La escuela de los momios

Cincinnati Reds v Los Angeles Angels

Inicio: 2026-04-11 20:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Predicción 53.70%1.86momio equitativo
EV -1.19%
Ventaja -0.648%
Kelly -1.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.84

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.59%53.64%53.62%55.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.771.761.8457.80%56.53%56.82%54.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Los Angeles Angels (Visitante)

Predicción 46.30%2.16momio equitativo
EV +0.471%
Ventaja +0.217%
Kelly +0.402%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.17

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.73%46.36%46.38%48.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.082.102.1751.28%48.12%47.62%46.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -4.41%E -2.48%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV +0.471%E +0.217%K +0.402%G +0.002%2.3%2026-04-11 13:45
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.56%E -3.77%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.455%E -0.212%K -0.396%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 20:00
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -0.918%E -0.429%K -0.806%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-11 20:04
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%EV -4.95%E -2.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%EV -0.918%E -0.429%K -0.806%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-11 20:00
GTbets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.80%E -1.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.38%E -0.649%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-11 20:05
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -2.80%E -1.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -1.84%E -0.870%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-11 20:04
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.49%E -3.12%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -1.84%E -0.870%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 20:00
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.49%E -3.12%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -1.84%E -0.870%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 20:00
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -1.73%E -0.945%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -2.31%E -1.09%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-11 20:05
LowVig.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.27%E -1.24%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.31%E -1.09%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-11 20:10
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.95%E -2.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 16:54
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.95%E -2.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 20:00
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 20:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 20:00
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 20:00
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 20:00
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 20:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 20:00
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 20:00
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 20:00
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 20:00
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 20:00
Bally Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 20:00
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 20:05
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.56%E -3.77%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 19:59
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.56%E -3.77%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 20:00
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.56%E -3.77%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 20:00
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.56%E -3.77%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 20:00
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.56%E -3.77%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 20:00
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.10%E -4.10%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 22:10
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.10%E -4.10%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 22:10
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.10%E -4.10%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 22:10
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.10%E -4.10%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 01:05
MyBookie.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -4.41%E -2.48%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.23%E -1.55%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 20:04
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.49%E -3.12%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.70%E -1.78%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 20:04
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.49%E -3.12%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.70%E -1.78%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 20:00
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.70%E -1.78%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 19:20
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.49%E -3.12%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.16%E -2.01%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 19:19
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.49%E -3.12%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.16%E -2.01%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 19:20
FanDuel1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -2.80%E -1.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -4.62%E -2.24%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-11 20:00
Bovada1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -3.88%E -2.17%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -4.62%E -2.24%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 20:02
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 20:00
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 20:00
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 20:09
Dabble (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.41%E -2.48%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 20:00
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.95%E -2.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 20:00
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.49%E -3.12%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 20:04
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 20:04
DraftKings1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.88%E -2.17%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.55%E -2.72%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 20:00
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.41%E -2.48%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.55%E -2.72%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 20:09
SportsBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -3.88%E -2.17%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -6.01%E -2.96%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 20:00
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -1.19%E -0.648%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -7.40%E -3.70%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 20:10
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.95%E -2.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.40%E -3.70%K -7.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 20:09
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.10%E -4.10%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.40%E -3.70%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 20:09
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -2.27%E -1.24%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -8.33%E -4.21%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 20:09
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -9.25%E -4.72%K -9.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 20:10
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.73%E -0.945%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.72%E -4.98%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 20:09
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.72%E -4.98%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 19:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%0.1%2026-04-11 20:09
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.98%2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02%0.1%2026-04-11 20:10
Novig1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-04-11 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-04-11 20:10
ProphetX1.84I 54.35%NM 53.88%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.12%0.9%2026-04-11 20:05
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-04-11 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-04-11 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.5%2026-04-11 20:10
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.8%2026-04-11 20:05
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 52.82%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18%2.9%2026-04-11 20:10