Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago White Sox v Pittsburgh Pirates

2026-09-08 23:41 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

37 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Predicción 56.93%1.76momio equitativo
EV +1.91%
Ventaja +1.06%
Kelly +2.41%
Crecimiento +0.046%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.79

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.80%56.89%56.88%57.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.601.681.681.7962.50%59.59%59.52%55.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante)

Predicción 43.07%2.32momio equitativo
EV -0.509%
Ventaja -0.221%
Kelly -0.389%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.31

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.54%43.11%43.12%45.20%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.052.212.202.3148.78%45.33%45.45%43.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Chicago White Sox (Local): 56.93%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante): 43.07%. Para Chicago White Sox (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.76. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 1.79, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +1.91%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV +1.91%E +1.06%K +2.41%G +0.046%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -6.54%E -3.01%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-07 19:15
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.46%EV -2.65%E -1.55%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.54%EV -0.509%E -0.221%K -0.389%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-07 19:39
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.65%E -1.55%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.940%E -0.409%K -0.723%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-07 19:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.65%E -1.55%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.23%E -0.983%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-07 19:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.65%E -1.55%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.23%E -0.983%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-07 19:25
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.65%E -1.55%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.66%E -1.18%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-07 19:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.79%E -2.24%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.09%E -1.37%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-07 19:30
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.79%E -2.24%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.09%E -1.37%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-07 19:45
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.79%E -2.24%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.39%E -1.98%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 17:45
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -3.79%E -2.24%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -4.82%E -2.18%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-07 18:44
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.79%E -2.24%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.25%E -2.39%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 19:25
betfred_uk🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.79%E -2.24%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.25%E -2.39%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 19:30
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.79%E -2.24%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.40%E -3.44%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 19:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.79%E -2.24%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.40%E -3.44%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 20:00
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.25%E -2.39%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 19:27
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.25%E -2.39%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 19:30
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.25%E -2.39%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 19:30
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.25%E -2.39%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.25%E -2.39%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 19:30
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.09%E -1.37%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.09%E -1.37%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 19:30
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.09%E -1.37%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 19:30
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.96%E -1.77%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-07 19:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.39%E -1.98%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 19:30
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.25%E -2.39%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 19:30
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.25%E -2.39%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 19:28
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.25%E -2.39%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 19:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.25%E -2.39%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 19:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.25%E -2.39%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 19:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.40%E -3.44%K -6.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 18:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.50%E -3.31%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.25%E -2.39%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 19:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.50%E -3.31%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.68%E -2.59%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 19:28
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.50%E -3.31%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -6.11%E -2.80%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-07 17:45
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.06%E -3.68%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.25%E -2.39%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-07 17:45
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.77%E -4.80%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.40%E -3.44%K -6.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-07 19:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -8.34%E -5.18%K -13.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.55%E -4.55%K -8.69%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-07 19:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -8.91%E -5.57%K -14.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -11.71%E -5.71%K -11.15%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-07 19:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-07 17:44
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-07 20:25
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%2.5%2026-09-07 20:45
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 56.37%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%10.2%2026-09-07 19:30
Arbitraje (4 combinaciones) +0.85%1xBet 1.79 (56.3%) / Caesars 2.31 (43.7%)Ver las 4 combinaciones
Chicago White Sox (Local)Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante)Margen
1xBet🎯 1.79 (56.3%)Caesars🎯 2.31 (43.7%)+0.851%
1xBet🎯 1.79 (56.2%)GTbets🎯 2.30 (43.8%)+0.660%
1xBet🎯 1.79 (55.9%)BetOnline.ag🎯 2.27 (44.1%)+0.081%
1xBet🎯 1.79 (55.9%)LowVig.ag🎯 2.27 (44.1%)+0.081%