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Cleveland Guardians v Detroit Tigers

2026-09-04 18:11 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Predicción 54.92%1.82momio equitativo
EV -1.15%
Ventaja -0.639%
Kelly -1.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.66%54.91%54.83%55.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.651.731.731.8060.61%57.68%57.80%55.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Detroit Tigers (Visitante)

Predicción 45.08%2.22momio equitativo
EV -0.816%
Ventaja -0.371%
Kelly -0.680%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.16%45.09%45.17%46.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.122.122.2050.00%47.13%47.28%45.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 54.92%; Detroit Tigers (Visitante): 45.08%. Para Detroit Tigers (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.22. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.20, con un valor esperado de -0.816%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.15%E -0.639%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -3.07%E -1.43%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-04 00:45
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.25%E -1.26%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.17%E -0.999%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-04 01:25
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.80%E -1.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -0.816%E -0.371%K -0.680%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-03 23:58
GTbets🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.80%E -1.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -0.816%E -0.371%K -0.680%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-04 00:05
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.80%E -1.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -1.72%E -0.788%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-04 00:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.80%E -1.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -1.72%E -0.788%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-04 00:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.80%E -1.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -1.72%E -0.788%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-04 00:04
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.80%E -1.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.32%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 00:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.80%E -1.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 00:10
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.80%E -1.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 00:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.35%E -1.90%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.42%E -2.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-04 02:30
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.35%E -1.90%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.42%E -2.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-03 21:55
Bovada🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -3.90%E -2.23%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -4.87%E -2.31%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 22:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.90%E -2.23%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.32%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 00:39
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.90%E -2.23%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.32%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 01:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.90%E -2.23%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.32%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 22:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.90%E -2.23%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.32%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 00:10
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.90%E -2.23%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.32%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 00:10
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.90%E -2.23%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.32%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 03:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.90%E -2.23%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.23%E -2.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 00:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.45%E -2.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.07%E -1.43%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-03 21:55
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.45%E -2.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.07%E -1.43%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-04 00:19
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.45%E -2.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.07%E -1.43%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-04 01:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.45%E -2.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.32%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 22:55
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.45%E -2.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.32%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 00:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.45%E -2.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.32%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 00:39
DraftKings🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.99%E -2.89%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.52%E -1.65%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 00:10
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.99%E -2.89%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.42%E -2.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 22:00
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.99%E -2.89%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.42%E -2.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 21:59
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.99%E -2.89%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.32%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 00:35
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.99%E -2.89%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.32%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 00:34
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.99%E -2.89%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.32%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 00:49
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.99%E -2.89%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.32%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 00:33
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.99%E -2.89%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.32%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 21:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.99%E -2.89%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.32%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 21:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.99%E -2.89%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.32%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 21:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.99%E -2.89%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.32%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 21:55
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.99%E -2.89%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.32%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 22:00
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.99%E -2.89%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.32%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 00:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -4.99%E -2.89%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -6.23%E -2.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 00:36
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -2.17%E -0.999%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 02:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -2.17%E -0.999%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 02:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -2.17%E -0.999%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 02:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -2.17%E -0.999%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 02:10
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.42%E -2.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 01:15
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.42%E -2.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 01:15
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.32%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.09%E -3.56%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.62%E -1.21%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 02:10
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.09%E -3.56%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.62%E -1.21%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 02:10
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.09%E -3.56%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.62%E -1.21%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 02:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.09%E -3.56%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.62%E -1.21%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 02:10
Bally Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.09%E -3.56%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.62%E -1.21%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 02:10
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.09%E -3.56%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.62%E -1.21%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 02:10
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.09%E -3.56%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.32%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 00:34
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.64%E -3.91%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.07%E -1.43%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 02:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.64%E -3.91%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 00:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.74%E -4.61%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -4.42%E -2.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 02:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.74%E -4.61%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -4.42%E -2.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 02:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -7.74%E -4.61%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -9.83%E -4.92%K -9.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-04 00:40
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -9.39%E -5.69%K -14.44%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -6.23%E -2.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 02:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%0.1%2026-09-04 03:00
Polymarket◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-04 01:34
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-04 01:50
ProphetX◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-04 03:15
Novig◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%2.0%2026-09-04 03:10
Smarkets◎1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%9.0%2026-09-04 01:15
Matchbook◎1.66I 60.24%NM 54.40%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.60%10.7%2026-09-04 01:10