Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Cleveland Guardians v Chicago White Sox

2026-09-16 17:11 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Predicción 60.83%1.64momio equitativo
EV -0.242%
Ventaja -0.147%
Kelly -0.378%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.64

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.97%60.82%60.87%62.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.491.561.561.6467.11%64.11%64.10%60.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chicago White Sox (Visitante)

Predicción 39.17%2.55momio equitativo
EV +0.280%
Ventaja +0.109%
Kelly +0.179%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.81%39.18%39.13%41.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.452.452.5644.44%40.89%40.82%39.06%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 60.83%; Chicago White Sox (Visitante): 39.17%. Para Chicago White Sox (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.55. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.56, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.280%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
GTbets🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%EV -3.89%E -2.46%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%EV +0.280%E +0.109%K +0.179%G +0.001%2.4%2026-09-16 04:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -3.89%E -2.46%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV -0.504%E -0.198%K -0.327%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-16 04:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -3.89%E -2.46%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV -0.504%E -0.198%K -0.327%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-16 04:25
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -3.89%E -2.46%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -2.07%E -0.828%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-16 07:50
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.11%E -3.27%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.07%E -0.828%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-16 05:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.72%E -3.69%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.07%E -0.828%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-16 06:43
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.72%E -3.69%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.07%E -0.828%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-16 05:20
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.72%E -3.69%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.07%E -0.828%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-16 05:20
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.72%E -3.69%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.07%E -0.828%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-16 05:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.72%E -3.69%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.07%E -0.828%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-16 06:50
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.72%E -3.69%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.07%E -0.828%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-16 06:50
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.72%E -3.69%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.07%E -0.828%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-16 06:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.72%E -3.69%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.07%E -0.828%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-16 06:43
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.72%E -3.69%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.07%E -0.828%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-16 06:50
Bally Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.72%E -3.69%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.07%E -0.828%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-16 05:20
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.07%E -0.828%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-16 06:50
Dabble (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.54%E -4.96%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -2.07%E -0.828%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-16 07:30
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.11%E -3.27%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.85%E -1.15%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-16 06:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -7.54%E -4.96%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -2.85%E -1.15%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-16 06:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -7.54%E -4.96%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -2.85%E -1.15%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-16 06:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -3.89%E -2.46%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV -3.64%E -1.48%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-16 06:39
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.28%E -2.06%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.03%E -1.64%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-16 03:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.03%E -1.64%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-16 03:25
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.03%E -1.64%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-16 04:25
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.03%E -1.64%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-16 04:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.03%E -1.64%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-16 06:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.03%E -1.64%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-16 03:35
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.03%E -1.64%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-16 06:38
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.03%E -1.64%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-16 07:45
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.03%E -1.64%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-16 07:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.03%E -1.64%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-16 07:45
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.11%E -3.27%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.03%E -1.64%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-16 06:00
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.72%E -3.69%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.03%E -1.64%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-16 07:50
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.03%E -1.64%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 03:25
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.03%E -1.64%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 05:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.03%E -1.64%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 05:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.03%E -1.64%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 05:15
FanDuel🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -3.89%E -2.46%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -4.42%E -1.81%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-16 07:25
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.11%E -3.27%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.42%E -1.81%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-16 07:20
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -0.242%E -0.147%K -0.378%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -4.81%E -1.98%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-16 04:30
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.81%E -1.98%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-16 07:25
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.99%EV -9.37%E -6.29%K -19.11%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.01%EV -4.81%E -1.98%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-16 06:50
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.20%E -2.15%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 04:20
Bet Right🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.20%E -2.15%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 04:20
Betsson🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.11%E -3.27%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.20%E -2.15%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-16 07:10
NordicBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.11%E -3.27%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.20%E -2.15%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-16 07:14
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.99%E -2.49%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-16 06:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.99%E -2.49%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-16 03:35
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.99%E -2.49%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-16 04:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.11%E -3.27%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.99%E -2.49%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-16 06:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.11%E -3.27%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.99%E -2.49%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-16 04:35
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.72%E -3.69%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.99%E -2.49%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 06:37
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.72%E -3.69%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.99%E -2.49%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 06:34
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.77%E -2.84%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-16 03:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -3.28%E -2.06%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -7.55%E -3.20%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-16 04:20
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.67%E -1.67%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.95%E -3.38%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-16 07:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.67%E -1.67%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.95%E -3.38%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-16 08:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.32%E -4.11%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.95%E -3.38%K -5.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-16 06:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.67%E -1.67%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.90%E -4.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 06:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -8.76%E -5.84%K -17.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -11.86%E -5.27%K -9.49%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-16 05:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%0.2%2026-09-16 07:55
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 62.17%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.83%0.5%2026-09-16 08:00
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-09-16 05:55
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-09-16 05:40
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.3%2026-09-16 06:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.3%2026-09-16 08:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.3%2026-09-16 08:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%2.2%2026-09-16 07:55
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 61.61%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.39%3.4%2026-09-16 08:00
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%4.8%2026-09-16 07:30