Cincinnati Reds v Chicago Cubs

2026-07-10 23:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

50%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Prediction 50.28%1.99fair odd

EV -1.44%

Edge -0.737%

Kelly -1.50%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

50.00%50.33%50.28%51.05%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.801.891.901.9656%53%53%51%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Chicago Cubs (Visit)

Prediction 49.72%2.01fair odd

EV -1.56%

Edge -0.789%

Kelly -1.59%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

48.95%49.67%49.72%50.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.821.921.911.9855%52%52%51%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
1xBet	1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.44%E -0.737%K -1.50%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.56%E -1.30%K -2.66%G +0.000%	2.0%	2026-07-09 18:09
BetOnline.ag	1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.95%E -1.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.56%E -0.789%K -1.59%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-07-09 18:49
LowVig.ag	1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.95%E -1.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.56%E -0.789%K -1.59%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-07-09 18:49
GTbets	1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.95%E -1.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.56%E -0.789%K -1.59%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-07-09 19:00
FanDuel	1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -2.95%E -1.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-07-09 17:55
Fanatics	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.96%E -2.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.64%K -5.54%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-09 19:00
888sport	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.96%E -2.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.64%K -5.54%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-09 18:05
William Hill	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.96%E -2.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.64%K -5.54%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-09 18:05
888sport (SE)	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.96%E -2.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.64%K -5.54%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-09 18:04
Mr Green (SE)	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.96%E -2.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.64%K -5.54%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-09 18:05
TAB	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.46%E -2.35%K -4.96%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.05%E -1.57%K -3.21%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-07-09 20:18
Unibet (UK)	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.46%E -2.35%K -4.96%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.94%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-09 20:09
Bet Right	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.46%E -2.35%K -4.96%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.94%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-09 20:09
SportsBet	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.35%K -4.96%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.54%E -2.92%K -6.15%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-09 17:54
Paddy Power	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.35%K -4.96%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.54%E -2.92%K -6.15%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-09 17:55
PointsBet (AU)	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.35%K -4.96%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.54%E -2.92%K -6.15%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-09 17:54
DraftKings	1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.96%E -2.63%K -5.58%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.05%E -2.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-09 20:09
Betr (AU)	1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.96%E -2.63%K -5.58%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.04%E -2.64%K -5.54%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-09 20:09
PlayUp	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.47%E -2.91%K -6.21%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.05%E -2.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-09 20:09
NordicBet	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.47%E -2.91%K -6.21%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.94%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-09 20:08
Betsson	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.47%E -2.91%K -6.21%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.94%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-09 20:09
Winamax (DE)	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.47%E -2.91%K -6.21%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.54%E -2.92%K -6.15%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-09 20:09
Caesars	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.97%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.05%E -1.57%K -3.21%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-09 20:08
Fliff	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.97%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.04%E -2.64%K -5.54%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-09 18:45
Betclic (FR)	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.97%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.54%E -2.92%K -6.15%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-09 20:09
Bet Victor	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.97%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.03%E -3.76%K -8.08%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-09 18:04
ReBet	1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.98%E -4.36%K -9.62%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.03%E -3.76%K -8.08%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-07-09 20:10
Unibet (FR)	1.81I 55.25%NM 50.27%EV -8.99%E -4.96%K -11.09%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -9.02%E -4.93%K -10.87%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-07-09 20:10
Winamax (FR)	1.80I 55.56%NM 50.28%EV -9.49%E -5.27%K -11.86%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -9.52%E -5.23%K -11.61%G +0.000%	10.5%	2026-07-09 20:09

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is the most recent time we recorded each book's price — on the default model, when it last changed, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi	1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%	2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%	0.0%	2026-07-09 19:50
Polymarket	1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%	2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%	1.1%	2026-07-09 20:00
Smarkets	1.82I 54.95%NM 50.14%	1.83I 54.64%NM 49.86%	9.6%	2026-07-09 20:10
Novig	1.82I 54.95%NM 50.14%	1.83I 54.64%NM 49.86%	9.6%	2026-07-09 20:20