Language:English
Cincinnati Reds v Houston Astros
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cincinnati Reds (Local)
Prediction 50.88%1.97fair odd
EV +0.234%
Edge +0.119%
Kelly +0.241%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 1.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.74%50.98%50.79%53.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.871.871.9756.50%53.37%53.48%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Houston Astros (Visit)
Prediction 49.12%2.04fair odd
EV +0.696%
Edge +0.339%
Kelly +0.662%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.95%49.02%49.21%50.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.951.952.0553.48%51.32%51.28%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 50.88%; Houston Astros (Visit): 49.12%. For Houston Astros (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.04. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.696%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV +0.696%E +0.339%K +0.662%G +0.005% | 2.0% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.85%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -1.76%E -0.880%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 16:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.85%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -1.76%E -0.880%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 15:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.85%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -1.76%E -0.880%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 15:53 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.76%E -0.880%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-10 15:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.76%E -0.880%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-10 15:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.76%E -0.880%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 15:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.76%E -0.880%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 03:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -9.94%E -5.62%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -1.76%E -0.880%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.31%E -1.20%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.25%E -1.13%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-10 15:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -5.36%E -2.88%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -2.25%E -1.13%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-10 15:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -7.40%E -4.06%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -2.25%E -1.13%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 14:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.74%E -1.39%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 15:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.74%E -1.39%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 15:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.74%E -1.39%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 15:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.80%E -0.933%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.23%E -1.64%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-10 17:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.80%E -0.933%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.23%E -1.64%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-10 17:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.80%E -0.933%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.23%E -1.64%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-10 17:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.36%E -2.88%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 15:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV +0.234%E +0.119%K +0.241%G +0.001% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -0.784%E -0.402%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-10 17:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 15:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 15:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 16:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 15:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-10 17:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-10 17:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 15:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 17:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.85%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.85%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.85%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.85%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:44 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 17:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.84%E -2.03%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.85%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 17:38 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 15:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 15:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 15:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.33%E -1.75%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.67%E -3.51%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 17:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -6.67%E -3.51%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 17:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -5.36%E -2.88%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -7.65%E -4.07%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 17:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.85%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.15%E -4.36%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 15:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 0.5% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |
| Novig◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-05-10 17:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 0.8% | 2026-05-10 17:39 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.63% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 49.37% | 0.8% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-05-10 17:29 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-05-10 15:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-05-10 17:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-05-10 17:39 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.52% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.48% | 1.6% | 2026-05-10 17:39 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23% | 2.1% | 2026-05-10 17:39 |