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Cincinnati Reds v St. Louis Cardinals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cincinnati Reds (Local)
Prediction 48.87%2.05fair odd
EV +1.16%
Edge +0.562%
Kelly +1.09%
Growth +0.013%
assuming max odds 2.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.92%48.70%48.93%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.891.961.952.0752.91%50.93%51.28%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
St. Louis Cardinals (Visit)
Prediction 51.13%1.96fair odd
EV -0.299%
Edge -0.153%
Kelly -0.314%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.30%51.07%53.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.851.851.9556.82%54.02%54.05%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 48.87%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visit): 51.13%. For Cincinnati Reds (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.05. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.07, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.16%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV +1.16%E +0.562%K +1.09%G +0.013% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -6.43%E -3.52%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-17 17:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -1.28%E -0.634%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -6.43%E -3.52%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-17 17:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -1.28%E -0.634%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.95%E -3.82%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-17 17:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -1.28%E -0.634%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.46%E -4.12%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 17:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -1.28%E -0.634%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.46%E -4.12%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 17:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -1.28%E -0.634%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.46%E -4.12%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 17:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -1.28%E -0.634%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.46%E -4.12%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 17:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.85%EV -1.77%E -0.880%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.15%EV -1.83%E -0.954%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-17 16:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -1.77%E -0.880%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -2.34%E -1.23%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-17 14:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.77%E -0.880%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.86%E -1.50%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-17 15:53 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.77%E -0.880%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.86%E -1.50%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-17 17:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -1.32%E -0.685%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-17 17:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.34%E -1.23%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-17 14:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.34%E -1.23%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-17 17:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.34%E -1.23%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-17 17:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.34%E -1.23%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-17 17:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.97%E -4.43%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 17:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.97%E -4.43%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 17:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.97%E -4.43%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 17:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -9.50%E -5.37%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-17 13:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.71%EV -2.75%E -1.38%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.29%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-17 17:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.72%E -1.89%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-17 17:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.72%E -1.89%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.43%E -3.52%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 16:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -3.72%E -1.89%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -8.99%E -5.05%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-17 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -3.72%E -1.89%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -9.50%E -5.37%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-17 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -3.72%E -1.89%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -9.50%E -5.37%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-17 17:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -4.21%E -2.15%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-17 17:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -0.299%E -0.153%K -0.314%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-17 17:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 16:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 16:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 16:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 17:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 17:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 17:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.90%E -2.63%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-17 16:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 14:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 17:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 17:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 17:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 17:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.43%E -3.52%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 17:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.43%E -3.52%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 17:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -10.01%E -5.69%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-17 17:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.19%E -2.68%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-17 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.19%E -2.68%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-17 17:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.19%E -2.68%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.90%E -2.63%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 17:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.19%E -2.68%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.90%E -2.63%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 16:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-17 16:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.17%E -3.21%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-17 17:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -6.17%E -3.21%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -5.92%E -3.22%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 16:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.66%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.66%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.66%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 14:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.66%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.43%E -3.52%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 15:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.66%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.43%E -3.52%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 17:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-17 17:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-17 17:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-17 17:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-17 17:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%EV -7.63%E -4.04%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -6.95%E -3.82%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-17 17:13 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00% | 0.0% | 2026-08-17 17:39 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-08-17 14:45 |
| Novig◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 1.1% | 2026-08-17 17:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51% | 2.1% | 2026-08-17 17:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 2.1% | 2026-08-17 17:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68% | 3.5% | 2026-08-17 17:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35% | 8.2% | 2026-08-17 17:40 |