La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Cincinnati Reds v Chicago Cubs
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cincinnati Reds (Local)
Predicción 47.90%2.09momio equitativo
EV -0.364%
Ventaja -0.175%
Kelly -0.337%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.08
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.34%48.05%47.78%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.901.981.982.0852.63%50.38%50.51%48.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Chicago Cubs (Visitante)
Predicción 52.10%1.92momio equitativo
EV +0.028%
Ventaja +0.015%
Kelly +0.031%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.92
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%51.95%52.22%53.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.771.841.851.9256.50%54.35%54.20%52.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV +0.028%E +0.015%K +0.031%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-10 22:25 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.51%E -4.45%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.493%E -0.258%K -0.541%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-09 18:05 |
| BetAnything | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.24%E -1.60%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.53%E -0.812%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -2.06%E -1.09%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-10 22:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -8.03%E -4.18%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -2.06%E -1.09%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-10 23:09 |
| Everygame | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.80%E -0.879%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.58%E -1.38%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.58%E -1.38%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-10 10:34 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.51%E -4.45%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -2.58%E -1.38%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-10 23:09 |
| Pinnacle | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%EV -0.364%E -0.175%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%EV -3.10%E -1.67%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-07-10 23:00 |
| GTbets | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.32%E -0.642%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -3.10%E -1.67%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-10 23:09 |
| BetUS | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.32%E -0.642%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -3.10%E -1.67%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-10 23:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -1.80%E -0.879%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -3.10%E -1.67%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-10 23:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -1.80%E -0.879%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -3.10%E -1.67%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-10 23:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -7.07%E -3.64%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -3.10%E -1.67%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-10 22:24 |
| TAB | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.15%E -2.60%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-10 22:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.63%E -2.86%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.63%E -2.86%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| Unibet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.11%E -3.12%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.11%E -3.12%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.11%E -3.12%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 22:54 |
| Casumo | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.11%E -3.12%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.11%E -3.12%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| betPARX | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.11%E -3.12%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| Bally Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.11%E -3.12%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.11%E -3.12%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 22:54 |
| Coolbet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.11%E -3.12%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-10 23:09 |
| TABtouch | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| BetRivers | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-10 22:54 |
| Bet Victor | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -8.99%E -4.73%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-10 23:02 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -3.24%E -1.60%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -4.14%E -2.25%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-10 23:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -3.72%E -1.85%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -4.14%E -2.25%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 23:04 |
| Bet Right | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.15%E -2.60%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.14%E -2.25%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 23:04 |
| Betsson | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.63%E -2.86%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.14%E -2.25%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 23:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.63%E -2.86%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.14%E -2.25%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 23:05 |
| FanDuel | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.24%E -1.60%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 23:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -3.72%E -1.85%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| ReBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| Caesars | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-10 22:48 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-10 23:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-10 22:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.15%E -2.60%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.15%E -2.60%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| Neds | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.15%E -2.60%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 23:00 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.18%E -2.85%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -7.55%E -3.91%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -5.18%E -2.85%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-10 22:54 |
| Bovada | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -2.76%E -1.36%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -5.70%E -3.15%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-10 23:04 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.70%E -3.15%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.63%E -2.86%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.70%E -3.15%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 23:00 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.22%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-10 23:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.22%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-10 23:04 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.22%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-10 23:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.11%E -3.12%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -6.22%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-10 23:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.22%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -7.07%E -3.64%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -7.27%E -4.08%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-10 22:58 |
| Fliff | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.80%E -0.879%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.79%E -4.40%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-10 22:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.79%E -4.40%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-10 23:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 0.4% | 2026-07-10 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 0.4% | 2026-07-10 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 0.4% | 2026-07-10 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 0.4% | 2026-07-10 22:55 |
| Novig | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| ProphetX | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-07-10 22:55 |
| Polymarket | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-07-10 22:32 |
| Kalshi | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| BetOpenly | 2.05I 48.78%NM 48.10% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.90% | 1.4% | 2026-07-10 23:09 |
| Smarkets | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15% | 1.5% | 2026-07-10 23:05 |