La escuela de los momios

Cincinnati Reds v Kansas City Royals

Inicio: 2026-06-01 23:11 UTC

Final: Cincinnati Reds 2–9 Kansas City Royals

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Predicción 53.77%1.86momio equitativo
EV -1.07%
Ventaja -0.582%
Kelly -1.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.84

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.63%53.77%53.75%54.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.771.761.8458.82%56.61%56.82%54.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Kansas City Royals (Visitante)

Predicción 46.23%2.16momio equitativo
EV -0.135%
Ventaja -0.063%
Kelly -0.117%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.31%46.23%46.25%47.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.972.062.052.1650.76%48.51%48.78%46.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
theScore Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -1.07%E -0.582%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -3.37%E -1.61%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-01 22:59
GTbets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.15%E -1.18%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.98%E -0.936%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-01 23:09
BetOnline.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.15%E -1.18%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.45%E -1.16%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-01 23:10
LowVig.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.15%E -1.18%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.45%E -1.16%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-01 23:10
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 54.29%EV -2.68%E -1.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.71%EV -0.598%E -0.278%K -0.520%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-01 23:09
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.68%E -1.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.52%E -0.715%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-01 22:30
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -0.135%E -0.063%K -0.117%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-01 22:57
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.598%E -0.278%K -0.520%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-01 22:20
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -4.30%E -2.08%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-01 23:10
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.22%E -2.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-01 23:10
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.22%E -2.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-01 23:09
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.22%E -2.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-01 23:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.22%E -2.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-01 23:10
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.22%E -2.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-01 23:09
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.53%E -3.77%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-01 20:40
BetAnything1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.76%E -2.10%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.06%E -0.495%K -0.930%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-01 22:30
FanDuel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.76%E -2.10%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.83%E -1.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-01 20:00
MyBookie.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -4.30%E -2.41%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.37%E -1.61%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-01 20:09
SportsBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.30%E -2.41%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.22%E -2.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-01 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.30%E -2.41%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.22%E -2.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-01 23:09
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.30%E -2.41%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.22%E -2.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-01 23:09
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.30%E -2.41%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.22%E -2.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-01 23:09
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.30%E -2.41%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.15%E -3.03%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-01 23:09
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.30%E -2.41%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.15%E -3.03%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-01 23:09
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.83%E -2.73%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.91%E -1.39%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 19:30
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.83%E -2.73%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.91%E -1.39%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 19:29
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.83%E -2.73%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.91%E -1.39%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 20:10
Bet Right1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.83%E -2.73%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.76%E -2.31%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-01 23:09
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.83%E -2.73%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.22%E -2.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 22:30
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.37%E -3.05%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.91%E -1.39%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-01 23:09
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -5.37%E -3.05%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -3.37%E -1.61%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-01 20:20
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.37%E -3.05%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.22%E -2.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-01 20:10
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.37%E -3.05%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.22%E -2.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-01 20:09
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.37%E -3.05%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.53%E -3.77%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-01 23:09
Dabble (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.91%E -3.38%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.83%E -1.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-01 23:09
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.91%E -3.38%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -4.76%E -2.31%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-01 23:09
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.91%E -3.38%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -4.76%E -2.31%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-01 23:10
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.91%E -3.38%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -4.76%E -2.31%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-01 23:09
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.91%E -3.38%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -4.76%E -2.31%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-01 23:09
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.91%E -3.38%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -4.76%E -2.31%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-01 23:09
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.91%E -3.38%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -4.76%E -2.31%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-01 23:10
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.91%E -3.38%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -4.76%E -2.31%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-01 23:10
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.91%E -3.38%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.22%E -2.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-01 23:09
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.91%E -3.38%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.22%E -2.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-01 23:09
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.91%E -3.38%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.22%E -2.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-01 23:09
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.91%E -3.38%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.22%E -2.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-01 23:09
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.91%E -3.38%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.53%E -3.77%K -7.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-01 20:49
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.91%E -3.38%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.53%E -3.77%K -7.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-01 22:59
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.45%E -3.70%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.91%E -1.39%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-01 22:50
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.45%E -3.70%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.91%E -1.39%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-01 19:29
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -6.45%E -3.70%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -3.37%E -1.61%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 22:59
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.45%E -3.70%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.22%E -2.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-01 23:09
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -6.45%E -3.70%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -5.68%E -2.79%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-01 23:10
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -6.98%E -4.04%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -6.61%E -3.27%K -6.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-01 23:09
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -6.98%E -4.04%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -6.61%E -3.27%K -6.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-01 23:09
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -6.98%E -4.04%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -6.61%E -3.27%K -6.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-01 23:09
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -6.98%E -4.04%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -6.61%E -3.27%K -6.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-01 23:10
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.52%E -4.37%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -6.61%E -3.27%K -6.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-01 23:10
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.06%E -4.71%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.53%E -3.77%K -7.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-01 23:09
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.60%E -5.06%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.53%E -3.77%K -7.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-01 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.68%EV -8.60%E -5.06%K -12.28%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -8.92%E -4.53%K -9.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-01 23:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-06-01 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-06-01 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-06-01 23:10
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-01 23:10
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.4%2026-06-01 23:10
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.4%2026-06-01 23:10
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-06-01 23:10
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%2.0%2026-06-01 23:10
Novig1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%2.2%2026-06-01 23:10
BetOpenly1.50I 66.67%NM 58.33%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%14.3%2026-06-01 22:59