Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cleveland Guardians v Boston Red Sox

Início: 2026-05-30 20:11 UTC

Final: Cleveland Guardians 1–9 Boston Red Sox

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Previsão 54.23%1.84odd justa
EV +0.331%
Vantagem +0.179%
Kelly +0.389%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.81%54.16%54.26%55.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.701.771.761.8558.82%56.64%56.82%54.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Boston Red Sox (Visitante)

Previsão 45.77%2.18odd justa
EV -1.14%
Vantagem -0.529%
Kelly -0.985%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.16

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.74%45.84%45.74%47.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.082.082.1650.00%48.11%48.08%46.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 54.23%; Boston Red Sox (Visitante): 45.77%. Para Cleveland Guardians (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.84. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.85, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.331%.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV +0.331%E +0.179%K +0.389%G +0.001%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-30 19:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV +0.331%E +0.179%K +0.389%G +0.001%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -5.26%E -2.54%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-30 19:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV +0.331%E +0.179%K +0.389%G +0.001%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -5.26%E -2.54%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-30 19:20
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -0.754%E -0.412%K -0.908%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -3.43%E -1.63%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-30 20:09
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -0.754%E -0.412%K -0.908%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-30 19:20
BetUS🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.30%E -0.712%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -3.43%E -1.63%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-30 19:20
BetAnything🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.84%E -1.02%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.52%E -1.18%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-30 17:30
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -2.38%E -1.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -1.14%E -0.529%K -0.985%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-30 18:50
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.38%E -1.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 20:00
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.38%E -1.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.38%E -1.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 19:20
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.38%E -1.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 20:00
Bovada🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -2.92%E -1.63%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -5.72%E -2.78%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 20:06
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-30 18:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-30 17:10
Neds🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 19:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 20:09
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -7.09%E -3.49%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 20:00
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.26%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 15:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.26%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 14:50
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.26%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 17:10
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.26%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-29 23:59
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.26%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 16:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.26%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 15:49
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.01%E -2.26%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 19:20
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.01%E -2.26%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 20:00
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.01%E -2.26%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 19:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.55%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 20:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.55%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 20:00
DraftKings🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.55%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.35%E -2.08%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 19:30
Bet Right🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.55%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 17:40
Coolbet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.55%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 15:29
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.55%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.26%E -2.54%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 15:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.55%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.72%E -2.78%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 20:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.55%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 15:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 20:00
Grosvenor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 20:00
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 20:00
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 20:00
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 20:00
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 20:00
Bally Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 20:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 20:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 20:00
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.47%E -4.23%K -8.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 17:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.63%E -3.24%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 20:00
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.63%E -3.24%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 20:00
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.63%E -3.24%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 20:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.63%E -3.24%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 20:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.63%E -3.24%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 20:09
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.63%E -3.24%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 20:10
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 18:10
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 17:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 17:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 17:40
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 13:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.72%E -3.91%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 20:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.72%E -3.91%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 20:10
Betsson🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -7.26%E -4.25%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -6.64%E -3.25%K -6.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-30 20:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.80%E -4.59%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-30 12:20
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.80%E -4.59%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 19:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-05-30 20:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-05-30 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-05-30 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-05-30 20:10
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-05-30 20:00
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-05-30 20:00
ProphetX1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.1%2026-05-30 20:10
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.28%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.72%1.4%2026-05-30 20:10
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80%2.7%2026-05-30 20:10
Matchbook1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%4.0%2026-05-30 20:10