L’École des cotes

Cincinnati Reds v New York Mets

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-17 16:41 UTC

Score final : Cincinnati Reds 1–9 New York Mets

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Prévision 44.62%2.24cote équitable
EV +0.397%
Avantage +0.177%
Kelly +0.318%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.86%44.54%44.70%45.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.132.142.2550.00%46.93%46.73%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

New York Mets (Visiteur)

Prévision 55.38%1.81cote équitable
EV -1.98%
Avantage -1.12%
Kelly -2.57%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.23%55.46%55.30%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.721.721.7760.61%58.20%58.14%56.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
GTbets2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +0.397%E +0.177%K +0.318%G +0.001%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.64%E -2.09%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-17 16:39
Pinnacle2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -0.941%E -0.424%K -0.772%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.53%E -1.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-17 16:39
Everygame2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -0.941%E -0.424%K -0.772%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.53%E -1.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-17 16:39
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -0.941%E -0.424%K -0.772%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.64%E -2.09%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-17 16:40
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -0.941%E -0.424%K -0.772%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.64%E -2.09%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-17 16:40
BetAnything2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.39%E -0.628%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.09%E -1.76%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-17 16:30
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.83%E -0.834%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.30%E -3.10%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-17 16:30
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.83%E -0.834%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.30%E -3.10%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-17 16:30
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.83%E -0.834%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.62%E -5.23%K -13.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 16:30
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -2.28%E -1.04%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -1.98%E -1.12%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-17 16:20
BetUS2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.73%E -1.25%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.98%E -1.12%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-17 16:40
MyBookie.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.73%E -1.25%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.75%E -2.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 16:39
Caesars2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.73%E -1.25%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.30%E -3.10%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-17 16:29
Bovada2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.17%E -1.46%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.30%E -3.10%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 16:40
FanDuel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.62%E -1.68%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.64%E -2.09%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-17 16:30
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.09%E -1.76%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-17 13:50
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.64%E -2.09%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 06:40
ReBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.64%E -2.09%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.19%E -2.42%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 16:40
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.19%E -2.42%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 16:40
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.75%E -2.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.75%E -2.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 16:40
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.30%E -3.10%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 16:30
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.30%E -3.10%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 16:30
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.30%E -3.10%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 16:30
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.30%E -3.10%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 16:30
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.30%E -3.10%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 16:40
Dabble (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.86%E -3.44%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 16:39
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.41%E -3.79%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-17 14:50
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.52%E -4.50%K -11.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 10:10
DraftKings2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.51%E -2.11%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.19%E -2.42%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-17 16:40
Bet Right2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.51%E -2.11%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.75%E -2.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-17 16:30
NordicBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.51%E -2.11%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.30%E -3.10%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 16:40
Betsson2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.51%E -2.11%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.30%E -3.10%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 16:40
SportsBet2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.96%E -2.33%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.75%E -2.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 16:30
Unibet (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.40%E -2.55%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.09%E -1.76%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 16:40
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.40%E -2.55%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.64%E -2.09%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 16:39
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.40%E -2.55%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.19%E -2.42%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 05:20
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.40%E -2.55%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.75%E -2.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 16:00
Marathon Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.40%E -2.55%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.75%E -2.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.09%E -1.76%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 05:10
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.19%E -2.42%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 22:30
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.19%E -2.42%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 16:40
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.75%E -2.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 16:40
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.75%E -2.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 16:40
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.75%E -2.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 16:40
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.75%E -2.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 16:40
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.75%E -2.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 16:40
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.75%E -2.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 16:40
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.75%E -2.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 16:40
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.30%E -3.10%K -7.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 16:39
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.30%E -3.10%K -7.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 16:40
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.30%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.86%E -3.44%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 16:40
Grosvenor2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -7.63%E -3.69%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -5.30%E -3.10%K -7.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-17 16:40
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -7.63%E -3.69%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -5.30%E -3.10%K -7.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-17 16:40
LiveScore Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -8.08%E -3.92%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -5.86%E -3.44%K -8.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 16:40
Virgin Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -8.08%E -3.92%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -5.86%E -3.44%K -8.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 16:40
Bally Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -8.08%E -3.92%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -5.86%E -3.44%K -8.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 16:40
Betclic (FR)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -8.08%E -3.92%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -6.96%E -4.14%K -10.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-17 16:40
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.53%E -4.16%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.19%E -2.42%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-17 14:20
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -8.53%E -4.16%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -6.96%E -4.14%K -10.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 16:40
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -8.97%E -4.40%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -6.96%E -4.14%K -10.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-17 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.26%EV -9.87%E -4.88%K -9.67%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -7.52%E -4.50%K -11.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-17 16:40
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -10.76%E -5.38%K -10.76%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -8.07%E -4.86%K -12.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-17 16:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%0.1%2026-06-17 16:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-06-17 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-06-17 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-06-17 16:40
ProphetX2.25I 44.44%NM 44.17%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.83%0.6%2026-06-17 16:30
Novig2.23I 44.84%NM 44.53%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.47%0.7%2026-06-17 16:40
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-06-17 16:40
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-06-17 14:20
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-06-17 16:40
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96%2.8%2026-06-17 16:40