La scuola delle quote

Cincinnati Reds v New York Mets

Inizio: 2026-06-17 16:41 UTC

Finale: Cincinnati Reds 1–9 New York Mets

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Cincinnati Reds (Casa)

Previsione 44.62%2.24quota equa
EV +0.397%
Vantaggio +0.177%
Kelly +0.318%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.86%44.54%44.70%45.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.132.142.2550.00%46.93%46.73%44.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

New York Mets (Trasferta)

Previsione 55.38%1.81quota equa
EV -1.98%
Vantaggio -1.12%
Kelly -2.57%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.77

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.23%55.46%55.30%57.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.651.721.721.7760.61%58.20%58.14%56.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
GTbets2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +0.397%E +0.177%K +0.318%G +0.001%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.64%E -2.09%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-17 16:39
Pinnacle2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -0.941%E -0.424%K -0.772%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.53%E -1.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-17 16:39
Everygame2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -0.941%E -0.424%K -0.772%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.53%E -1.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-17 16:39
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -0.941%E -0.424%K -0.772%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.64%E -2.09%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-17 16:40
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -0.941%E -0.424%K -0.772%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.64%E -2.09%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-17 16:40
BetAnything2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.39%E -0.628%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.09%E -1.76%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-17 16:30
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.83%E -0.834%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.30%E -3.10%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-17 16:30
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.83%E -0.834%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.30%E -3.10%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-17 16:30
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.83%E -0.834%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.62%E -5.23%K -13.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 16:30
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -2.28%E -1.04%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -1.98%E -1.12%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-17 16:20
BetUS2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.73%E -1.25%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.98%E -1.12%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-17 16:40
MyBookie.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.73%E -1.25%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.75%E -2.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 16:39
Caesars2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.73%E -1.25%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.30%E -3.10%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-17 16:29
Bovada2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.17%E -1.46%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.30%E -3.10%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 16:40
FanDuel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.62%E -1.68%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.64%E -2.09%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-17 16:30
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.09%E -1.76%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-17 13:50
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.64%E -2.09%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 06:40
ReBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.64%E -2.09%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.19%E -2.42%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 16:40
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.19%E -2.42%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 16:40
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.75%E -2.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.75%E -2.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 16:40
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.30%E -3.10%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 16:30
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.30%E -3.10%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 16:30
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.30%E -3.10%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 16:30
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.30%E -3.10%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 16:30
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.30%E -3.10%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 16:40
Dabble (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.86%E -3.44%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 16:39
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.41%E -3.79%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-17 14:50
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.52%E -4.50%K -11.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 10:10
DraftKings2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.51%E -2.11%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.19%E -2.42%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-17 16:40
Bet Right2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.51%E -2.11%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.75%E -2.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-17 16:30
NordicBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.51%E -2.11%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.30%E -3.10%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 16:40
Betsson2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.51%E -2.11%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.30%E -3.10%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 16:40
SportsBet2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.96%E -2.33%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.75%E -2.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 16:30
Unibet (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.40%E -2.55%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.09%E -1.76%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 16:40
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.40%E -2.55%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.64%E -2.09%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 16:39
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.40%E -2.55%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.19%E -2.42%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 05:20
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.40%E -2.55%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.75%E -2.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 16:00
Marathon Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.40%E -2.55%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.75%E -2.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.09%E -1.76%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 05:10
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.19%E -2.42%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 22:30
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.19%E -2.42%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 16:40
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.75%E -2.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 16:40
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.75%E -2.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 16:40
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.75%E -2.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 16:40
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.75%E -2.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 16:40
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.75%E -2.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 16:40
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.75%E -2.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 16:40
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.75%E -2.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 16:40
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.30%E -3.10%K -7.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 16:39
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.30%E -3.10%K -7.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 16:40
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.86%E -3.44%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 16:40
Grosvenor2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -7.63%E -3.69%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -5.30%E -3.10%K -7.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-17 16:40
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -7.63%E -3.69%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -5.30%E -3.10%K -7.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-17 16:40
LiveScore Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -8.08%E -3.92%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -5.86%E -3.44%K -8.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 16:40
Virgin Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -8.08%E -3.92%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -5.86%E -3.44%K -8.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 16:40
Bally Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -8.08%E -3.92%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -5.86%E -3.44%K -8.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 16:40
Betclic (FR)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -8.08%E -3.92%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -6.96%E -4.14%K -10.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-17 16:40
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.53%E -4.16%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.19%E -2.42%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-17 14:20
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -8.53%E -4.16%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -6.96%E -4.14%K -10.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 16:40
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -8.97%E -4.40%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -6.96%E -4.14%K -10.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-17 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.26%EV -9.87%E -4.88%K -9.67%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -7.52%E -4.50%K -11.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-17 16:40
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -10.76%E -5.38%K -10.76%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -8.07%E -4.86%K -12.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-17 16:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%0.1%2026-06-17 16:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-06-17 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-06-17 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-06-17 16:40
ProphetX2.25I 44.44%NM 44.17%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.83%0.6%2026-06-17 16:30
Novig2.23I 44.84%NM 44.53%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.47%0.7%2026-06-17 16:40
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-06-17 16:40
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-06-17 14:20
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-06-17 16:40
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96%2.8%2026-06-17 16:40