L’École des cotes

Cincinnati Reds v Washington Nationals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-13 22:41 UTC

Score final : Cincinnati Reds 7–8 Washington Nationals

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Prévision 61.50%1.63cote équitable
EV -1.59%
Avantage -0.996%
Kelly -2.66%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.64%61.51%61.56%62.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.551.551.6066.67%64.35%64.52%62.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Washington Nationals (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.50%2.60cote équitable
EV -0.294%
Avantage -0.114%
Kelly -0.185%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.04%38.49%38.44%40.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.482.492.5942.55%40.31%40.24%38.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -1.59%E -0.996%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -2.60%E -1.03%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-13 22:04
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.21%E -1.39%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-13 19:45
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -2.21%E -1.39%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -9.53%E -4.06%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 22:34
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%EV -2.82%E -1.79%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%EV -1.45%E -0.566%K -0.929%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-13 22:35
BetAnything1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -2.82%E -1.79%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV -1.83%E -0.719%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-13 21:54
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -2.82%E -1.79%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-13 22:00
FanDuel1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -2.82%E -1.79%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -6.07%E -2.49%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 19:50
GTbets1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -3.44%E -2.19%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -0.294%E -0.114%K -0.185%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-13 22:35
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -3.44%E -2.19%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -1.06%E -0.414%K -0.678%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-13 22:35
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -3.44%E -2.19%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -1.06%E -0.414%K -0.678%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-13 22:35
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -3.44%E -2.19%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -1.06%E -0.414%K -0.678%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-13 20:00
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -3.44%E -2.19%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -2.22%E -0.874%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-13 22:29
Unibet (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.44%E -2.19%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-13 22:40
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.44%E -2.19%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 19:55
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.44%E -2.19%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 19:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.44%E -2.19%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 19:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.44%E -2.19%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 19:55
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.44%E -2.19%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 19:55
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.44%E -2.19%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.38%E -3.52%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-13 20:49
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.05%E -2.60%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.83%E -0.719%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-13 22:39
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -4.05%E -2.60%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -2.99%E -1.19%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-13 19:45
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.05%E -2.60%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 20:00
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.05%E -2.60%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 21:15
ReBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.05%E -2.60%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 22:39
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.05%E -2.60%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 21:04
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.05%E -2.60%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 21:29
Coolbet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.05%E -2.60%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 21:30
SportsBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.05%E -2.60%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -6.07%E -2.49%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 19:50
NordicBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.05%E -2.60%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.84%E -2.83%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 19:55
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.05%E -2.60%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.84%E -2.83%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.67%E -3.01%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 22:40
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.67%E -3.01%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 22:40
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.67%E -3.01%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 22:39
Casumo1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.67%E -3.01%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 22:39
Unibet (NL)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.67%E -3.01%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 22:40
Unibet (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.67%E -3.01%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 22:40
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.67%E -3.01%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 22:40
Bally Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.67%E -3.01%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 22:39
betPARX1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.67%E -3.01%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 22:40
ATG (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.67%E -3.01%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 22:39
Bovada1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -4.67%E -3.01%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -4.14%E -1.66%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 21:48
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.67%E -3.01%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 21:50
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.67%E -3.01%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 21:29
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.67%E -3.01%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 22:00
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -5.28%E -3.43%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -2.60%E -1.03%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 22:39
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.28%E -3.43%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.53%E -1.83%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 22:40
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.28%E -3.43%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.53%E -1.83%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 22:39
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.28%E -3.43%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.53%E -1.83%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 22:39
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.28%E -3.43%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.53%E -1.83%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 22:39
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.28%E -3.43%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 22:09
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.28%E -3.43%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.61%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 22:09
MyBookie.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.90%E -3.86%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -0.679%E -0.263%K -0.430%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 22:09
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.90%E -3.86%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 22:09
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.90%E -3.86%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 21:30
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.90%E -3.86%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 21:29
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.90%E -3.86%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 21:30
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.90%E -3.86%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 22:39
Dabble (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.90%E -3.86%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 22:39
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.90%E -3.86%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.61%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 22:29
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.90%E -3.86%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.38%E -3.52%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-13 20:15
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.74%E -5.16%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.83%E -0.719%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-13 22:39
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.74%E -5.16%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.61%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 22:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-05-13 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-05-13 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-05-13 22:40
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-05-13 20:30
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-05-13 20:59
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 61.87%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13%1.7%2026-05-13 22:40
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%2.1%2026-05-13 22:40
ProphetX1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%2.8%2026-05-13 22:40
BetOpenly1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%2.8%2026-05-13 21:29
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%4.0%2026-05-13 22:40