Language:English
Cleveland Guardians v Detroit Tigers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cleveland Guardians (Local)
Prediction 60.22%1.66fair odd
EV -1.84%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -2.93%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.19%60.27%60.15%62.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.581.581.6366.67%63.27%63.29%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Detroit Tigers (Visit)
Prediction 39.78%2.51fair odd
EV -0.545%
Edge -0.218%
Kelly -0.363%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.81%39.73%39.85%40.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.412.402.5043.48%41.57%41.67%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 60.22%; Detroit Tigers (Visit): 39.78%. For Detroit Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.51. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.50, with an expected value of -0.545%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.84%E -1.13%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -2.14%E -0.868%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-06 12:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.45%E -1.51%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -0.545%E -0.218%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-09-06 17:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -2.45%E -1.51%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -1.34%E -0.540%K -0.906%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-06 16:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -2.45%E -1.51%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -2.14%E -0.868%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -2.45%E -1.51%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -2.14%E -0.868%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -2.45%E -1.51%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -2.14%E -0.868%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.45%E -1.51%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-06 16:22 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.45%E -1.51%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.45%E -1.51%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-06 03:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.45%E -1.51%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 12:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.45%E -1.51%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 12:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.05%E -1.89%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -3.05%E -1.89%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -2.93%E -1.20%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-06 15:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-06 12:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-06 12:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-06 12:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 14:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -4.25%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -0.943%E -0.379%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-06 15:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.25%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.25%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.25%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.25%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 12:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.25%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 10:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.25%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 07:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.25%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -5.72%E -2.41%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 14:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.25%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 14:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -4.86%E -3.07%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -2.93%E -1.20%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 17:33 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -4.86%E -3.07%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV -3.33%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.86%E -3.07%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.86%E -3.07%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -4.92%E -2.06%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 15:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.86%E -3.07%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 12:38 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.86%E -3.07%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.72%E -2.41%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 12:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.86%E -3.07%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.72%E -2.41%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 12:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.33%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-06 17:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.33%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.33%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.33%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.33%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 12:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 14:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-05 23:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 02:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.50%E -3.70%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 15:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 12:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.66%E -4.30%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 07:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -6.66%E -4.30%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.66%E -4.30%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.50%E -3.70%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.66%E -4.30%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.50%E -3.70%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-06 17:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.26%E -4.72%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.10%EV -7.26%E -4.72%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -8.47%E -5.57%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -0.545%E -0.218%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 17:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -9.67%E -6.45%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 61.05% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 38.95% | -0.1% | 2026-09-06 17:39 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-09-06 17:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-09-06 15:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.0% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.0% | 2026-09-06 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.0% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.0% | 2026-09-06 17:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-09-06 16:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 14:45 |