Language:English
Cincinnati Reds v Houston Astros
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cincinnati Reds (Local)
Prediction 59.33%1.69fair odd
EV +1.45%
Edge +0.849%
Kelly +2.05%
Growth +0.030%
assuming max odds 1.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.41%59.31%59.32%60.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.631.621.7164.52%61.40%61.73%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Houston Astros (Visit)
Prediction 40.67%2.46fair odd
EV -1.17%
Edge -0.481%
Kelly -0.817%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.24%40.69%40.68%43.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.322.352.4345.45%43.12%42.55%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 59.33%; Houston Astros (Visit): 40.67%. For Cincinnati Reds (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.69. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.71, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.45%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV +1.45%E +0.849%K +2.05%G +0.030% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -9.30%E -4.17%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-09 19:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV +0.859%E +0.505%K +1.23%G +0.011% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -10.52%E -4.78%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 19:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV +0.859%E +0.505%K +1.23%G +0.011% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -10.52%E -4.78%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 19:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -0.328%E -0.195%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -10.52%E -4.78%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 19:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -0.328%E -0.195%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -10.52%E -4.78%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 19:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -0.328%E -0.195%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -10.52%E -4.78%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 19:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -0.328%E -0.195%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -10.52%E -4.78%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 19:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -0.328%E -0.195%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -10.52%E -4.78%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 19:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -0.328%E -0.195%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -10.52%E -4.78%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 19:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -0.328%E -0.195%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -10.52%E -4.78%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 19:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -0.328%E -0.195%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -10.52%E -4.78%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 19:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -0.328%E -0.195%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -10.52%E -4.78%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 19:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -0.328%E -0.195%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -10.52%E -4.78%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 19:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -0.328%E -0.195%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -10.52%E -4.78%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 19:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -0.328%E -0.195%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -10.52%E -4.78%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 19:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.51%E -0.912%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-09 19:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -2.11%E -1.28%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -1.58%E -0.651%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-09 20:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -2.11%E -1.28%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -1.98%E -0.822%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-09 17:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.11%E -1.28%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.39%E -0.995%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-09 20:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.11%E -1.28%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.39%E -0.995%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-09 20:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -2.70%E -1.65%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-09 18:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -3.29%E -2.02%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -1.17%E -0.481%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-09 19:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.29%E -2.02%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-09 14:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -3.29%E -2.02%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -5.24%E -2.25%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 19:47 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.29%E -2.02%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 17:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.89%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.02%E -1.70%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-09 19:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.89%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.02%E -1.70%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-09 17:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.89%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 18:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.89%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 17:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.89%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 20:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.89%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 16:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.89%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 18:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.89%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 14:44 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.89%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 19:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.89%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 17:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.39%E -0.995%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-09 17:13 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.39%E -0.995%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-09 15:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 17:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 14:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.24%E -2.25%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 19:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-09 20:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.39%E -0.995%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 19:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.39%E -0.995%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 19:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.39%E -0.995%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 17:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 17:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 17:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 17:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 19:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 17:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.83%E -2.06%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 17:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 19:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 17:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.67%E -3.56%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.39%E -0.995%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 19:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.67%E -3.56%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 17:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.39%E -0.995%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 19:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.39%E -0.995%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 20:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -3.61%E -1.52%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 17:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -3.61%E -1.52%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 17:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 09:48 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.85%E -4.37%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 17:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.04%E -5.19%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.39%E -0.995%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 07:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.62% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.38% | -0.2% | 2026-05-09 20:04 |
| Novig◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-05-09 20:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 19:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 19:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 19:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-05-09 17:49 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83% | 1.2% | 2026-05-09 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83% | 1.2% | 2026-05-09 20:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.9% | 2026-05-09 20:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74% | 2.3% | 2026-05-09 19:59 |