Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cincinnati Reds v Los Angeles Angels

Kickoff: 2026-04-11 20:11 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Prediction 53.70%1.86fair odd
EV -1.19%
Edge -0.648%
Kelly -1.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.59%53.64%53.62%55.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.771.761.8457.80%56.53%56.82%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Angels (Visit)

Prediction 46.30%2.16fair odd
EV +0.471%
Edge +0.217%
Kelly +0.402%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.73%46.36%46.38%48.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.082.102.1751.28%48.12%47.62%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 53.70%; Los Angeles Angels (Visit): 46.30%. For Los Angeles Angels (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.16. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.17, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.471%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -4.41%E -2.48%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV +0.471%E +0.217%K +0.402%G +0.002%2.3%2026-04-11 13:45
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.56%E -3.77%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.455%E -0.212%K -0.396%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 20:00
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -0.918%E -0.429%K -0.806%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-11 20:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%EV -4.95%E -2.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%EV -0.918%E -0.429%K -0.806%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-11 20:00
GTbets🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.80%E -1.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.38%E -0.649%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-11 20:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -2.80%E -1.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -1.84%E -0.870%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-11 20:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.49%E -3.12%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -1.84%E -0.870%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 20:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.49%E -3.12%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -1.84%E -0.870%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 20:00
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -1.73%E -0.945%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -2.31%E -1.09%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-11 20:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.27%E -1.24%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.31%E -1.09%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-11 20:10
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.95%E -2.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 16:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.95%E -2.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 20:00
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 20:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 20:00
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 20:00
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 20:00
Grosvenor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 20:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 20:00
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 20:00
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 20:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 20:00
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 20:00
Bally Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 20:00
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 20:05
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.56%E -3.77%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 19:59
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.56%E -3.77%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 20:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.56%E -3.77%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 20:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.56%E -3.77%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 20:00
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.56%E -3.77%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 20:00
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.10%E -4.10%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 22:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.10%E -4.10%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 22:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.10%E -4.10%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 22:10
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.10%E -4.10%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 01:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -4.41%E -2.48%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.23%E -1.55%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 20:04
Bet Right🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.49%E -3.12%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.70%E -1.78%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 20:04
Coolbet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.49%E -3.12%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.70%E -1.78%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 20:00
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.70%E -1.78%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 19:20
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.49%E -3.12%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.16%E -2.01%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 19:19
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.49%E -3.12%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.16%E -2.01%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 19:20
FanDuel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -2.80%E -1.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -4.62%E -2.24%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-11 20:00
Bovada🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -3.88%E -2.17%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -4.62%E -2.24%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 20:02
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 20:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 20:00
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 20:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.41%E -2.48%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 20:00
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.95%E -2.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 20:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.49%E -3.12%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 20:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 20:04
DraftKings🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.88%E -2.17%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.55%E -2.72%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 20:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.41%E -2.48%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.55%E -2.72%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 20:09
SportsBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -3.88%E -2.17%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -6.01%E -2.96%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 20:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -1.19%E -0.648%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -7.40%E -3.70%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 20:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.95%E -2.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.40%E -3.70%K -7.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 20:09
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.10%E -4.10%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.40%E -3.70%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 20:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -2.27%E -1.24%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -8.33%E -4.21%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 20:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -9.25%E -4.72%K -9.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 20:10
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.73%E -0.945%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.72%E -4.98%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 20:09
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.72%E -4.98%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 19:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%0.1%2026-04-11 20:09
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.98%2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02%0.1%2026-04-11 20:10
Novig1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-04-11 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-04-11 20:10
ProphetX1.84I 54.35%NM 53.88%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.12%0.9%2026-04-11 20:05
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-04-11 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-04-11 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.5%2026-04-11 20:10
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.8%2026-04-11 20:05
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 52.82%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18%2.9%2026-04-11 20:10