Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.20
assuming max odds 1.83
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago White Sox (Local): 45.27%; Tampa Bay Rays (Visit): 54.73%. For Tampa Bay Rays (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.827. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.830, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.152%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -4.02%E -1.90%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV +0.152%E +0.083%K +0.183%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-04-14 23:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV +0.152%E +0.083%K +0.183%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-14 23:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -4.02%E -1.90%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -0.395%E -0.217%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-14 23:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.67%E -1.24%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.49%E -0.828%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-14 23:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -3.57%E -1.68%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -1.49%E -0.828%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-14 23:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -3.57%E -1.68%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -1.49%E -0.828%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-14 23:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -1.76%E -0.811%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.04%E -1.14%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-04-14 22:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -6.29%E -3.04%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -2.58%E -1.45%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-14 23:03 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -7.19%E -3.51%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -2.58%E -1.45%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 23:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.13%E -1.77%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-14 23:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.13%E -1.77%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-14 23:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.13%E -1.77%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-14 22:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.19%E -3.51%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.13%E -1.77%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 23:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.19%E -3.51%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.13%E -1.77%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 23:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.29%E -3.04%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.68%E -2.09%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 23:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.29%E -3.04%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.68%E -2.09%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 23:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.23%E -2.41%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 23:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.23%E -2.41%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 23:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -0.401%E -0.182%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -4.77%E -2.74%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-14 23:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.21%E -1.02%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.77%E -2.74%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-14 11:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.67%E -1.24%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.77%E -2.74%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-14 20:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -2.21%E -1.02%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -5.32%E -3.08%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-14 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.67%E -1.24%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.32%E -3.08%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 20:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.67%E -1.24%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.32%E -3.08%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 20:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.02%E -1.90%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.32%E -3.08%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 23:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.32%E -3.08%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 23:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.32%E -3.08%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 21:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.32%E -3.08%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 22:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.32%E -3.08%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 23:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.32%E -3.08%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 23:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.19%E -3.51%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.32%E -3.08%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-14 21:13 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -1.76%E -0.811%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -5.87%E -3.41%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-14 23:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -1.76%E -0.811%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -5.87%E -3.41%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-14 23:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.67%E -1.24%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.87%E -3.41%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 20:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.67%E -1.24%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.87%E -3.41%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 20:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -3.57%E -1.68%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.87%E -3.41%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 11:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.87%E -3.41%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 23:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.401%E -0.182%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.42%E -3.75%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-14 05:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.401%E -0.182%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.42%E -3.75%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-14 19:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.67%E -1.24%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.42%E -3.75%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 23:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.67%E -1.24%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.42%E -3.75%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 23:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.67%E -1.24%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.42%E -3.75%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 23:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.67%E -1.24%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.42%E -3.75%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 23:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.42%E -3.75%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 22:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.42%E -3.75%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 23:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.42%E -3.75%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 23:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -1.76%E -0.811%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -6.96%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 23:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -3.12%E -1.46%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -6.96%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 23:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -3.12%E -1.46%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -6.96%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 23:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -3.12%E -1.46%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -6.96%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 23:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -3.12%E -1.46%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -6.96%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 23:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -3.12%E -1.46%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -6.96%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 23:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.96%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 23:38 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.96%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 22:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.45%EV -11.27%E -5.75%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.55%EV -6.96%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-14 23:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -8.06%E -4.80%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 23:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -8.06%E -4.80%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 23:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%EV -6.74%E -3.27%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -9.70%E -5.88%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-14 23:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 0.5% | 2026-04-14 23:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54% | 1.5% | 2026-04-14 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54% | 1.5% | 2026-04-14 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54% | 1.5% | 2026-04-14 23:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68% | 2.2% | 2026-04-14 23:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32% | 2.5% | 2026-04-14 23:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20% | 2.7% | 2026-04-14 23:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10% | 3.1% | 2026-04-14 23:39 |