The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Chicago White Sox v New York Yankees

Kickoff: 2026-07-28 23:41 UTC

Final: Chicago White Sox 2–3 New York Yankees

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Prediction 47.84%2.09fair odd
EV -1.93%
Edge -0.939%
Kelly -1.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.05%47.77%47.78%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.972.002.05100.00%50.70%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Yankees (Visit)

Prediction 52.16%1.92fair odd
EV -0.898%
Edge -0.473%
Kelly -0.998%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.23%52.22%53.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.821.831.90100.00%54.89%54.64%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago White Sox (Local): 47.84%; New York Yankees (Visit): 52.16%. For New York Yankees (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.92. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.90, with an expected value of -0.898%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -1.93%E -0.939%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.72%E -4.98%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 23:39
1xBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -2.40%E -1.18%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -1.42%E -0.751%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-28 22:37
BetUS🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.40%E -1.18%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.94%E -1.03%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-28 22:39
BetAnything🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.40%E -1.18%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.51%E -1.90%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-28 22:49
DraftKings🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -2.40%E -1.18%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -6.11%E -3.40%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 20:49
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.35%EV -2.88%E -1.42%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.65%EV -0.898%E -0.473%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-28 23:34
Everygame🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -2.88%E -1.42%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -1.42%E -0.751%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-28 22:14
BetOnline.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.88%E -1.42%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.94%E -1.03%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-28 23:39
GTbets🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.88%E -1.42%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.94%E -1.03%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-28 23:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.88%E -1.42%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.94%E -1.03%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-28 23:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.36%E -1.66%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 21:55
Dabble (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.36%E -1.66%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -7.16%E -4.02%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-28 23:09
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -1.94%E -1.03%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-28 22:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -1.94%E -1.03%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-28 22:09
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.51%E -1.90%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 21:19
MyBookie.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.51%E -1.90%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 23:38
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.51%E -1.90%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 18:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.51%E -1.90%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 18:20
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 16:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 16:34
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 16:34
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 22:24
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 18:19
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 21:24
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 18:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 21:14
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 21:19
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 21:55
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.07%E -2.79%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 18:39
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.11%E -3.40%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 21:40
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.11%E -3.40%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 18:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.11%E -3.40%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 18:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.11%E -3.40%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 18:09
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.11%E -3.40%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 15:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.11%E -3.40%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 21:54
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.11%E -3.40%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 23:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.80%E -2.41%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.07%E -2.79%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 21:24
Bovada🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.27%E -2.66%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.51%E -1.90%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 23:19
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.27%E -2.66%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 16:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.27%E -2.66%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 16:34
SportsBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.27%E -2.66%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 21:20
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.27%E -2.66%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 21:19
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.27%E -2.66%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 18:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.27%E -2.66%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 22:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.27%E -2.66%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.11%E -3.40%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-28 23:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -6.23%E -3.18%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -2.46%E -1.32%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 22:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -6.23%E -3.18%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -2.46%E -1.32%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 22:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.23%E -3.18%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -6.11%E -3.40%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-28 23:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.46%E -1.32%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 21:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.51%E -1.90%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 22:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.51%E -1.90%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 22:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.51%E -1.90%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 22:34
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.51%E -1.90%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 22:35
Casumo🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.51%E -1.90%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 22:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.51%E -1.90%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 22:34
betPARX🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.51%E -1.90%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 22:34
Bally Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.51%E -1.90%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 22:35
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.11%E -3.40%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-28 23:34
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.11%E -3.40%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-28 23:30
TABtouch🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.19%E -3.71%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.51%E -1.90%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 22:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -7.19%E -3.71%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -7.68%E -4.34%K -9.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-28 23:13
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.62%E -4.51%K -9.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-28 21:19
Grosvenor🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.78%EV -9.58%E -5.07%K -10.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.22%EV -6.11%E -3.40%K -7.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-28 22:34
NordicBet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -52.16%E -52.16%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -47.84%E -47.84%K +0.000%G +0.000%100.0%2026-07-28 23:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-07-28 23:39
Novig◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-07-28 23:40
Polymarket◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-07-28 16:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%1.4%2026-07-28 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%1.4%2026-07-28 23:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%1.4%2026-07-28 23:40
BetOpenly◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%1.7%2026-07-28 23:39
Smarkets◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%1.9%2026-07-28 23:34
Matchbook◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%1.9%2026-07-28 23:40

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