La escuela de los momios

Chicago White Sox v Tampa Bay Rays

Inicio: 2026-04-14 23:42 UTC

Final: Chicago White Sox 5–8 Tampa Bay Rays

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Predicción 45.27%2.21momio equitativo
EV -0.401%
Ventaja -0.182%
Kelly -0.335%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.73%45.23%45.31%46.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.962.122.122.2051.02%47.20%47.17%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Tampa Bay Rays (Visitante)

Predicción 54.73%1.83momio equitativo
EV +0.152%
Ventaja +0.083%
Kelly +0.183%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.44%54.77%54.69%56.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.741.731.8360.61%57.63%57.80%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -4.02%E -1.90%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV +0.152%E +0.083%K +0.183%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-14 23:14
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV +0.152%E +0.083%K +0.183%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-14 23:39
Pinnacle2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -4.02%E -1.90%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -0.395%E -0.217%K -0.482%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-14 23:15
GTbets2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.67%E -1.24%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.49%E -0.828%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-14 23:29
LowVig.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -3.57%E -1.68%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -1.49%E -0.828%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-14 23:29
BetOnline.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -3.57%E -1.68%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -1.49%E -0.828%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-14 23:30
Everygame2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -1.76%E -0.811%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.04%E -1.14%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-14 22:15
Bovada2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -6.29%E -3.04%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -2.58%E -1.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-14 23:03
Dabble (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -7.19%E -3.51%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -2.58%E -1.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 23:35
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.13%E -1.77%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 23:39
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.13%E -1.77%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 23:20
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.13%E -1.77%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 22:20
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.19%E -3.51%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.13%E -1.77%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 23:30
Marathon Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.19%E -3.51%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.13%E -1.77%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 23:10
NordicBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.29%E -3.04%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.68%E -2.09%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 23:10
Betsson2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.29%E -3.04%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.68%E -2.09%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 23:10
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.23%E -2.41%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 23:29
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.23%E -2.41%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 23:40
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -0.401%E -0.182%K -0.335%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -4.77%E -2.74%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-14 23:30
FanDuel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.21%E -1.02%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.77%E -2.74%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-14 11:30
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.67%E -1.24%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.77%E -2.74%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-14 20:44
MyBookie.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -2.21%E -1.02%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -5.32%E -3.08%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.67%E -1.24%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.32%E -3.08%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 20:45
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.67%E -1.24%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.32%E -3.08%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 20:40
Bet Right2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.02%E -1.90%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.32%E -3.08%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 23:35
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.32%E -3.08%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 23:35
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.32%E -3.08%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 21:50
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.32%E -3.08%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 22:00
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.32%E -3.08%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 23:35
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.32%E -3.08%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 23:34
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.19%E -3.51%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.32%E -3.08%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 21:13
Unibet (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -1.76%E -0.811%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -5.87%E -3.41%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 23:20
Unibet (NL)2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -1.76%E -0.811%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -5.87%E -3.41%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 23:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.67%E -1.24%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.87%E -3.41%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 20:40
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.67%E -1.24%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.87%E -3.41%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 20:45
SportsBet2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -3.57%E -1.68%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.87%E -3.41%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 11:44
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.87%E -3.41%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 23:40
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.401%E -0.182%K -0.335%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.42%E -3.75%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-14 05:34
ReBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.401%E -0.182%K -0.335%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.42%E -3.75%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-14 19:45
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.67%E -1.24%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.42%E -3.75%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 23:30
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.67%E -1.24%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.42%E -3.75%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 23:30
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.67%E -1.24%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.42%E -3.75%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 23:30
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.67%E -1.24%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.42%E -3.75%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 23:30
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.42%E -3.75%K -9.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 22:59
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.42%E -3.75%K -9.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 23:40
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.42%E -3.75%K -9.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 23:40
DraftKings2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -1.76%E -0.811%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -6.96%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 23:35
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -3.12%E -1.46%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -6.96%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 23:30
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -3.12%E -1.46%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -6.96%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 23:30
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -3.12%E -1.46%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -6.96%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 23:30
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -3.12%E -1.46%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -6.96%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 23:40
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -3.12%E -1.46%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -6.96%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 23:40
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.96%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 23:38
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.96%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 22:25
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.45%EV -11.27%E -5.75%K -11.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.55%EV -6.96%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-14 23:40
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -8.06%E -4.80%K -11.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 23:40
Bally Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -8.06%E -4.80%K -11.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%EV -6.74%E -3.27%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -9.70%E -5.88%K -14.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-14 23:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-04-14 23:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%1.5%2026-04-14 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%1.5%2026-04-14 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%1.5%2026-04-14 23:40
Novig2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.2%2026-04-14 23:40
ProphetX2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%2.5%2026-04-14 23:40
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20%2.7%2026-04-14 23:40
BetOpenly2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%3.1%2026-04-14 23:39