Language:English
Chicago White Sox v Seattle Mariners
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chicago White Sox (Local)
Prediction 44.51%2.25fair odd
EV -2.08%
Edge -0.947%
Kelly -1.74%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%44.43%44.44%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.092.152.152.2047.85%46.49%46.51%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Seattle Mariners (Visit)
Prediction 55.49%1.80fair odd
EV -0.114%
Edge -0.063%
Kelly -0.142%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.55%55.57%55.56%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.721.721.8060.61%58.01%58.14%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago White Sox (Local): 44.51%; Seattle Mariners (Visit): 55.49%. For Seattle Mariners (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.802. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.800, with an expected value of -0.114%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.08%E -0.947%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.78%E -1.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-08 22:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.08%E -0.947%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.78%E -1.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-08 12:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.08%E -0.947%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-08 05:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.08%E -0.947%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-08 10:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.08%E -0.947%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.44%E -5.11%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 09:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -2.53%E -1.15%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -1.22%E -0.687%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-05-08 20:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.97%E -1.36%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.78%E -1.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-08 22:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.97%E -1.36%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.78%E -1.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-08 22:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.97%E -1.36%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.78%E -1.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-08 22:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.97%E -1.36%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -2.89%E -1.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-08 23:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.97%E -1.36%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.55%E -2.65%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-08 23:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -0.114%E -0.063%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-08 20:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.00%E -2.31%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 20:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.00%E -2.31%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 20:24 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.00%E -2.31%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 20:33 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.89%E -1.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-08 12:33 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.44%E -1.98%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-08 13:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.44%E -1.98%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-08 20:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.44%E -1.98%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-08 20:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.00%E -2.31%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-08 21:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.00%E -2.31%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-08 11:48 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.00%E -2.31%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-08 11:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.55%E -2.65%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 20:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.55%E -2.65%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 11:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.55%E -2.65%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 11:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.55%E -2.65%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 20:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.55%E -2.65%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 20:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.55%E -2.65%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 20:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.55%E -2.65%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 20:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.55%E -2.65%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 20:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.55%E -2.65%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 20:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.55%E -2.65%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 20:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.55%E -2.65%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 20:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 23:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 08:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 12:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 12:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 12:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 11:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 12:33 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.66%E -3.33%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 23:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.66%E -3.33%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 19:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.22%E -3.68%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 23:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.22%E -3.68%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 23:38 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.33%E -4.39%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 21:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.75%E -2.22%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.55%E -2.65%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 20:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.75%E -2.22%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 20:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.75%E -2.22%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 20:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.75%E -2.22%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 20:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.75%E -2.22%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 20:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -5.20%E -2.44%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -3.44%E -1.98%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-08 23:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.64%E -2.66%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.55%E -2.65%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 12:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.64%E -2.66%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.55%E -2.65%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 12:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.64%E -2.66%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.55%E -2.65%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 12:33 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.00%E -2.31%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 13:29 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.55%E -2.65%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 11:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.66%E -3.33%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 23:38 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.66%E -3.33%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 20:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -6.98%E -3.34%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -3.44%E -1.98%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16% | 0.0% | 2026-05-08 23:29 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.55% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.45% | 0.2% | 2026-05-08 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-05-08 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-05-08 23:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-05-08 23:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 0.6% | 2026-05-08 23:34 |
| Novig◎ | 2.25I 44.44%NM 44.17% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.83% | 0.6% | 2026-05-08 23:39 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-05-08 14:19 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05% | 2.1% | 2026-05-08 23:34 |