La escuela de los momios

Cincinnati Reds v Houston Astros

Inicio: 2026-05-10 17:45 UTC

Final: Cincinnati Reds 5–0 Houston Astros

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Predicción 50.88%1.97momio equitativo
EV +0.234%
Ventaja +0.119%
Kelly +0.241%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.97

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.74%50.98%50.79%53.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.771.871.871.9756.50%53.37%53.48%50.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Houston Astros (Visitante)

Predicción 49.12%2.04momio equitativo
EV +0.696%
Ventaja +0.339%
Kelly +0.662%
Crecimiento +0.005%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.95%49.02%49.21%50.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.871.951.952.0553.48%51.32%51.28%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV +0.696%E +0.339%K +0.662%G +0.005%2.0%2026-05-10 14:24
TAB1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.85%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -1.76%E -0.880%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-10 16:09
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.85%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -1.76%E -0.880%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-10 15:54
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.85%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -1.76%E -0.880%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-10 15:53
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.76%E -0.880%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 15:04
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.76%E -0.880%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 15:04
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.76%E -0.880%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 15:49
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.76%E -0.880%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 03:09
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -9.94%E -5.62%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -1.76%E -0.880%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 13:04
Everygame1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.31%E -1.20%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.25%E -1.13%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-10 15:04
MyBookie.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -5.36%E -2.88%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -2.25%E -1.13%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-10 15:54
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -7.40%E -4.06%K -9.02%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -2.25%E -1.13%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 14:19
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.74%E -1.39%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 15:05
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.74%E -1.39%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 15:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.74%E -1.39%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 15:04
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.80%E -0.933%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.23%E -1.64%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-10 17:29
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.80%E -0.933%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.23%E -1.64%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-10 17:29
GTbets1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.80%E -0.933%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.23%E -1.64%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-10 17:29
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-10 15:34
Bet Right1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.36%E -2.88%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 17:34
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 17:34
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 15:09
Pinnacle1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV +0.234%E +0.119%K +0.241%G +0.001%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-10 17:34
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -0.784%E -0.402%K -0.825%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-10 17:39
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 15:19
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 15:09
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 16:15
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:24
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:24
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 17:34
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 15:04
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-10 17:39
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-10 17:39
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 15:34
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 15:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 15:34
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 15:34
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 15:34
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 15:44
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 15:34
Bally Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 15:34
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 15:34
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 15:34
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 17:39
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.85%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:34
BetRivers1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.85%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:34
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.85%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:34
TABtouch1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.85%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:44
Dabble (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 17:39
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 17:34
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 17:34
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 17:34
SportsBet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.84%E -2.03%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 17:34
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.85%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 17:38
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 15:09
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 15:09
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 15:09
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.33%E -1.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.67%E -3.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 17:29
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -6.67%E -3.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 17:39
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -5.36%E -2.88%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -7.65%E -4.07%K -8.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 17:39
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.85%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.15%E -4.36%K -9.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 15:14
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-05-10 17:34
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-05-10 17:39
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-05-10 17:39
ProphetX1.96I 51.02%NM 50.63%2.01I 49.75%NM 49.37%0.8%2026-05-10 17:34
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-05-10 17:29
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-05-10 15:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-05-10 17:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-05-10 17:39
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 51.52%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.48%1.6%2026-05-10 17:39
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%2.1%2026-05-10 17:39