Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago White Sox v Pittsburgh Pirates

2026-09-08 23:41 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

57%

43%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Prediction 56.87%1.76fair odd

EV +1.80%

Edge +1.00%

Kelly +2.27%

Growth +0.041%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

54.80%56.88%56.85%58.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.601.681.671.7962.50%59.58%59.70%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit)

Prediction 43.13%2.32fair odd

EV +0.926%

Edge +0.396%

Kelly +0.691%

Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 2.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

41.94%43.12%43.15%45.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.052.212.202.3448.78%45.31%45.45%42.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Chicago White Sox (Local): 56.87%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit): 43.13%. For Chicago White Sox (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.76. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 1.79, producing a positive expected value of +1.80%.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
1xBet🎯	1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV +1.80%E +1.00%K +2.27%G +0.041%	2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -6.41%E -2.95%K -5.48%G +0.000%	1.9%	2026-09-07 19:15
GTbets🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.75%E -1.61%K -3.88%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.799%E -0.348%K -0.615%G +0.000%	2.0%	2026-09-07 19:25
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.75%E -1.61%K -3.88%G +0.000%	2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.09%E -0.922%K -1.65%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-09-07 19:25
LowVig.ag🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.75%E -1.61%K -3.88%G +0.000%	2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.09%E -0.922%K -1.65%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-09-07 19:25
BetUS🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.75%E -1.61%K -3.88%G +0.000%	2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.52%E -1.12%K -2.00%G +0.000%	2.7%	2026-09-07 19:25
theScore Bet🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.75%E -1.61%K -3.88%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-09-07 18:45
Fliff🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.75%E -1.61%K -3.88%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-07 17:50
Caesars🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%EV -3.89%E -2.30%K -5.64%G +0.000%	2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%EV +0.926%E +0.396%K +0.691%G +0.006%	1.9%	2026-09-07 19:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.89%E -2.30%K -5.64%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.96%E -1.31%K -2.36%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-09-07 19:30
FanDuel🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.89%E -2.30%K -5.64%G +0.000%	2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.48%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-07 17:45
Bovada🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -3.89%E -2.30%K -5.64%G +0.000%	2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -4.68%E -2.12%K -3.87%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-07 18:44
Fanatics🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.89%E -2.30%K -5.64%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-07 19:25
betfred_uk🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.89%E -2.30%K -5.64%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-07 19:30
Coolbet🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.46%E -2.65%K -6.56%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-07 19:27
Bet Right🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.46%E -2.65%K -6.56%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-07 19:30
PlayUp🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.46%E -2.65%K -6.56%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-07 19:30
Neds🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.46%E -2.65%K -6.56%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-07 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.46%E -2.65%K -6.56%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-07 19:30
BetMGM🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.96%E -1.31%K -2.36%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-07 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.96%E -1.31%K -2.36%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-07 19:30
Coral🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.96%E -1.31%K -2.36%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-07 19:30
DraftKings🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.82%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-07 19:30
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%	2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.48%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-07 19:30
888sport🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-07 19:30
Bet Victor🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-07 19:28
Betr (AU)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-07 19:30
888sport (SE)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-07 19:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-07 19:30
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.03%E -3.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-07 18:25
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.60%E -3.37%K -8.48%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-09-07 19:30
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.60%E -3.37%K -8.48%G +0.000%	2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.54%E -2.53%K -4.66%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-07 19:28
SportsBet🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.60%E -3.37%K -8.48%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.97%E -2.74%K -5.06%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-07 17:45
Paddy Power🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-07 17:45
ReBet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.87%E -4.86%K -12.70%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-09-07 19:30
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -8.44%E -5.24%K -13.84%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.43%E -4.49%K -8.57%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-09-07 19:30
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -9.01%E -5.63%K -15.02%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -11.58%E -5.65%K -11.03%G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-09-07 19:30

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.79I 55.87%NM 55.91%	2.27I 44.05%NM 44.09%	-0.1%	2026-09-07 19:30
Polymarket◎	1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%	2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%	0.9%	2026-09-07 17:44
Novig◎	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%	3.9%	2026-09-07 19:25
Smarkets◎	1.61I 62.11%NM 56.37%	2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%	10.2%	2026-09-07 19:30

Arbitrage (4 combinations) +1.42%1xBet 1.79 (56.7%) / Caesars 2.34 (43.3%)Show all 4 combinations

Chicago White Sox (Local)	Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit)	Margin
1xBet🎯 1.79 (56.7%)	Caesars🎯 2.34 (43.3%)	+1.42%
1xBet🎯 1.79 (56.2%)	GTbets🎯 2.30 (43.8%)	+0.660%
1xBet🎯 1.79 (55.9%)	BetOnline.ag🎯 2.27 (44.1%)	+0.081%
1xBet🎯 1.79 (55.9%)	LowVig.ag🎯 2.27 (44.1%)	+0.081%