语言:简体中文
Cincinnati Reds v Miami Marlins
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Cincinnati Reds (主队)
预测 52.13%1.92公平赔率
EV -0.952%
优势 -0.501%
Kelly -1.06%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.90
博彩公司预测分布
50.53%52.12%52.16%52.96%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.741.831.831.9057.47%54.64%54.64%52.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
Miami Marlins (客队)
预测 47.87%2.09公平赔率
EV -0.910%
优势 -0.440%
Kelly -0.850%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.07
博彩公司预测分布
47.04%47.88%47.84%49.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.912.002.002.0752.36%50.04%50.00%48.31%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Cincinnati Reds (主队)：52.13%；Miami Marlins (客队)：47.87%。 对于“Miami Marlins (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.09。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.07，期望值为-0.910%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (62 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -0.952%E -0.501%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -3.30%E -1.64%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-14 13:38 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%EV -1.99%E -1.06%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%EV -1.39%E -0.674%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-14 20:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -1.99%E -1.06%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -1.87%E -0.911%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-14 22:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -1.99%E -1.06%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -1.87%E -0.911%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-14 21:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.99%E -1.06%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.82%E -1.39%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-14 21:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.99%E -1.06%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.82%E -1.39%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-14 21:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.99%E -1.06%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.82%E -1.39%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-14 21:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.67%EV -1.99%E -1.06%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.33%EV -3.78%E -1.88%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-14 21:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.52%E -1.35%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.87%E -0.911%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-14 20:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.52%E -1.35%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.87%E -0.911%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-14 22:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.52%E -1.35%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.65%E -3.41%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 21:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -2.52%E -1.35%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.57%E -4.49%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 21:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.56%E -1.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -0.910%E -0.440%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-14 22:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.56%E -1.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-14 20:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.56%E -1.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-14 20:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.56%E -1.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-14 20:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.56%E -1.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-14 20:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -3.56%E -1.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -4.74%E -2.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-14 22:08 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.56%E -1.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.22%E -2.64%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 20:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.56%E -1.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.18%E -3.15%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 20:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.56%E -1.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.18%E -3.15%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 20:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.08%E -2.22%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.22%E -2.64%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 12:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.08%E -2.22%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.70%E -2.89%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 16:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.08%E -2.22%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.70%E -2.89%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 16:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -1.39%E -0.674%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-14 22:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -1.39%E -0.674%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-14 22:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-13 19:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 21:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 20:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.22%E -2.64%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 12:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.22%E -2.64%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 20:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.22%E -2.64%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 20:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.22%E -2.64%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 22:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.65%E -3.41%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 04:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -5.12%E -2.81%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.35%E -1.15%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-14 22:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -5.12%E -2.81%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.35%E -1.15%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-14 22:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.12%E -2.81%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 12:53 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.12%E -2.81%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 20:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.12%E -2.81%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -6.18%E -3.15%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 21:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.12%E -2.81%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -6.18%E -3.15%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 20:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.64%E -3.12%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.30%E -1.64%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 22:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.64%E -3.12%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.30%E -1.64%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 22:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.64%E -3.12%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.30%E -1.64%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 22:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.64%E -3.12%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.30%E -1.64%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 22:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.64%E -3.12%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.30%E -1.64%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 22:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.64%E -3.12%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.30%E -1.64%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 22:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.64%E -3.12%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 20:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.30%E -1.64%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 22:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 12:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 12:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 12:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 22:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 22:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.70%E -2.89%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 17:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.65%E -3.41%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 20:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.65%E -3.41%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 21:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.65%E -3.41%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 21:58 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%EV -6.69%E -3.74%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -8.09%E -4.21%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-14 21:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.21%E -4.05%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 22:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.21%E -4.05%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 22:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -7.21%E -4.05%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -5.22%E -2.64%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 22:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.72%EV -9.29%E -5.34%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.28%EV -7.13%E -3.68%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-14 22:09 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (10)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.87% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.13% | 0.1% | 2026-08-14 22:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.99% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 22:09 |
| Novig◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 21:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11% | 0.9% | 2026-08-14 22:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11% | 0.9% | 2026-08-14 22:09 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-08-14 10:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 1.2% | 2026-08-14 22:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 1.2% | 2026-08-14 22:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85% | 1.5% | 2026-08-14 22:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.9% | 2026-08-14 22:09 |