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Cincinnati Reds v Kansas City Royals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cincinnati Reds (Local)
Prediction 53.77%1.86fair odd
EV -1.07%
Edge -0.582%
Kelly -1.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.84
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%53.77%53.75%54.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.771.761.8458.82%56.61%56.82%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kansas City Royals (Visit)
Prediction 46.23%2.16fair odd
EV -0.135%
Edge -0.063%
Kelly -0.117%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.31%46.23%46.25%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.062.052.1650.76%48.51%48.78%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 53.77%; Kansas City Royals (Visit): 46.23%. For Kansas City Royals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.163. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.160, with an expected value of -0.135%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -1.07%E -0.582%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -3.37%E -1.61%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-06-01 22:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.15%E -1.18%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.98%E -0.936%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-01 23:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.15%E -1.18%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.45%E -1.16%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-01 23:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.15%E -1.18%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.45%E -1.16%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-01 23:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.29%EV -2.68%E -1.48%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.71%EV -0.598%E -0.278%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-06-01 23:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.68%E -1.48%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.52%E -0.715%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-06-01 22:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -0.135%E -0.063%K -0.117%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-06-01 22:57 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.598%E -0.278%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-01 22:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -4.30%E -2.08%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-01 23:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.22%E -2.55%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-01 23:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.22%E -2.55%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-01 23:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.22%E -2.55%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-01 23:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.22%E -2.55%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-01 23:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.22%E -2.55%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-01 23:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.53%E -3.77%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-01 20:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.76%E -2.10%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.06%E -0.495%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-01 22:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.76%E -2.10%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.83%E -1.84%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-01 20:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -4.30%E -2.41%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.37%E -1.61%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-01 20:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.30%E -2.41%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.22%E -2.55%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-01 20:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.30%E -2.41%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.22%E -2.55%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-01 23:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.30%E -2.41%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.22%E -2.55%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-01 23:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.30%E -2.41%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.22%E -2.55%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-01 23:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.30%E -2.41%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.15%E -3.03%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-01 23:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.30%E -2.41%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.15%E -3.03%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-01 23:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.83%E -2.73%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.91%E -1.39%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-01 19:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.83%E -2.73%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.91%E -1.39%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-01 19:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.83%E -2.73%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.91%E -1.39%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-01 20:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.83%E -2.73%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.76%E -2.31%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-01 23:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.83%E -2.73%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.22%E -2.55%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 22:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.37%E -3.05%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.91%E -1.39%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-01 23:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -5.37%E -3.05%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -3.37%E -1.61%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-01 20:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.37%E -3.05%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.22%E -2.55%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-01 20:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.37%E -3.05%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.22%E -2.55%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-01 20:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.37%E -3.05%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.53%E -3.77%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-01 23:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.91%E -3.38%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.83%E -1.84%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-01 23:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.91%E -3.38%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -4.76%E -2.31%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-01 23:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.91%E -3.38%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -4.76%E -2.31%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-01 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.91%E -3.38%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -4.76%E -2.31%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-01 23:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.91%E -3.38%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -4.76%E -2.31%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-01 23:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.91%E -3.38%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -4.76%E -2.31%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-01 23:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.91%E -3.38%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -4.76%E -2.31%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-01 23:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.91%E -3.38%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -4.76%E -2.31%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-01 23:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.91%E -3.38%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.22%E -2.55%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-01 23:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.91%E -3.38%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.22%E -2.55%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-01 23:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.91%E -3.38%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.22%E -2.55%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-01 23:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.91%E -3.38%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.22%E -2.55%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-01 23:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.91%E -3.38%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.53%E -3.77%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-01 20:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.91%E -3.38%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.53%E -3.77%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-01 22:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.45%E -3.70%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.91%E -1.39%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-01 22:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.45%E -3.70%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.91%E -1.39%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-01 19:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -6.45%E -3.70%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -3.37%E -1.61%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 22:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.45%E -3.70%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.22%E -2.55%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-01 23:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -6.45%E -3.70%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -5.68%E -2.79%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-01 23:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -6.98%E -4.04%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -6.61%E -3.27%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-01 23:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -6.98%E -4.04%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -6.61%E -3.27%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-01 23:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -6.98%E -4.04%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -6.61%E -3.27%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-01 23:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -6.98%E -4.04%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -6.61%E -3.27%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-01 23:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.52%E -4.37%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -6.61%E -3.27%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-01 23:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.06%E -4.71%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.53%E -3.77%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-01 23:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.60%E -5.06%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.53%E -3.77%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-01 23:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.68%EV -8.60%E -5.06%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -8.92%E -4.53%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-01 23:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 0.6% | 2026-06-01 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 0.6% | 2026-06-01 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 0.6% | 2026-06-01 23:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-06-01 23:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10% | 1.4% | 2026-06-01 23:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10% | 1.4% | 2026-06-01 23:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20% | 1.9% | 2026-06-01 23:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82% | 2.0% | 2026-06-01 23:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94% | 2.2% | 2026-06-01 23:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.33% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67% | 14.3% | 2026-06-01 22:59 |