Language:English
Cleveland Guardians v Boston Red Sox
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cleveland Guardians (Local)
Prediction 54.23%1.84fair odd
EV +0.331%
Edge +0.179%
Kelly +0.389%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.81%54.16%54.26%55.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.771.761.8558.82%56.64%56.82%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Boston Red Sox (Visit)
Prediction 45.77%2.18fair odd
EV -1.14%
Edge -0.529%
Kelly -0.985%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.74%45.84%45.74%47.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.082.082.1650.00%48.11%48.08%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 54.23%; Boston Red Sox (Visit): 45.77%. For Cleveland Guardians (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.84. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.331%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV +0.331%E +0.179%K +0.389%G +0.001% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-30 19:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV +0.331%E +0.179%K +0.389%G +0.001% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -5.26%E -2.54%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-30 19:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV +0.331%E +0.179%K +0.389%G +0.001% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -5.26%E -2.54%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-30 19:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -0.754%E -0.412%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -3.43%E -1.63%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-30 20:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -0.754%E -0.412%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-30 19:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.30%E -0.712%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -3.43%E -1.63%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-30 19:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.84%E -1.02%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.52%E -1.18%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-30 17:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -2.38%E -1.32%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -1.14%E -0.529%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.38%E -1.32%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.38%E -1.32%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 19:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.38%E -1.32%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 19:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.38%E -1.32%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -2.92%E -1.63%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -5.72%E -2.78%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-30 20:06 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-30 18:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 19:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 19:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 20:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -7.09%E -3.49%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.26%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-30 15:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.26%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.26%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.26%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.26%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-30 16:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.26%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-30 15:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.01%E -2.26%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 19:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.01%E -2.26%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.01%E -2.26%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 19:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.55%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.55%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.55%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.35%E -2.08%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-30 19:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.55%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 17:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.55%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 15:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.55%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.26%E -2.54%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-30 15:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.55%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.72%E -2.78%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.55%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-30 15:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.47%E -4.23%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-30 17:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.63%E -3.24%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.63%E -3.24%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.63%E -3.24%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.63%E -3.24%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-30 20:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.63%E -3.24%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 20:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.63%E -3.24%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 20:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 17:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 17:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 17:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-30 13:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.72%E -3.91%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-30 20:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.72%E -3.91%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-30 20:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -7.26%E -4.25%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -6.64%E -3.25%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-30 20:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.80%E -4.59%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.80%E -4.59%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-30 19:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 0.4% | 2026-05-30 20:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00% | 0.4% | 2026-05-30 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-05-30 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 0.8% | 2026-05-30 20:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 1.1% | 2026-05-30 20:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.28% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.72% | 1.4% | 2026-05-30 20:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80% | 2.7% | 2026-05-30 20:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15% | 4.0% | 2026-05-30 20:10 |