Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.64
assuming max odds 2.55
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 60.30%; Athletics (Visit): 39.70%. For Athletics (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.52. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.23%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.30%EV -2.91%E -1.81%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.70%EV +1.23%E +0.481%K +0.791%G +0.010% | 1.3% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%EV -2.91%E -1.81%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%EV +0.829%E +0.326%K +0.538%G +0.004% | 1.5% | 2026-08-05 21:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -2.91%E -1.81%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -0.362%E -0.144%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-05 22:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -3.51%E -2.20%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV -0.362%E -0.144%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-05 22:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.31%E -1.42%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -0.759%E -0.304%K -0.506%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-05 20:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -3.51%E -2.20%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -0.759%E -0.304%K -0.506%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-05 22:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -3.51%E -2.20%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -0.759%E -0.304%K -0.506%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-05 22:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -6.53%E -4.21%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -1.16%E -0.464%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 22:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -2.31%E -1.42%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -1.55%E -0.626%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-05 20:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.51%E -2.20%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.55%E -0.626%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-05 21:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -3.51%E -2.20%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -1.95%E -0.789%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-05 22:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.71%E -1.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -2.35%E -0.954%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-05 20:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.12%E -2.59%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.74%E -1.12%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-05 22:17 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.74%E -1.12%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 20:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.74%E -1.12%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 20:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.74%E -1.12%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 20:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -4.72%E -2.99%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -3.14%E -1.29%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 21:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.31%E -1.42%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.54%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-05 20:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.93%E -3.80%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -3.93%E -1.63%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 20:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.51%E -2.20%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.51%E -2.20%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 20:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.12%E -2.59%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 20:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.12%E -2.59%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 20:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.72%E -2.99%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 21:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.72%E -2.99%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 21:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 21:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 21:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 21:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 22:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 21:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.93%E -3.80%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 22:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.53%E -4.21%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 20:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -1.10%E -0.672%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -1.10%E -0.672%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.31%E -1.42%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-05 19:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 21:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 21:13 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.74%E -5.06%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-05 21:03 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.72%E -2.99%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.92%E -2.50%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 20:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.12%E -2.59%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -6.32%E -2.68%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 22:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -1.71%E -1.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -1.71%E -1.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.51%E -2.20%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 22:38 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.51%E -2.20%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 20:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.51%E -2.20%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 20:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.72%E -2.99%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.53%E -4.21%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -2.31%E -1.42%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -7.51%E -3.22%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -2.31%E -1.42%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -7.51%E -3.22%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -2.31%E -1.42%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -7.51%E -3.22%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -2.31%E -1.42%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -7.51%E -3.22%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -2.31%E -1.42%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -7.51%E -3.22%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -2.31%E -1.42%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -7.51%E -3.22%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -2.91%E -1.81%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -7.90%E -3.41%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.10%EV -7.13%E -4.63%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -7.90%E -3.41%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 22:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.31%E -1.42%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 22:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.51%E -2.20%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.51%E -2.20%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.72%E -2.99%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.53%E -4.21%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.53%E -4.21%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 22:38 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -5.93%E -3.80%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -10.68%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05% | 0.0% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72% | 0.1% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39% | 0.2% | 2026-08-05 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 0.3% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-08-05 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.82% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 39.18% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13% | 1.4% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66% | 2.9% | 2026-08-05 22:39 |