Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cincinnati Reds v Athletics

2026-08-05 22:40 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Prediction 56.08%1.78fair odd
EV -0.734%
Edge -0.415%
Kelly -0.953%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.97%56.05%56.19%56.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.701.701.7761.73%58.85%58.82%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Athletics (Visit)

Prediction 43.92%2.28fair odd
EV -1.19%
Edge -0.527%
Kelly -0.948%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%43.95%43.81%45.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.182.202.2548.78%45.92%45.45%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 56.08%; Athletics (Visit): 43.92%. For Cincinnati Reds (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.78. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.77, with an expected value of -0.734%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -0.734%E -0.415%K -0.953%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-05 00:14
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.29%E -0.736%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -2.94%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-04 23:44
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -1.86%E -1.06%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-04 23:55
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.86%E -1.06%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.58%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-05 01:30
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.19%E -0.527%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-04 23:44
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.19%E -0.527%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-04 23:00
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.50%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-04 23:00
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.50%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-04 23:00
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.50%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-04 23:05
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -5.14%E -2.38%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-04 20:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.58%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 01:29
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.58%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 01:29
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.58%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 21:40
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.89%E -3.25%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:44
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.89%E -3.25%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:52
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.89%E -3.25%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:53
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.77%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 20:34
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.10%E -2.40%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 23:44
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.10%E -2.40%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 23:35
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.10%E -2.40%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 22:49
MyBookie.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -4.10%E -2.40%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -3.82%E -1.74%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 01:25
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.10%E -2.40%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.02%E -2.81%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 00:30
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -2.06%E -0.925%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-05 01:19
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -2.06%E -0.925%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-05 01:19
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -2.06%E -0.925%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-05 01:20
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -2.06%E -0.925%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-05 01:20
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 01:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 01:30
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.26%E -1.95%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 23:45
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.26%E -1.95%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 23:05
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.58%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:45
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.58%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:44
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.22%E -3.09%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.26%E -1.95%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:29
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.22%E -3.09%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.58%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 20:14
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.22%E -3.09%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.58%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 23:44
Betclic (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -5.22%E -3.09%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -6.02%E -2.81%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 23:45
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.78%E -3.44%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:39
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.78%E -3.44%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:19
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.78%E -3.44%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:20
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.78%E -3.44%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:20
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.78%E -3.44%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:19
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.78%E -3.44%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.78%E -3.44%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:24
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.78%E -3.44%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:24
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:34
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:34
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:35
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:35
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:24
betano_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.58%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 23:44
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.58%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 23:44
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.58%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:34
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -6.90%E -4.16%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -4.70%E -2.17%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 01:19
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -6.90%E -4.16%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -4.70%E -2.17%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 01:20
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.97%E -4.86%K -9.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-04 23:45
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -8.02%E -4.89%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44%EV -9.97%E -4.86%K -9.49%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-04 23:45
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 56.68%EV -9.15%E -5.65%K -14.75%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.32%EV -6.89%E -3.25%K -6.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-05 01:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 56.86%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.14%-0.1%2026-08-05 01:35
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-04 20:15
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03%0.9%2026-08-05 01:15
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-04 22:10
ProphetX1.77I 56.50%NM 55.75%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.25%1.3%2026-08-05 01:30
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%2.6%2026-08-05 01:35
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.62%8.8%2026-08-05 01:40