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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Cleveland Guardians v Athletics

2026-09-20 17:41 UTC — MLB

胜负盘

30 家博彩公司 (13 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cleveland Guardians (主队)

预测 66.09%1.51公平赔率
EV -0.210%
优势 -0.139%
Kelly -0.412%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.51

博彩公司预测分布
64.27%66.06%65.88%67.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.391.441.441.5171.94%69.64%69.44%66.23%最小值均值中位数最大值

Athletics (客队)

预测 33.91%2.95公平赔率
EV +0.724%
优势 +0.244%
Kelly +0.368%
增长率 +0.003%

假设最高赔率为 2.97

博彩公司预测分布
32.71%33.94%34.12%35.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.502.812.832.9740.00%35.63%35.40%33.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Cleveland Guardians (主队)：66.09%；Athletics (客队)：33.91%。 对于“Athletics (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.95。 有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为2.97，由此产生+0.724%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.19%EV -4.18%E -2.88%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.81%EV +0.724%E +0.244%K +0.368%G +0.003%2.6%2026-09-19 18:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.19%EV -4.18%E -2.88%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.81%EV +0.724%E +0.244%K +0.368%G +0.003%2.6%2026-09-19 18:25
Caesars🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.05%EV -5.50%E -3.84%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.95%EV -1.31%E -0.450%K -0.686%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 20:27
GTbets🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -4.18%E -2.88%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -1.65%E -0.569%K -0.868%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-19 18:40
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.50%E -3.84%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.65%E -0.569%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-19 17:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.50%E -3.84%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.65%E -0.569%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-19 19:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.16%E -4.34%K -14.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.65%E -0.569%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-19 18:00
Bet Right🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.50%E -3.84%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.33%E -0.808%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 18:00
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.48%E -5.34%K -18.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.33%E -0.808%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 17:54
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98%EV -6.82%E -4.84%K -16.63%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%EV -3.01%E -1.05%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 17:54
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.84%E -3.36%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.35%E -1.17%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-19 18:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.50%E -3.84%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.35%E -1.17%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 18:04
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.48%E -5.34%K -18.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.35%E -1.17%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 17:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.48%E -5.34%K -18.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.35%E -1.17%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 18:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.48%E -5.34%K -18.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.35%E -1.17%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 18:00
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.85%E -1.94%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.04%E -1.80%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-19 19:44
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.18%E -2.88%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.04%E -1.80%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 18:29
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.84%E -3.36%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.04%E -1.80%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-19 18:29
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -0.210%E -0.139%K -0.412%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV -5.72%E -2.06%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-19 19:24
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.84%E -3.36%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -5.72%E -2.06%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 19:54
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.84%E -3.36%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -5.72%E -2.06%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 19:54
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.19%E -1.48%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.74%E -2.45%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 18:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.18%E -2.88%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.74%E -2.45%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 18:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.18%E -2.88%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.74%E -2.45%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 18:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.18%E -2.88%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.43%E -3.12%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 18:09
ReBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.84%E -3.36%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.43%E -3.12%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 18:09
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.84%E -3.36%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.43%E -3.12%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 18:09
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.84%E -3.36%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.43%E -3.12%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 18:07
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -6.16%E -4.34%K -14.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -11.82%E -4.55%K -7.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-19 18:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 64.27%EV -8.14%E -5.86%K -20.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.73%EV -15.22%E -6.09%K -10.14%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-19 18:09
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Polymarket◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-09-19 20:39
Kalshi◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-09-19 18:49
Novig◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.04%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.96%1.5%2026-09-19 20:44
Smarkets◎1.41I 70.92%NM 64.30%2.54I 39.37%NM 35.70%10.3%2026-09-19 18:44
套利（2 种组合） +0.10%1xBet 1.51 (66.3%) / BetOnline.ag 2.97 (33.7%)显示全部 2 种组合
Cleveland Guardians (主队)Athletics (客队)利润率
1xBet🎯 1.51 (66.3%)BetOnline.ag🎯 2.97 (33.7%)+0.105%
1xBet🎯 1.51 (66.3%)LowVig.ag🎯 2.97 (33.7%)+0.105%