The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Cleveland Guardians v Chicago White Sox

2026-10-11 00:01 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Prediction 56.14%1.78fair odd
EV -1.76%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -2.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.55%56.14%56.14%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.711.711.7563.29%58.63%58.48%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago White Sox (Visit)

Prediction 43.86%2.28fair odd
EV +0.007%
Edge +0.003%
Kelly +0.006%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%43.86%43.86%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.162.162.2850.76%46.20%46.30%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 56.14%; Chicago White Sox (Visit): 43.86%. For Chicago White Sox (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.2798. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.2800, producing a positive expected value of +0.007%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -3.44%E -2.00%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV +0.007%E +0.003%K +0.006%G +0.000%2.0%2026-10-10 20:00
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -2.88%E -1.67%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -0.870%E -0.385%K -0.690%G +0.000%2.1%2026-10-10 20:10
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.32%E -1.33%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.31%E -0.582%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.9%2026-10-10 14:40
Everygame🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.32%E -1.33%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.31%E -0.582%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.9%2026-10-10 20:04
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.32%E -1.33%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.19%E -0.980%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.3%2026-10-10 15:30
Bovada🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.69%E -3.39%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.19%E -0.980%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-10 19:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.32%E -1.33%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.62%E -1.18%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.5%2026-10-10 14:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.32%E -1.33%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.62%E -1.18%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.5%2026-10-10 14:40
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV -2.32%E -1.33%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV -3.06%E -1.39%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.7%2026-10-10 13:59
BetAnything🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%EV -2.88%E -1.67%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91%EV -3.06%E -1.39%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-10 19:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.01%E -2.34%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.50%E -1.59%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-10 16:00
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.01%E -2.34%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.50%E -1.59%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-10 14:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.01%E -2.34%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.50%E -1.59%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-10 14:00
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.01%E -2.34%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.50%E -1.59%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-10 18:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.01%E -2.34%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.50%E -1.59%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-10 14:30
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.50%E -1.59%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 14:15
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.50%E -1.59%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 18:30
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.13%E -3.03%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.50%E -1.59%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-10 14:25
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.25%E -3.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.50%E -1.59%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 20:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.37%E -4.47%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.50%E -1.59%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 13:54
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.38%E -2.01%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-10 15:58
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.38%E -2.01%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-10 15:54
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.38%E -2.01%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-10 14:30
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.13%E -3.03%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.38%E -2.01%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 14:14
Caesars🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -2.88%E -1.67%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -4.82%E -2.22%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-10 13:55
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.82%E -2.22%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-10 14:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -3.44%E -2.00%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -5.26%E -2.43%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-10 18:05
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -3.44%E -2.00%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -5.26%E -2.43%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-10 18:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -3.44%E -2.00%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -5.26%E -2.43%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-10 18:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -3.44%E -2.00%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -5.26%E -2.43%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-10 18:05
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -3.44%E -2.00%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -5.26%E -2.43%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-10 18:04
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -3.44%E -2.00%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -5.26%E -2.43%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-10 18:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -3.44%E -2.00%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -5.26%E -2.43%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-10 18:05
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -3.44%E -2.00%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -5.26%E -2.43%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-10 18:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -3.44%E -2.00%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -5.26%E -2.43%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-10 18:05
Bally Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -3.44%E -2.00%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -5.26%E -2.43%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-10 18:04
NordicBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.13%E -3.03%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.26%E -2.43%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-10 20:04
Betsson🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.13%E -3.03%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.26%E -2.43%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-10 20:03
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.32%E -1.33%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.69%E -2.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-10 14:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.88%E -1.67%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.69%E -2.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 14:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.88%E -1.67%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.69%E -2.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 14:01
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.88%E -1.67%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.69%E -2.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 14:01
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.44%E -2.00%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.69%E -2.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-10 20:10
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.69%E -2.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 17:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.69%E -2.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 14:00
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.69%E -2.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 14:10
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.69%E -2.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 18:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.69%E -3.39%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.69%E -2.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 15:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.69%E -3.39%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.69%E -2.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 15:59
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.25%E -3.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.69%E -2.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 14:04
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.01%E -2.34%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.13%E -2.87%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 18:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -7.01%E -3.31%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 18:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -7.01%E -3.31%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 18:10
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.76%E -1.01%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.89%E -3.76%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.76%E -1.01%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.89%E -3.76%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 14:01
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.32%E -1.33%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.89%E -3.76%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 19:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.69%E -3.39%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.89%E -3.76%K -7.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 14:04
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.37%E -4.47%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.89%E -3.76%K -7.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-10 15:54
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.37%E -4.47%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.89%E -3.76%K -7.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-10 15:55
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -7.37%E -4.47%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -9.20%E -4.45%K -8.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-10 18:05
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -7.94%E -4.84%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44%EV -10.08%E -4.92%K -9.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-10 14:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.49%EV -11.30%E -7.15%K -19.49%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.51%EV -13.59%E -6.90%K -14.01%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-10 15:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.75I 57.14%NM 57.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.79%-0.1%2026-10-10 20:01
Novig◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81%0.6%2026-10-10 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-10-10 19:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-10-10 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-10-10 19:50
Matchbook◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-10-10 19:50
ProphetX◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-10-10 20:01
Polymarket◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Smarkets◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%1.7%2026-10-10 20:05