La escuela de los momios

Cincinnati Reds v New York Mets

Inicio: 2026-06-17 16:41 UTC

Final: Cincinnati Reds 1–9 New York Mets

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Predicción 44.62%2.24momio equitativo
EV +0.397%
Ventaja +0.177%
Kelly +0.318%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.86%44.54%44.70%45.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.132.142.2550.00%46.93%46.73%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

New York Mets (Visitante)

Predicción 55.38%1.81momio equitativo
EV -1.98%
Ventaja -1.12%
Kelly -2.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.23%55.46%55.30%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.721.721.7760.61%58.20%58.14%56.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +0.397%E +0.177%K +0.318%G +0.001%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.64%E -2.09%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-17 16:39
Pinnacle2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -0.941%E -0.424%K -0.772%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.53%E -1.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-17 16:39
Everygame2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -0.941%E -0.424%K -0.772%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.53%E -1.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-17 16:39
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -0.941%E -0.424%K -0.772%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.64%E -2.09%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-17 16:40
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -0.941%E -0.424%K -0.772%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.64%E -2.09%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-17 16:40
BetAnything2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.39%E -0.628%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.09%E -1.76%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-17 16:30
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.83%E -0.834%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.30%E -3.10%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-17 16:30
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.83%E -0.834%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.30%E -3.10%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-17 16:30
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.83%E -0.834%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.62%E -5.23%K -13.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 16:30
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -2.28%E -1.04%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -1.98%E -1.12%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-17 16:20
BetUS2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.73%E -1.25%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.98%E -1.12%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-17 16:40
MyBookie.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.73%E -1.25%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.75%E -2.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 16:39
Caesars2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.73%E -1.25%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.30%E -3.10%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-17 16:29
Bovada2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.17%E -1.46%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.30%E -3.10%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 16:40
FanDuel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.62%E -1.68%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.64%E -2.09%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-17 16:30
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.09%E -1.76%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-17 13:50
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.64%E -2.09%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 06:40
ReBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.64%E -2.09%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.19%E -2.42%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 16:40
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.19%E -2.42%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 16:40
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.75%E -2.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.75%E -2.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 16:40
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.30%E -3.10%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 16:30
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.30%E -3.10%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 16:30
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.30%E -3.10%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 16:30
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.30%E -3.10%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 16:30
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.30%E -3.10%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 16:40
Dabble (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.86%E -3.44%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 16:39
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.41%E -3.79%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-17 14:50
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.52%E -4.50%K -11.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 10:10
DraftKings2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.51%E -2.11%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.19%E -2.42%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-17 16:40
Bet Right2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.51%E -2.11%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.75%E -2.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-17 16:30
NordicBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.51%E -2.11%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.30%E -3.10%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 16:40
Betsson2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.51%E -2.11%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.30%E -3.10%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 16:40
SportsBet2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.96%E -2.33%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.75%E -2.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 16:30
Unibet (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.40%E -2.55%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.09%E -1.76%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 16:40
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.40%E -2.55%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.64%E -2.09%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 16:39
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.40%E -2.55%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.19%E -2.42%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 05:20
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.40%E -2.55%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.75%E -2.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 16:00
Marathon Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.40%E -2.55%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.75%E -2.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.09%E -1.76%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 05:10
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.19%E -2.42%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 22:30
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.19%E -2.42%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 16:40
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.75%E -2.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 16:40
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.75%E -2.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 16:40
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.75%E -2.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 16:40
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.75%E -2.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 16:40
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.75%E -2.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 16:40
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.75%E -2.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 16:40
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.75%E -2.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 16:40
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.30%E -3.10%K -7.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 16:39
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.30%E -3.10%K -7.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 16:40
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.86%E -3.44%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 16:40
Grosvenor2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -7.63%E -3.69%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -5.30%E -3.10%K -7.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-17 16:40
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -7.63%E -3.69%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -5.30%E -3.10%K -7.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-17 16:40
LiveScore Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -8.08%E -3.92%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -5.86%E -3.44%K -8.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 16:40
Virgin Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -8.08%E -3.92%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -5.86%E -3.44%K -8.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 16:40
Bally Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -8.08%E -3.92%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -5.86%E -3.44%K -8.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 16:40
Betclic (FR)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -8.08%E -3.92%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -6.96%E -4.14%K -10.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-17 16:40
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.53%E -4.16%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.19%E -2.42%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-17 14:20
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -8.53%E -4.16%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -6.96%E -4.14%K -10.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 16:40
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -8.97%E -4.40%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -6.96%E -4.14%K -10.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-17 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.26%EV -9.87%E -4.88%K -9.67%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -7.52%E -4.50%K -11.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-17 16:40
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -10.76%E -5.38%K -10.76%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -8.07%E -4.86%K -12.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-17 16:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%0.1%2026-06-17 16:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-06-17 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-06-17 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-06-17 16:40
ProphetX2.25I 44.44%NM 44.17%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.83%0.6%2026-06-17 16:30
Novig2.23I 44.84%NM 44.53%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.47%0.7%2026-06-17 16:40
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-06-17 16:40
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-06-17 14:20
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-06-17 16:40
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96%2.8%2026-06-17 16:40