A Escola das Odds

Chicago White Sox v Seattle Mariners

Início: 2026-05-08 23:41 UTC

Final: Chicago White Sox 8–12 Seattle Mariners

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Previsão 44.51%2.25odd justa
EV -2.08%
Vantagem -0.947%
Kelly -1.74%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.86%44.43%44.44%45.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.092.152.152.2047.85%46.49%46.51%45.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Seattle Mariners (Visitante)

Previsão 55.49%1.80odd justa
EV -0.114%
Vantagem -0.063%
Kelly -0.142%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.55%55.57%55.56%57.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.651.721.721.8060.61%58.01%58.14%55.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.08%E -0.947%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.78%E -1.00%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-08 22:54
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.08%E -0.947%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.78%E -1.00%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-08 12:49
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.08%E -0.947%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-08 05:59
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.08%E -0.947%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-08 10:04
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.08%E -0.947%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.44%E -5.11%K -12.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 09:00
Pinnacle2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -2.53%E -1.15%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -1.22%E -0.687%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-08 20:30
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.97%E -1.36%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.78%E -1.00%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-08 22:54
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.97%E -1.36%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.78%E -1.00%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-08 22:54
BetUS2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.97%E -1.36%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.78%E -1.00%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-08 22:59
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.97%E -1.36%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -2.89%E -1.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-08 23:14
FanDuel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.97%E -1.36%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.55%E -2.65%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-08 23:29
1xBet2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -0.114%E -0.063%K -0.142%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-08 20:50
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.00%E -2.31%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 20:24
Unibet (NL)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.00%E -2.31%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 20:24
MyBookie.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.00%E -2.31%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 20:33
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.89%E -1.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-08 12:33
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.44%E -1.98%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-08 13:39
ReBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.44%E -1.98%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-08 20:30
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.44%E -1.98%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-08 20:24
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.00%E -2.31%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 21:44
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.00%E -2.31%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 11:48
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.00%E -2.31%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 11:50
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.55%E -2.65%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 20:24
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.55%E -2.65%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.55%E -2.65%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 11:49
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.55%E -2.65%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 20:10
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.55%E -2.65%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 20:10
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.55%E -2.65%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 20:10
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.55%E -2.65%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.55%E -2.65%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 20:10
betPARX2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.55%E -2.65%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 20:09
Bally Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.55%E -2.65%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 20:10
ATG (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.55%E -2.65%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 20:10
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 23:30
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 08:00
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 12:34
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 12:34
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 12:34
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 11:49
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 12:33
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.66%E -3.33%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 23:39
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.66%E -3.33%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 19:00
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.22%E -3.68%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 23:39
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.22%E -3.68%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 23:38
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.33%E -4.39%K -10.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 21:14
Bet Right2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.75%E -2.22%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.55%E -2.65%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 20:29
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.75%E -2.22%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 20:10
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.75%E -2.22%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 20:10
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.75%E -2.22%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 20:10
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.75%E -2.22%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 20:09
Bovada2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -5.20%E -2.44%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -3.44%E -1.98%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-08 23:39
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.64%E -2.66%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.55%E -2.65%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 12:34
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.64%E -2.66%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.55%E -2.65%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 12:34
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.64%E -2.66%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.55%E -2.65%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 12:33
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.00%E -2.31%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 13:29
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.55%E -2.65%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 11:24
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.66%E -3.33%K -8.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 23:38
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.66%E -3.33%K -8.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 20:29
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -6.98%E -3.34%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -3.44%E -1.98%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%0.0%2026-05-08 23:29
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.55%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.45%0.2%2026-05-08 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-05-08 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-05-08 23:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-05-08 23:20
ProphetX2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-05-08 23:34
Novig2.25I 44.44%NM 44.17%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.83%0.6%2026-05-08 23:39
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-05-08 14:19
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.1%2026-05-08 23:34