Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Cleveland Guardians v Detroit Tigers

Начало: 2026-09-06 17:40 UTC

Итог: Cleveland Guardians 3–2 Detroit Tigers

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

66 букмекерских контор (21 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Cleveland Guardians (Хозяева)

Прогноз 60.22%1.66справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.84%
Преимущество -1.13%
Kelly -2.93%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.63

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
59.19%60.27%60.15%62.19%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.501.581.581.6366.67%63.27%63.29%61.35%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Detroit Tigers (Гости)

Прогноз 39.78%2.51справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.545%
Преимущество -0.218%
Kelly -0.363%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
37.81%39.73%39.85%40.81%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.302.412.402.5043.48%41.57%41.67%40.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Cleveland Guardians (Хозяева): 60.22%; Detroit Tigers (Гости): 39.78%. Для исхода «Detroit Tigers (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.51. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 2.50, математическое ожидание — -0.545%; положительного ожидания не было.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (66 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиМаржаОбновлено
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.84%E -1.13%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -2.14%E -0.868%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-06 12:40
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.45%E -1.51%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -0.545%E -0.218%K -0.363%G +0.000%1.7%2026-09-06 17:05
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -2.45%E -1.51%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -1.34%E -0.540%K -0.906%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-06 16:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -2.45%E -1.51%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -2.14%E -0.868%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-06 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -2.45%E -1.51%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -2.14%E -0.868%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-06 16:55
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -2.45%E -1.51%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -2.14%E -0.868%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-06 16:55
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.45%E -1.51%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-06 16:22
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.45%E -1.51%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-06 17:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.45%E -1.51%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-06 03:55
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.45%E -1.51%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 12:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.45%E -1.51%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 12:20
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.05%E -1.89%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-06 16:55
BetAnything🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -3.05%E -1.89%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -2.93%E -1.20%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-06 16:55
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 15:50
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 12:20
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 12:09
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 14:50
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -4.25%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -0.943%E -0.379%K -0.633%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-06 15:55
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.25%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-06 17:30
Betway🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.25%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-05 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.25%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-05 23:05
BetMGM🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.25%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 12:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.25%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 10:04
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.25%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 07:50
Coolbet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.25%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -5.72%E -2.41%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 14:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.25%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 14:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -4.86%E -3.07%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -2.93%E -1.20%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 17:33
DraftKings🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -4.86%E -3.07%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV -3.33%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-06 17:30
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.86%E -3.07%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-05 23:05
SportsBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.86%E -3.07%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -4.92%E -2.06%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 15:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.86%E -3.07%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 12:38
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.86%E -3.07%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.72%E -2.41%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 12:09
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.86%E -3.07%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.72%E -2.41%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 12:09
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.33%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 17:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.33%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 16:55
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.33%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 16:55
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.33%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 16:55
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.33%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 16:55
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-05 23:05
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 12:10
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 14:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 17:30
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-05 23:45
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 02:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 17:25
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.50%E -3.70%K -6.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 15:50
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 17:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 17:40
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 17:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 17:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 17:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 17:30
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 16:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 12:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.66%E -4.30%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 07:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -6.66%E -4.30%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 16:55
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.66%E -4.30%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.50%E -3.70%K -6.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 17:30
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.66%E -4.30%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.50%E -3.70%K -6.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 17:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.26%E -4.72%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 17:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.10%EV -7.26%E -4.72%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 17:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -8.47%E -5.57%K -16.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -0.545%E -0.218%K -0.363%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 17:10
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -9.67%E -6.45%K -19.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 17:40
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (10)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
BetOpenly◎1.64I 60.98%NM 61.05%2.57I 38.91%NM 38.95%-0.1%2026-09-06 17:39
ProphetX◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-09-06 17:15
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-09-06 15:30
Novig◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-09-06 17:35
Matchbook◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-09-06 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-09-06 17:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-09-06 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-09-06 17:15
Polymarket◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-09-06 16:45
Smarkets◎1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%7.2%2026-09-06 14:45