Language:English
Cincinnati Reds v Washington Nationals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cincinnati Reds (Local)
Prediction 61.50%1.63fair odd
EV -1.59%
Edge -0.996%
Kelly -2.66%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.64%61.51%61.56%62.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.551.551.6066.67%64.35%64.52%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Washington Nationals (Visit)
Prediction 38.50%2.60fair odd
EV -0.294%
Edge -0.114%
Kelly -0.185%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.04%38.49%38.44%40.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.482.492.5942.55%40.31%40.24%38.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 61.50%; Washington Nationals (Visit): 38.50%. For Washington Nationals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.60. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.59, with an expected value of -0.294%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -1.59%E -0.996%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -2.60%E -1.03%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-13 22:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.21%E -1.39%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-13 19:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -2.21%E -1.39%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -9.53%E -4.06%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-13 22:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%EV -2.82%E -1.79%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%EV -1.45%E -0.566%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-13 22:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -2.82%E -1.79%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV -1.83%E -0.719%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-13 21:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -2.82%E -1.79%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-13 22:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -2.82%E -1.79%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -6.07%E -2.49%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-13 19:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -3.44%E -2.19%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -0.294%E -0.114%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-13 22:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -3.44%E -2.19%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -1.06%E -0.414%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-13 22:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -3.44%E -2.19%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -1.06%E -0.414%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-13 22:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -3.44%E -2.19%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -1.06%E -0.414%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-13 20:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -3.44%E -2.19%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -2.22%E -0.874%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-13 22:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.44%E -2.19%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-13 22:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.44%E -2.19%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-13 19:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.44%E -2.19%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-13 19:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.44%E -2.19%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-13 19:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.44%E -2.19%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-13 19:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.44%E -2.19%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-13 19:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.44%E -2.19%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.38%E -3.52%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-13 20:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.05%E -2.60%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.83%E -0.719%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-13 22:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -4.05%E -2.60%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -2.99%E -1.19%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-13 19:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.05%E -2.60%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-13 20:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.05%E -2.60%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-13 21:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.05%E -2.60%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-13 22:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.05%E -2.60%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-13 21:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.05%E -2.60%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-13 21:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.05%E -2.60%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-13 21:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.05%E -2.60%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -6.07%E -2.49%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 19:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.05%E -2.60%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.84%E -2.83%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-13 19:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.05%E -2.60%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.84%E -2.83%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-13 19:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.67%E -3.01%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-13 22:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.67%E -3.01%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-13 22:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.67%E -3.01%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-13 22:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.67%E -3.01%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-13 22:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.67%E -3.01%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-13 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.67%E -3.01%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-13 22:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.67%E -3.01%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-13 22:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.67%E -3.01%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-13 22:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.67%E -3.01%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-13 22:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.67%E -3.01%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-13 22:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -4.67%E -3.01%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -4.14%E -1.66%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-13 21:48 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.67%E -3.01%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 21:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.67%E -3.01%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 21:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.67%E -3.01%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 22:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -5.28%E -3.43%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -2.60%E -1.03%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-13 22:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.28%E -3.43%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.53%E -1.83%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 22:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.28%E -3.43%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.53%E -1.83%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 22:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.28%E -3.43%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.53%E -1.83%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 22:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.28%E -3.43%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.53%E -1.83%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 22:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.28%E -3.43%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 22:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.28%E -3.43%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.61%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-13 22:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.90%E -3.86%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -0.679%E -0.263%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-13 22:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.90%E -3.86%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-13 22:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.90%E -3.86%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-13 21:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.90%E -3.86%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-13 21:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.90%E -3.86%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-13 21:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.90%E -3.86%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-13 22:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.90%E -3.86%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-13 22:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.90%E -3.86%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.61%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-13 22:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.90%E -3.86%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.38%E -3.52%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-13 20:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.74%E -5.16%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.83%E -0.719%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-13 22:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.74%E -5.16%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.61%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-13 22:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-05-13 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-05-13 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-05-13 22:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-05-13 20:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-05-13 20:59 |
| Novig◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.87% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13% | 1.7% | 2026-05-13 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98% | 2.1% | 2026-05-13 22:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01% | 2.8% | 2026-05-13 22:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56% | 2.8% | 2026-05-13 21:29 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77% | 4.0% | 2026-05-13 22:40 |