Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds v St. Louis Cardinals

Início: 2026-08-17 17:42 UTC

Final: Cincinnati Reds 1–2 St. Louis Cardinals

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Previsão 48.87%2.05odd justa
EV +1.16%
Vantagem +0.562%
Kelly +1.09%
Crescimento +0.013%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.07

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.92%48.70%48.93%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.891.961.952.0752.91%50.93%51.28%48.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante)

Previsão 51.13%1.96odd justa
EV -0.299%
Vantagem -0.153%
Kelly -0.314%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%51.30%51.07%53.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.761.851.851.9556.82%54.02%54.05%51.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 48.87%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante): 51.13%. Para Cincinnati Reds (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.05. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.07, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.16%.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
theScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV +1.16%E +0.562%K +1.09%G +0.013%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -6.43%E -3.52%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-17 17:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -1.28%E -0.634%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -6.43%E -3.52%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-17 17:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -1.28%E -0.634%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.95%E -3.82%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-17 17:39
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -1.28%E -0.634%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.46%E -4.12%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-17 17:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -1.28%E -0.634%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.46%E -4.12%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-17 17:39
Bally Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -1.28%E -0.634%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.46%E -4.12%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-17 17:39
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -1.28%E -0.634%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.46%E -4.12%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-17 17:39
DraftKings🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.85%EV -1.77%E -0.880%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.15%EV -1.83%E -0.954%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-17 16:39
1xBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -1.77%E -0.880%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -2.34%E -1.23%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-17 14:45
Caesars🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.77%E -0.880%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.86%E -1.50%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-17 15:53
LowVig.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.77%E -0.880%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.86%E -1.50%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-17 17:39
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -1.32%E -0.685%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-17 17:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.34%E -1.23%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-17 14:50
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.34%E -1.23%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-17 17:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.34%E -1.23%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-17 17:39
GTbets🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.34%E -1.23%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-17 17:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.97%E -4.43%K -9.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 17:40
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.97%E -4.43%K -9.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 17:40
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.97%E -4.43%K -9.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 17:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -9.50%E -5.37%K -12.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-17 13:10
BetAnything🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.71%EV -2.75%E -1.38%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.29%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-17 17:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.72%E -1.89%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-17 17:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.72%E -1.89%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.43%E -3.52%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 16:44
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -3.72%E -1.89%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -8.99%E -5.05%K -11.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-17 17:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -3.72%E -1.89%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -9.50%E -5.37%K -12.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-17 17:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -3.72%E -1.89%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -9.50%E -5.37%K -12.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-17 17:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -4.21%E -2.15%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-17 17:09
Pinnacle🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -0.299%E -0.153%K -0.314%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-17 17:15
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-17 16:30
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-17 16:14
Bet Right🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-17 16:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-17 17:14
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-17 17:39
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-17 17:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.90%E -2.63%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 16:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 14:45
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 17:39
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 17:39
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 17:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 17:10
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.43%E -3.52%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 17:39
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.43%E -3.52%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 17:34
BetRivers🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -10.01%E -5.69%K -13.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-17 17:40
Neds🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.19%E -2.68%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.19%E -2.68%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 17:10
SportsBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.19%E -2.68%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.90%E -2.63%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 17:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.19%E -2.68%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.90%E -2.63%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 16:40
Bovada🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-17 16:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.17%E -3.21%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-17 17:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -6.17%E -3.21%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -5.92%E -3.22%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-17 16:40
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.66%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-17 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.66%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-17 14:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.66%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-17 14:55
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.66%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.43%E -3.52%K -7.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 15:14
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.66%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.43%E -3.52%K -7.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 17:09
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 17:39
ReBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 17:39
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 17:39
LeoVegas🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 17:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%EV -7.63%E -4.04%K -8.58%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -6.95%E -3.82%K -8.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-17 17:13
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%0.0%2026-08-17 17:39
Polymarket◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-08-17 14:45
Novig◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-08-17 17:40
ProphetX◎1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%2.1%2026-08-17 17:40
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-08-17 17:40
Matchbook◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%3.5%2026-08-17 17:40
Smarkets◎1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%8.2%2026-08-17 17:40