La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Cincinnati Reds v Houston Astros
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cincinnati Reds (Local)
Predicción 59.33%1.69momio equitativo
EV +1.45%
Ventaja +0.849%
Kelly +2.05%
Crecimiento +0.030%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.41%59.31%59.32%60.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.631.621.7164.52%61.40%61.73%58.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Houston Astros (Visitante)
Predicción 40.67%2.46momio equitativo
EV -1.17%
Ventaja -0.481%
Kelly -0.817%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.24%40.69%40.68%43.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.322.352.4345.45%43.12%42.55%41.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV +1.45%E +0.849%K +2.05%G +0.030% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -9.30%E -4.17%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-09 19:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV +0.859%E +0.505%K +1.23%G +0.011% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -10.52%E -4.78%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 19:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV +0.859%E +0.505%K +1.23%G +0.011% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -10.52%E -4.78%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 19:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -0.328%E -0.195%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -10.52%E -4.78%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 19:59 |
| Unibet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -0.328%E -0.195%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -10.52%E -4.78%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 19:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -0.328%E -0.195%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -10.52%E -4.78%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 19:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -0.328%E -0.195%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -10.52%E -4.78%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 19:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -0.328%E -0.195%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -10.52%E -4.78%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 19:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -0.328%E -0.195%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -10.52%E -4.78%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 19:59 |
| Casumo | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -0.328%E -0.195%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -10.52%E -4.78%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 19:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -0.328%E -0.195%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -10.52%E -4.78%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 19:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -0.328%E -0.195%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -10.52%E -4.78%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 19:59 |
| Bally Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -0.328%E -0.195%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -10.52%E -4.78%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 19:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -0.328%E -0.195%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -10.52%E -4.78%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 19:59 |
| betPARX | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -0.328%E -0.195%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -10.52%E -4.78%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 19:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.51%E -0.912%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-09 19:54 |
| GTbets | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -2.11%E -1.28%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -1.58%E -0.651%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-09 20:04 |
| 1xBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -2.11%E -1.28%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -1.98%E -0.822%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-09 17:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.11%E -1.28%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.39%E -0.995%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-09 20:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.11%E -1.28%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.39%E -0.995%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-09 20:04 |
| BetUS | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -2.70%E -1.65%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-09 18:49 |
| Everygame | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -3.29%E -2.02%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -1.17%E -0.481%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-09 19:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.29%E -2.02%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-09 14:24 |
| Bovada | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -3.29%E -2.02%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -5.24%E -2.25%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 19:47 |
| Bet Right | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.29%E -2.02%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 17:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.89%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.02%E -1.70%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-09 19:54 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.89%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.02%E -1.70%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-09 17:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.89%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 18:14 |
| ReBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.89%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 17:49 |
| Caesars | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.89%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 20:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.89%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 16:44 |
| Fliff | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.89%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 18:25 |
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.89%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 14:44 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.89%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 19:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.89%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 17:49 |
| Bet Victor | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.39%E -0.995%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-09 17:13 |
| theScore Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.39%E -0.995%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-09 15:09 |
| Fanatics | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 17:39 |
| DraftKings | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 14:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.24%E -2.25%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 19:54 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-09 20:09 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.39%E -0.995%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 19:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.39%E -0.995%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 19:59 |
| TAB | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.39%E -0.995%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 17:39 |
| 888sport | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 17:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 17:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 17:49 |
| PlayUp | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 19:49 |
| Coolbet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 17:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.83%E -2.06%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 17:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 19:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 17:49 |
| BetMGM | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.67%E -3.56%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.39%E -0.995%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 19:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.67%E -3.56%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 17:54 |
| Neds | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.39%E -0.995%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 19:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.39%E -0.995%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 20:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -3.61%E -1.52%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 17:44 |
| Betsson | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -3.61%E -1.52%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 17:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 09:48 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.85%E -4.37%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 17:44 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.04%E -5.19%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.39%E -0.995%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 07:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.62% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.38% | -0.2% | 2026-05-09 20:04 |
| Novig | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-05-09 20:09 |
| ProphetX | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 19:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 19:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 19:54 |
| Kalshi | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-05-09 17:49 |
| Matchbook | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83% | 1.2% | 2026-05-09 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83% | 1.2% | 2026-05-09 20:10 |
| Polymarket | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.9% | 2026-05-09 20:09 |
| Smarkets | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74% | 2.3% | 2026-05-09 19:59 |