Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Guardians v Athletics

2026-09-20 17:41 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Prediction 65.93%1.52fair odd
EV -0.453%
Edge -0.300%
Kelly -0.888%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.27%65.97%65.73%67.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.391.441.441.5171.94%69.63%69.44%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Athletics (Visit)

Prediction 34.07%2.93fair odd
EV +1.20%
Edge +0.405%
Kelly +0.610%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 2.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.71%34.03%34.27%35.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.802.802.9740.00%35.67%35.71%33.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 65.93%; Athletics (Visit): 34.07%. For Athletics (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.93. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.97, producing a positive expected value of +1.20%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.19%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.81%EV +1.20%E +0.405%K +0.610%G +0.007%2.6%2026-09-19 18:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.19%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.81%EV +1.20%E +0.405%K +0.610%G +0.007%2.6%2026-09-19 18:25
GTbets🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -1.18%E -0.408%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-19 18:40
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.73%E -4.00%K -13.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.18%E -0.408%K -0.623%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-19 17:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.73%E -4.00%K -13.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.18%E -0.408%K -0.623%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-19 19:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.39%E -4.50%K -15.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.18%E -0.408%K -0.623%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-19 18:00
Bet Right🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.73%E -4.00%K -13.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -1.87%E -0.648%K -0.992%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 18:00
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.87%E -0.648%K -0.992%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 17:54
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98%EV -7.05%E -5.00%K -17.18%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%EV -2.55%E -0.890%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 17:54
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.89%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-19 18:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.73%E -4.00%K -13.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.89%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 18:04
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.89%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 17:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.89%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 18:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.89%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 18:00
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.09%E -2.10%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.59%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-19 19:44
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.59%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 18:29
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.59%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-19 18:29
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -0.453%E -0.300%K -0.888%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV -5.27%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-19 19:24
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -5.27%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 19:54
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -5.27%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 19:54
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.43%E -1.64%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 18:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 18:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 18:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.00%E -2.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 18:09
ReBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.00%E -2.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 18:09
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.00%E -2.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 18:09
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.00%E -2.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 18:07
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -6.39%E -4.50%K -15.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -11.41%E -4.39%K -7.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-19 18:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 64.27%EV -8.36%E -6.02%K -21.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.73%EV -14.81%E -5.93%K -9.88%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-19 18:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-09-19 17:54
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-09-19 18:49
Novig1.46I 68.49%NM 67.19%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.81%1.9%2026-09-19 20:00
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 64.30%2.54I 39.37%NM 35.70%10.3%2026-09-19 18:44
Arbitrage (2 combinations) +0.10%1xBet 1.51 (66.3%) / BetOnline.ag 2.97 (33.7%)Show all 2 combinations
Cleveland Guardians (Local)Athletics (Visit)Margin
1xBet🎯 1.51 (66.3%)BetOnline.ag🎯 2.97 (33.7%)+0.105%
1xBet🎯 1.51 (66.3%)LowVig.ag🎯 2.97 (33.7%)+0.105%