Language:English
Cleveland Guardians v Athletics
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cleveland Guardians (Local)
Prediction 69.03%1.45fair odd
EV -0.594%
Edge -0.413%
Kelly -1.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.43%69.06%69.02%70.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.381.381.4475.19%72.65%72.46%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Athletics (Visit)
Prediction 30.97%3.23fair odd
EV +2.50%
Edge +0.757%
Kelly +1.08%
Growth +0.027%
assuming max odds 3.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.42%30.94%30.98%33.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.083.103.3135.09%32.42%32.26%30.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 69.03%; Athletics (Visit): 30.97%. For Athletics (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.23. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.31, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.50%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.58%EV -4.74%E -3.43%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.42%EV +2.50%E +0.757%K +1.08%G +0.027% | 2.7% | 2026-09-20 18:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.58%EV -4.74%E -3.43%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.42%EV +2.50%E +0.757%K +1.08%G +0.027% | 2.7% | 2026-09-20 18:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%EV -3.36%E -2.40%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%EV +0.646%E +0.199%K +0.287%G +0.002% | 2.2% | 2026-09-20 19:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.00%EV -4.74%E -3.43%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 30.00%EV -0.283%E -0.088%K -0.127%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-20 18:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.74%E -3.43%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -0.902%E -0.282%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-20 18:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.12%E -4.50%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.902%E -0.282%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-20 18:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.12%E -4.50%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.902%E -0.282%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-20 19:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.12%E -4.50%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.902%E -0.282%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-20 19:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.12%E -4.50%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.902%E -0.282%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-20 19:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.74%E -3.43%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.45%E -0.778%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-20 18:03 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.74%E -3.43%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.45%E -0.778%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-20 19:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.74%E -3.43%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.45%E -0.778%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-20 19:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.74%E -3.43%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.45%E -0.778%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-20 19:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.74%E -3.43%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.45%E -0.778%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-20 19:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.43%E -3.96%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -2.45%E -0.778%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-20 18:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.40%EV -4.74%E -3.43%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.60%EV -3.07%E -0.981%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-20 19:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.42%EV -5.43%E -3.96%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.58%EV -3.69%E -1.19%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 19:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%EV -1.97%E -1.39%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%EV -4.00%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-09-20 17:41 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.36%E -2.40%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.00%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-20 19:43 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.05%E -2.91%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -4.00%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-20 19:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.05%E -2.91%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -4.00%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-20 18:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.74%E -3.43%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.00%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-20 19:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.74%E -3.43%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.00%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-20 18:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.74%E -3.43%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.00%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-20 17:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.74%E -3.43%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.00%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-20 15:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.74%E -3.43%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.00%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-20 15:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.74%E -3.43%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.00%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-20 15:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.74%E -3.43%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.00%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-20 17:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.74%E -3.43%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.00%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-20 15:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.74%E -3.43%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.00%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-20 19:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.12%E -4.50%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.00%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-20 19:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.12%E -4.50%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.00%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-20 15:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -4.74%E -3.43%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -4.93%E -1.61%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-20 18:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.36%E -2.40%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -5.55%E -1.82%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-20 19:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.74%E -3.43%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.55%E -1.82%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 18:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.12%E -4.50%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.55%E -1.82%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 17:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.12%E -4.50%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.55%E -1.82%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 17:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.12%E -4.50%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.55%E -1.82%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 17:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.12%E -4.50%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.55%E -1.82%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 15:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.12%E -4.50%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.55%E -1.82%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 15:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -4.74%E -3.43%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -5.86%E -1.93%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-20 19:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -4.74%E -3.43%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -5.86%E -1.93%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-20 19:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.36%E -2.40%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.10%E -2.37%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-20 19:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.05%E -2.91%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -7.10%E -2.37%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 19:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.74%E -3.43%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.10%E -2.37%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-20 18:44 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.43%E -3.96%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -7.10%E -2.37%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 19:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.12%E -4.50%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.10%E -2.37%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-20 15:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.12%E -4.50%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.10%E -2.37%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-20 19:43 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.19%E -6.16%K -24.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.10%E -2.37%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-20 15:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.74%E -3.43%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.19%E -3.51%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-20 19:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -6.81%E -5.04%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -10.19%E -3.51%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-20 19:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -0.594%E -0.413%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -11.74%E -4.12%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-20 14:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -5.43%E -3.96%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -11.74%E -4.12%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-20 19:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -6.12%E -4.50%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -11.74%E -4.12%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-20 19:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 0.2% | 2026-09-20 17:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 0.2% | 2026-09-20 19:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-09-20 17:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-09-20 17:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 0.9% | 2026-09-20 17:54 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 0.9% | 2026-09-20 17:39 |
| Novig◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.79% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 30.21% | 0.9% | 2026-09-20 19:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64% | 2.2% | 2026-09-20 19:24 |