Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Guardians v Detroit Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-06-13 20:11 UTC

Final: Cleveland Guardians 3–1 Detroit Tigers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Prediction 43.83%2.28fair odd
EV -0.943%
Edge -0.417%
Kelly -0.749%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.31%43.86%43.78%44.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.092.172.172.2647.85%46.02%46.08%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Detroit Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 56.17%1.78fair odd
EV -1.70%
Edge -0.973%
Kelly -2.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.21%56.14%56.22%57.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.711.711.7560.61%58.60%58.48%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 43.83%; Detroit Tigers (Visit): 56.17%. For Cleveland Guardians (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.28. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.26, with an expected value of -0.943%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -0.943%E -0.417%K -0.749%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -2.27%E -1.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.7%2026-06-13 20:09
GTbets🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.38%E -0.614%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.27%E -1.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-13 18:40
Everygame🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.38%E -0.614%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.27%E -1.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-13 18:40
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.38%E -0.614%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.32%E -4.44%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 20:09
1xBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -1.82%E -0.812%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -2.27%E -1.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-13 20:03
BetUS🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.26%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.27%E -1.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-13 19:00
BetAnything🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.26%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.27%E -1.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-13 18:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.70%E -1.21%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.27%E -1.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-13 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.70%E -1.21%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.27%E -1.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-13 18:41
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.95%E -2.31%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-13 14:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.95%E -2.31%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-13 20:10
ReBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.95%E -2.31%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-13 18:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.95%E -2.31%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-13 18:40
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.51%E -2.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.51%E -2.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 18:50
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.51%E -2.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 18:50
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.51%E -2.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 20:00
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.51%E -2.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 20:10
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.07%E -3.00%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 19:30
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.64%E -3.35%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 18:50
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.20%E -3.71%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 19:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.20%E -3.71%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 19:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.20%E -3.71%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 19:30
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.20%E -3.71%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 19:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.32%E -4.44%K -11.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-13 18:30
MyBookie.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.45%E -2.04%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.39%E -1.97%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-13 20:00
Caesars🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.45%E -2.04%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.95%E -2.31%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-13 18:40
Bet Right🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.45%E -2.04%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.51%E -2.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-13 19:30
SportsBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.45%E -2.04%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.07%E -3.00%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 19:40
BetMGM🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.45%E -2.04%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.07%E -3.00%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 18:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%EV -4.89%E -2.25%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%EV -1.70%E -0.973%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-13 19:50
DraftKings🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -4.89%E -2.25%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.95%E -2.31%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 18:30
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.89%E -2.25%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.51%E -2.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-13 19:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -4.89%E -2.25%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.07%E -3.00%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 20:00
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.27%E -1.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-13 16:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.83%E -1.63%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 19:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.83%E -1.63%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 19:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.83%E -1.63%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 19:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.51%E -2.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 18:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.51%E -2.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 15:30
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.51%E -2.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.51%E -2.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 18:50
Dabble (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.51%E -2.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 18:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.07%E -3.00%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-13 20:00
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.07%E -3.00%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-13 20:10
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.20%E -3.71%K -9.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-13 19:40
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.20%E -3.71%K -9.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-13 18:30
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.32%E -4.44%K -11.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-13 20:08
LeoVegas🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.20%E -2.90%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.83%E -1.63%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-13 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.20%E -2.90%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.83%E -1.63%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-13 19:50
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.20%E -2.90%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.83%E -1.63%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-13 19:50
Casumo🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.20%E -2.90%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.83%E -1.63%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-13 19:50
Bally Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.20%E -2.90%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.83%E -1.63%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-13 19:50
betPARX🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.20%E -2.90%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.83%E -1.63%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-13 19:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.20%E -2.90%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.83%E -1.63%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-13 19:50
NordicBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.20%E -2.90%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.95%E -2.31%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-13 20:10
Betsson🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.20%E -2.90%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.95%E -2.31%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-13 20:09
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.08%E -3.34%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.39%E -1.97%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 19:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.08%E -3.34%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.39%E -1.97%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 19:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.08%E -3.34%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.39%E -1.97%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 19:50
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.08%E -3.34%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.39%E -1.97%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 19:50
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.96%E -3.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.51%E -2.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-13 19:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.96%E -3.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.64%E -3.35%K -8.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-13 18:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.27%EV -8.39%E -4.02%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -6.76%E -4.07%K -10.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-13 19:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-06-13 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-06-13 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-06-13 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-06-13 20:10
Novig2.31I 43.29%NM 42.96%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.04%0.8%2026-06-13 20:10
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-06-13 20:10
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-06-13 16:50
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.4%2026-06-13 20:10
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%3.0%2026-06-13 20:10
BetOpenly2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%4.3%2026-06-13 19:50