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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Cleveland Guardians v Chicago White Sox

2026-10-11 00:01 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Predicción 56.21%1.78momio equitativo
EV -1.64%
Ventaja -0.935%
Kelly -2.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.55%56.12%56.27%57.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.581.711.711.7563.29%58.49%58.48%57.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chicago White Sox (Visitante)

Predicción 43.79%2.28momio equitativo
EV -0.592%
Ventaja -0.261%
Kelly -0.466%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.27

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.86%43.88%43.73%45.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.972.162.152.2750.76%46.36%46.51%44.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 56.21%; Chicago White Sox (Visitante): 43.79%. Para Chicago White Sox (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.28. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.27, con un valor esperado de -0.592%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -1.64%E -0.935%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -7.16%E -3.38%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 20:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -1.64%E -0.935%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -7.16%E -3.38%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 20:25
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -1.64%E -0.935%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -7.16%E -3.38%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 20:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -1.64%E -0.935%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -7.16%E -3.38%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 20:25
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.64%E -0.935%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.64%E -0.935%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 14:01
Everygame🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.20%E -1.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.47%E -0.653%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.9%2026-10-10 20:04
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.20%E -1.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.47%E -0.653%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.9%2026-10-10 20:45
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.20%E -1.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.34%E -1.05%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.3%2026-10-10 15:30
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV -2.20%E -1.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV -3.22%E -1.46%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.7%2026-10-10 13:59
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.20%E -1.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-10 14:01
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.20%E -1.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -7.16%E -3.38%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-10 20:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.20%E -1.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -7.16%E -3.38%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-10 20:25
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.20%E -1.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -7.16%E -3.38%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-10 20:25
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.20%E -1.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -7.16%E -3.38%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-10 20:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.20%E -1.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -7.16%E -3.38%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-10 20:25
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.20%E -1.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -7.16%E -3.38%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-10 20:25
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.20%E -1.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 19:50
GTbets🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.76%E -1.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -0.592%E -0.261%K -0.466%G +0.000%1.9%2026-10-10 20:40
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -2.76%E -1.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -1.03%E -0.456%K -0.818%G +0.000%2.1%2026-10-10 20:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.76%E -1.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -1.91%E -0.851%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.4%2026-10-10 20:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.76%E -1.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -1.91%E -0.851%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.4%2026-10-10 20:40
BetAnything🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%EV -2.76%E -1.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91%EV -3.22%E -1.46%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-10 19:10
Caesars🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -2.76%E -1.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -4.97%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-10 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.76%E -1.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 14:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.76%E -1.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 14:01
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.76%E -1.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 14:01
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.76%E -1.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 20:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.32%E -1.93%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-10 20:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.66%E -1.66%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-10 16:00
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.66%E -1.66%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-10 14:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.66%E -1.66%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-10 14:00
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.66%E -1.66%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-10 18:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.66%E -1.66%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-10 14:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -8.91%E -4.28%K -8.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 20:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -8.91%E -4.28%K -8.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 20:24
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.45%E -2.62%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.66%E -1.66%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 14:15
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.45%E -2.62%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.66%E -1.66%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 18:30
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.45%E -2.62%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.66%E -1.66%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 20:40
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.45%E -2.62%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.10%E -1.87%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-10 20:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.45%E -2.62%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.53%E -2.08%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-10 15:54
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.45%E -2.62%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.53%E -2.08%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-10 14:30
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.45%E -2.62%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 17:05
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.45%E -2.62%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 14:10
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.45%E -2.62%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 18:25
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.01%E -2.96%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.66%E -1.66%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-10 14:25
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.01%E -2.96%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.53%E -2.08%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 14:14
NordicBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.01%E -2.96%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.41%E -2.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-10 20:04
Betsson🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.01%E -2.96%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.41%E -2.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-10 20:03
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.57%E -3.32%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.66%E -1.66%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 20:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.57%E -3.32%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 15:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.57%E -3.32%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 15:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.57%E -3.32%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 14:04
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.66%E -1.66%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 20:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.66%E -1.66%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 20:24
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 14:04
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.99%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.01%EV -10.66%E -5.23%K -10.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-10 20:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.66%E -1.66%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 13:54
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-10 15:54
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-10 15:55
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -7.82%E -4.77%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44%EV -10.23%E -4.99%K -9.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-10 14:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.49%EV -11.19%E -7.08%K -19.30%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.51%EV -13.73%E -6.97%K -14.15%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-10 15:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-10-10 20:50
Novig◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81%0.6%2026-10-10 17:10
BetOpenly◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-10-10 20:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-10-10 21:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-10-10 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-10-10 20:50
ProphetX◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67%0.9%2026-10-10 20:55
Polymarket◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Smarkets◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%1.7%2026-10-10 20:05