The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Cleveland Guardians v Detroit Tigers

2026-09-04 18:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Prediction 54.92%1.82fair odd
EV -1.15%
Edge -0.639%
Kelly -1.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.66%54.91%54.83%55.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.731.731.8060.61%57.69%57.80%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Detroit Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 45.08%2.22fair odd
EV -0.816%
Edge -0.371%
Kelly -0.680%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.16%45.09%45.17%46.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.122.122.2050.00%47.12%47.17%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 54.92%; Detroit Tigers (Visit): 45.08%. For Detroit Tigers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.22. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.20, with an expected value of -0.816%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.15%E -0.639%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -3.07%E -1.43%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-04 00:45
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.25%E -1.26%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.17%E -0.999%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-04 01:25
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.80%E -1.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -0.816%E -0.371%K -0.680%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-03 23:58
GTbets🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.80%E -1.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -0.816%E -0.371%K -0.680%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-04 00:05
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.80%E -1.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -1.72%E -0.788%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-04 00:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.80%E -1.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -1.72%E -0.788%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-04 00:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.80%E -1.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -1.72%E -0.788%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-04 00:04
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.80%E -1.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.32%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 00:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.80%E -1.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 00:10
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.80%E -1.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 00:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.35%E -1.90%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.42%E -2.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-04 02:30
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.35%E -1.90%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.42%E -2.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-03 21:55
Bovada🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -3.90%E -2.23%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -4.87%E -2.31%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 22:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.90%E -2.23%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.32%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 00:39
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.90%E -2.23%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.32%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 01:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.90%E -2.23%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.32%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 22:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.90%E -2.23%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.32%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 00:10
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.90%E -2.23%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.32%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 00:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.90%E -2.23%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.23%E -2.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 00:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.45%E -2.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.07%E -1.43%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-03 21:55
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.45%E -2.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.07%E -1.43%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-04 00:19
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.45%E -2.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.07%E -1.43%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-04 01:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.45%E -2.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.32%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 22:55
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.45%E -2.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.32%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 00:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.45%E -2.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.32%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 00:39
DraftKings🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.99%E -2.89%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.52%E -1.65%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 00:10
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.99%E -2.89%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.42%E -2.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 22:00
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.99%E -2.89%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.42%E -2.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 21:59
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.99%E -2.89%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.32%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 00:35
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.99%E -2.89%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.32%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 00:34
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.99%E -2.89%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.32%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 00:49
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.99%E -2.89%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.32%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 00:33
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.99%E -2.89%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.32%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 21:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.99%E -2.89%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.32%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 21:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.99%E -2.89%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.32%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 21:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.99%E -2.89%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.32%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 21:55
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.99%E -2.89%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.32%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 22:00
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.99%E -2.89%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.32%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 00:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -4.99%E -2.89%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -6.23%E -2.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 00:36
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -2.17%E -0.999%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 02:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -2.17%E -0.999%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 02:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -2.17%E -0.999%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 02:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -2.17%E -0.999%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 02:10
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.42%E -2.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 01:15
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.42%E -2.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 01:15
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.32%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.09%E -3.56%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.62%E -1.21%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 02:10
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.09%E -3.56%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.62%E -1.21%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 02:10
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.09%E -3.56%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.62%E -1.21%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 02:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.09%E -3.56%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.62%E -1.21%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 02:10
Bally Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.09%E -3.56%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.62%E -1.21%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 02:10
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.09%E -3.56%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.62%E -1.21%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 02:10
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.09%E -3.56%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.32%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 00:34
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.64%E -3.91%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.07%E -1.43%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 02:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.64%E -3.91%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 00:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.74%E -4.61%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -4.42%E -2.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 02:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.74%E -4.61%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -4.42%E -2.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 02:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -7.74%E -4.61%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -9.83%E -4.92%K -9.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-04 00:40
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -9.39%E -5.69%K -14.44%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -6.23%E -2.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 02:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%0.1%2026-09-04 01:40
Polymarket◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-04 01:34
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-04 01:50
ProphetX◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-04 02:15
Novig◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-09-04 01:10
Smarkets◎1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%9.0%2026-09-04 01:15
Matchbook◎1.66I 60.24%NM 54.40%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.60%10.7%2026-09-04 01:10