Language:English
Cleveland Guardians v Chicago White Sox
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cleveland Guardians (Local)
Prediction 59.03%1.69fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -0.850%
Kelly -2.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%59.03%59.08%60.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.611.621.6764.94%61.99%61.73%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chicago White Sox (Visit)
Prediction 40.97%2.44fair odd
EV +1.19%
Edge +0.484%
Kelly +0.813%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 2.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.24%40.97%40.92%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.312.322.4746.51%43.24%43.10%40.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 59.03%; Chicago White Sox (Visit): 40.97%. For Chicago White Sox (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.44. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.47, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.19%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%EV -4.37%E -2.70%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%EV +1.19%E +0.484%K +0.813%G +0.010% | 2.2% | 2026-09-16 17:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -2.60%E -1.58%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -1.26%E -0.524%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-16 17:01 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.96%E -3.08%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.67%E -0.697%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-16 17:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.50%E -5.49%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.67%E -0.697%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-16 17:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.50%E -5.49%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.67%E -0.697%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-16 17:01 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -1.42%E -0.850%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -2.49%E -1.05%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-09-16 16:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -2.01%E -1.21%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -2.49%E -1.05%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-16 17:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.37%E -2.70%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.49%E -1.05%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-16 15:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.96%E -3.08%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -2.49%E -1.05%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-16 17:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.96%E -3.08%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.90%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-16 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.96%E -3.08%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.90%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-16 17:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%EV -2.01%E -1.21%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%EV -3.31%E -1.40%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-16 17:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -2.60%E -1.58%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -3.31%E -1.40%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-16 17:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.37%E -2.70%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.31%E -1.40%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-16 17:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -1.42%E -0.850%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -3.72%E -1.58%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-16 17:01 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -1.42%E -0.850%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -3.72%E -1.58%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-16 17:08 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.78%E -2.32%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.72%E -1.58%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-16 17:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.37%E -2.70%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.72%E -1.58%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-16 17:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.37%E -2.70%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.72%E -1.58%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-16 16:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.55%E -3.47%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.72%E -1.58%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-16 17:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.55%E -3.47%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.72%E -1.58%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-16 17:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.55%E -3.47%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.72%E -1.58%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-16 17:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.14%E -3.86%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.72%E -1.58%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-16 17:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.91%E -5.07%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.72%E -1.58%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-16 17:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.96%E -3.08%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.13%E -1.77%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-16 17:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.55%E -3.47%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.13%E -1.77%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-16 17:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -3.78%E -2.32%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -4.54%E -1.95%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-16 17:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.96%E -3.08%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.54%E -1.95%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-16 17:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.96%E -3.08%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.54%E -1.95%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-16 17:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.96%E -3.08%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.54%E -1.95%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-16 17:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -3.78%E -2.32%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -4.95%E -2.13%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-16 17:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -3.78%E -2.32%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -4.95%E -2.13%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-16 17:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -3.78%E -2.32%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -4.95%E -2.13%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-16 17:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -3.78%E -2.32%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -4.95%E -2.13%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-16 17:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.37%E -2.70%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.95%E -2.13%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-16 17:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.60%E -1.58%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-16 15:53 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.19%E -1.95%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-16 17:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.78%E -2.32%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-16 17:01 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.37%E -2.70%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-16 14:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.37%E -2.70%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-16 14:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.37%E -2.70%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-16 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.37%E -2.70%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-16 17:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.55%E -3.47%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-16 17:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.50%E -5.49%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-16 17:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -6.14%E -3.86%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.98%EV -6.18%E -2.70%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-16 17:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.37%E -2.70%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.59%E -2.89%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-16 17:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.37%E -2.70%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.59%E -2.89%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-16 17:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.37%E -2.70%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.59%E -2.89%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-16 17:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.19%E -1.95%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-16 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.19%E -1.95%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-16 17:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.37%E -2.70%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-16 17:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.55%E -3.47%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-16 17:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.55%E -3.47%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-16 16:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.55%E -3.47%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-16 17:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.55%E -3.47%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-16 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.55%E -3.47%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-16 17:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.55%E -3.47%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-16 17:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.55%E -3.47%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-16 16:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.14%E -3.86%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-16 17:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.64%EV -6.73%E -4.26%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.36%EV -8.23%E -3.67%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-16 17:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -7.32%E -4.66%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -8.64%E -3.87%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-16 17:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.16%EV -6.14%E -3.86%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 41.84%EV -9.46%E -4.28%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-16 17:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.42%E -0.850%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.87%E -4.49%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-16 17:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -7.91%E -5.07%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.87%E -4.49%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-16 17:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.27%EV -9.09%E -5.90%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -11.92%E -5.54%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-16 17:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-09-16 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-09-16 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-09-16 17:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-09-16 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-09-16 17:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-09-16 17:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18% | 1.2% | 2026-09-16 17:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09% | 2.3% | 2026-09-16 17:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95% | 3.4% | 2026-09-16 17:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.40% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.60% | 3.5% | 2026-09-16 17:05 |