 22:35 |
| 1xBet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.74%E -1.03%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.48%E -1.06%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-21 21:55 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.64%E -2.83%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -2.48%E -1.06%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-21 22:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -3.31%E -1.43%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-21 22:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -2.32%E -1.38%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-21 21:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.90%E -1.74%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-21 20:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.90%E -1.74%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-21 22:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-21 20:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-21 21:00 |
| TAB | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-21 22:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-21 06:45 |
| Bet Right | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.23%E -3.21%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-21 22:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.23%E -3.21%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-21 22:25 |
| Fliff | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.81%E -3.58%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-21 21:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.81%E -3.58%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-21 22:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.81%E -3.58%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-21 22:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.81%E -3.58%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-21 22:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.81%E -3.58%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-21 22:40 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.81%E -3.58%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-21 22:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.81%E -3.58%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-21 22:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-21 22:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.97%E -4.36%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-21 06:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.48%E -2.10%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-21 21:00 |
| Casumo | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-21 21:00 |
| Unibet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-21 21:00 |
| betPARX | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-21 21:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-21 20:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.64%E -2.83%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.99%E -2.20%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-21 20:50 |
| Betsson | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.23%E -3.21%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.99%E -2.20%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-21 22:04 |
| NordicBet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.23%E -3.21%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.99%E -2.20%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-21 22:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.32%E -1.38%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-21 22:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.64%E -2.83%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-21 20:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.64%E -2.83%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-21 20:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.97%E -4.36%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-21 20:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.97%E -4.36%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-21 22:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -5.23%E -3.21%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -6.66%E -2.99%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-21 22:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -1.16%E -0.680%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-21 22:40 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.90%E -1.74%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-21 11:55 |
| Betway | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.90%E -1.74%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-21 22:40 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.90%E -1.74%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-21 22:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.81%E -3.58%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-21 22:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-21 22:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -2.32%E -1.38%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -9.17%E -4.23%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-21 22:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -2.32%E -1.38%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -9.17%E -4.23%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-21 22:40 |
| betano_uk | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -10.01%E -4.66%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-21 22:29 |
| 888sport | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -10.01%E -4.66%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-21 22:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -1.16%E -0.680%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -12.10%E -5.76%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-21 22:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -1.16%E -0.680%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -12.10%E -5.76%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-21 22:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -5.23%E -3.21%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -12.10%E -5.76%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-21 22:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -5.81%E -3.58%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -14.20%E -6.92%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-21 22:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92% | 0.2% | 2026-07-21 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92% | 0.2% | 2026-07-21 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-07-21 22:40 |
| Polymarket | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-07-21 19:50 |
| Kalshi | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-07-21 20:00 |
| Novig | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-07-21 22:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83% | 1.2% | 2026-07-21 22:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09% | 2.3% | 2026-07-21 22:40 |
| BetOpenly | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21% | 3.0% | 2026-07-21 22:39 |
| ProphetX | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62% | 4.5% | 2026-07-21 22:40 |