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Cincinnati Reds v Chicago Cubs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cincinnati Reds (Local)
Prediction 47.90%2.09fair odd
EV -0.364%
Edge -0.175%
Kelly -0.337%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.34%48.05%47.78%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.981.982.0852.63%50.38%50.51%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chicago Cubs (Visit)
Prediction 52.10%1.92fair odd
EV +0.028%
Edge +0.015%
Kelly +0.031%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.95%52.22%53.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.841.851.9256.50%54.35%54.20%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV +0.028%E +0.015%K +0.031%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-10 22:25 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.51%E -4.45%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.493%E -0.258%K -0.541%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-09 18:05 |
| BetAnything | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.24%E -1.60%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.53%E -0.812%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -2.06%E -1.09%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-10 22:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -8.03%E -4.18%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -2.06%E -1.09%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-10 23:09 |
| Everygame | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.80%E -0.879%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.58%E -1.38%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.58%E -1.38%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-10 10:34 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.51%E -4.45%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -2.58%E -1.38%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-10 23:09 |
| Pinnacle | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%EV -0.364%E -0.175%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%EV -3.10%E -1.67%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-07-10 23:00 |
| GTbets | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.32%E -0.642%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -3.10%E -1.67%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-10 23:09 |
| BetUS | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.32%E -0.642%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -3.10%E -1.67%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-10 23:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -1.80%E -0.879%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -3.10%E -1.67%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-10 23:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -1.80%E -0.879%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -3.10%E -1.67%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-10 23:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -7.07%E -3.64%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -3.10%E -1.67%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-10 22:24 |
| TAB | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.15%E -2.60%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-10 22:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.63%E -2.86%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.63%E -2.86%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| Unibet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.11%E -3.12%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.11%E -3.12%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.11%E -3.12%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 22:54 |
| Casumo | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.11%E -3.12%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.11%E -3.12%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| betPARX | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.11%E -3.12%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| Bally Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.11%E -3.12%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.11%E -3.12%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 22:54 |
| Coolbet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.11%E -3.12%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-10 23:09 |
| TABtouch | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| BetRivers | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-10 22:54 |
| Bet Victor | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -8.99%E -4.73%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-10 23:02 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -3.24%E -1.60%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -4.14%E -2.25%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-10 23:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -3.72%E -1.85%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -4.14%E -2.25%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 23:04 |
| Bet Right | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.15%E -2.60%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.14%E -2.25%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 23:04 |
| Betsson | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.63%E -2.86%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.14%E -2.25%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 23:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.63%E -2.86%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.14%E -2.25%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 23:05 |
| FanDuel | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.24%E -1.60%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 23:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -3.72%E -1.85%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| ReBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| Caesars | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-10 22:48 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-10 23:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-10 22:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.15%E -2.60%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.15%E -2.60%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| Neds | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.15%E -2.60%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 23:00 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.18%E -2.85%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -7.55%E -3.91%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -5.18%E -2.85%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-10 22:54 |
| Bovada | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -2.76%E -1.36%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -5.70%E -3.15%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-10 23:04 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.70%E -3.15%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.63%E -2.86%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.70%E -3.15%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 23:00 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.22%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-10 23:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.22%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-10 23:04 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.22%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-10 23:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.11%E -3.12%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -6.22%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-10 23:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.22%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -7.07%E -3.64%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -7.27%E -4.08%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-10 22:58 |
| Fliff | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.80%E -0.879%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.79%E -4.40%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-10 22:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.79%E -4.40%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-10 23:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 0.4% | 2026-07-10 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 0.4% | 2026-07-10 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 0.4% | 2026-07-10 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 0.4% | 2026-07-10 22:55 |
| Novig | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| ProphetX | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-07-10 22:55 |
| Polymarket | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-07-10 22:32 |
| Kalshi | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| BetOpenly | 2.05I 48.78%NM 48.10% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.90% | 1.4% | 2026-07-10 23:09 |
| Smarkets | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15% | 1.5% | 2026-07-10 23:05 |