La escuela de los momios

Cleveland Guardians v Detroit Tigers

Inicio: 2026-06-13 20:11 UTC

Final: Cleveland Guardians 3–1 Detroit Tigers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Predicción 43.83%2.28momio equitativo
EV -0.943%
Ventaja -0.417%
Kelly -0.749%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.26

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.31%43.86%43.78%44.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.092.172.172.2647.85%46.02%46.08%44.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Detroit Tigers (Visitante)

Predicción 56.17%1.78momio equitativo
EV -1.70%
Ventaja -0.973%
Kelly -2.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.21%56.14%56.22%57.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.711.711.7560.61%58.60%58.48%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -0.943%E -0.417%K -0.749%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -2.27%E -1.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.7%2026-06-13 20:09
GTbets2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.38%E -0.614%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.27%E -1.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-13 18:40
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.38%E -0.614%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.27%E -1.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-13 18:40
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.38%E -0.614%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.32%E -4.44%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 20:09
1xBet2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -1.82%E -0.812%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -2.27%E -1.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-13 20:03
BetUS2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.26%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.27%E -1.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-13 19:00
BetAnything2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.26%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.27%E -1.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-13 18:50
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.70%E -1.21%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.27%E -1.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-13 18:40
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.70%E -1.21%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.27%E -1.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-13 18:41
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.95%E -2.31%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-13 14:50
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.95%E -2.31%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-13 20:10
ReBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.95%E -2.31%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-13 18:30
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.95%E -2.31%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-13 18:40
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.51%E -2.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.51%E -2.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 18:50
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.51%E -2.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 18:50
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.51%E -2.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 20:00
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.51%E -2.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 20:10
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.07%E -3.00%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 19:30
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.64%E -3.35%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 18:50
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.20%E -3.71%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 19:30
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.20%E -3.71%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 19:30
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.20%E -3.71%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 19:30
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.20%E -3.71%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 19:50
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.32%E -4.44%K -11.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-13 18:30
MyBookie.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.45%E -2.04%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.39%E -1.97%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-13 20:00
Caesars2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.45%E -2.04%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.95%E -2.31%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-13 18:40
Bet Right2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.45%E -2.04%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.51%E -2.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-13 19:30
SportsBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.45%E -2.04%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.07%E -3.00%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 19:40
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.45%E -2.04%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.07%E -3.00%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 18:50
Svenska Spel2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%EV -4.89%E -2.25%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%EV -1.70%E -0.973%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-13 19:50
DraftKings2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -4.89%E -2.25%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.95%E -2.31%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 18:30
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.89%E -2.25%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.51%E -2.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-13 19:30
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -4.89%E -2.25%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.07%E -3.00%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 20:00
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.27%E -1.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-13 16:30
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.83%E -1.63%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 19:50
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.83%E -1.63%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 19:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.83%E -1.63%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 19:40
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.51%E -2.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 18:30
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.51%E -2.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 15:30
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.51%E -2.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.51%E -2.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 18:50
Dabble (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.51%E -2.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 18:30
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.07%E -3.00%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-13 20:00
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.07%E -3.00%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-13 20:10
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.20%E -3.71%K -9.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-13 19:40
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.20%E -3.71%K -9.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-13 18:30
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.32%E -4.44%K -11.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-13 20:08
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.20%E -2.90%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.83%E -1.63%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-13 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.20%E -2.90%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.83%E -1.63%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-13 19:50
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.20%E -2.90%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.83%E -1.63%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-13 19:50
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.20%E -2.90%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.83%E -1.63%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-13 19:50
Bally Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.20%E -2.90%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.83%E -1.63%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-13 19:50
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.20%E -2.90%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.83%E -1.63%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-13 19:50
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.20%E -2.90%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.83%E -1.63%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-13 19:50
NordicBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.20%E -2.90%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.95%E -2.31%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-13 20:10
Betsson2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.20%E -2.90%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.95%E -2.31%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-13 20:09
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.08%E -3.34%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.39%E -1.97%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 19:50
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.08%E -3.34%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.39%E -1.97%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 19:50
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.08%E -3.34%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.39%E -1.97%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 19:50
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.08%E -3.34%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.39%E -1.97%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 19:50
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.96%E -3.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.51%E -2.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-13 19:50
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.96%E -3.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.64%E -3.35%K -8.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-13 18:30
Betclic (FR)2.09I 47.85%NM 44.27%EV -8.39%E -4.02%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -6.76%E -4.07%K -10.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-13 19:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-06-13 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-06-13 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-06-13 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-06-13 20:10
Novig2.31I 43.29%NM 42.96%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.04%0.8%2026-06-13 20:10
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-06-13 20:10
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-06-13 16:50
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.4%2026-06-13 20:10
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%3.0%2026-06-13 20:10
BetOpenly2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%4.3%2026-06-13 19:50