Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds v Miami Marlins

2026-08-14 22:11 UTC — MLB

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Previsão 51.35%1.95odd justa
EV -1.40%
Vantagem -0.731%
Kelly -1.52%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.92

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%51.39%51.39%52.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.771.851.851.9256.50%53.98%54.05%52.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Miami Marlins (Visitante)

Previsão 48.65%2.06odd justa
EV -2.71%
Vantagem -1.35%
Kelly -2.71%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.64%48.61%48.61%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.891.961.962.0052.91%51.04%51.02%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 51.35%; Miami Marlins (Visitante): 48.65%. Para Cincinnati Reds (Local), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 1.95. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 1.92, com valor esperado de -1.40%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -1.40%E -0.731%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -2.71%E -1.35%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-14 01:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.40%E -0.731%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -3.19%E -1.60%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-13 19:09
GTbets🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.40%E -0.731%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -3.19%E -1.60%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-13 19:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.40%E -0.731%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -3.19%E -1.60%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-13 19:09
BetUS🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.40%E -0.731%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -3.19%E -1.60%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-13 20:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.92%E -1.00%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.71%E -1.35%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-13 20:29
Pinnacle🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.92%E -1.00%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.71%E -1.35%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-14 01:45
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.43%E -1.28%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -5.14%E -2.63%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-13 23:44
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.43%E -1.28%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.57%E -3.98%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 19:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -3.97%E -2.12%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.68%E -1.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-13 19:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.97%E -2.12%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.14%E -2.63%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 21:44
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.97%E -2.12%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.14%E -2.63%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 19:19
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.97%E -2.12%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.14%E -2.63%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 19:44
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.97%E -2.12%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.14%E -2.63%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 01:09
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.97%E -2.12%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.14%E -2.63%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 22:14
BetAnything🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.97%E -2.12%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.14%E -2.63%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 02:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.97%E -2.12%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.62%E -2.90%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 19:44
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.97%E -2.12%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.62%E -2.90%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 19:44
Bet Right🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.48%E -2.41%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.65%E -2.37%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 23:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.48%E -2.41%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.14%E -2.63%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 23:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.48%E -2.41%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.62%E -2.90%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 01:44
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.00%E -2.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.71%E -1.35%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-13 22:29
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.00%E -2.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.71%E -1.35%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-13 21:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.00%E -2.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.71%E -1.35%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-13 21:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.00%E -2.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.71%E -1.35%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-13 21:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.00%E -2.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.71%E -1.35%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-13 21:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.00%E -2.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.16%E -2.11%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 01:49
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.00%E -2.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.16%E -2.11%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 01:49
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.00%E -2.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.65%E -2.37%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 21:14
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.00%E -2.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.14%E -2.63%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 01:13
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.00%E -2.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.14%E -2.63%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 01:15
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.00%E -2.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.14%E -2.63%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 23:49
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.00%E -2.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.14%E -2.63%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 19:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.00%E -2.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.14%E -2.63%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 19:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.00%E -2.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.08%E -3.71%K -7.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-13 20:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.00%E -2.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.08%E -3.71%K -7.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-13 20:54
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.00%E -2.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.08%E -3.71%K -7.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-13 20:54
SportsBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.51%E -3.00%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.65%E -2.37%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 22:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.51%E -3.00%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.65%E -2.37%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 01:49
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.71%E -1.35%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-13 19:19
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.16%E -2.11%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 21:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.16%E -2.11%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 21:04
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.16%E -2.11%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 21:04
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.16%E -2.11%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 21:04
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.16%E -2.11%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 21:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.16%E -2.11%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 21:04
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.16%E -2.11%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 21:10
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.14%E -2.63%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-13 22:29
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.14%E -2.63%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-13 19:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.14%E -2.63%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 01:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.62%E -2.90%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 01:48
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.11%E -3.17%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-13 23:48
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.11%E -3.17%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-13 23:49
Dabble (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.54%E -3.59%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.71%E -1.35%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 02:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -7.05%E -3.90%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -4.65%E -2.37%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-13 21:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -7.05%E -3.90%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -4.65%E -2.37%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-13 21:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -8.59%E -4.83%K -11.02%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.37%EV -7.57%E -3.98%K -8.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-14 01:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.50%EV -8.59%E -4.83%K -11.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.50%EV -8.06%E -4.26%K -9.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-14 01:49
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.03%EV -9.11%E -5.14%K -11.83%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.97%EV -6.60%E -3.44%K -7.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-13 21:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 51.26%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.74%1.1%2026-08-14 02:04
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-08-13 20:44
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-08-14 01:39
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-08-14 01:10
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%8.1%2026-08-14 01:00
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%8.7%2026-08-14 02:50

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